Jair van der Lijn's Avatar

Jair van der Lijn

@jvdlijn.bsky.social

Independent consultant and Director Peace Operations and Conflict Management Programme @SIPRI.bsky.social. Trends and developments and looking @ the future.

117 Followers  |  76 Following  |  36 Posts  |  Joined: 09.12.2024
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Posts by Jair van der Lijn (@jvdlijn.bsky.social)

If EU Civilian CSDP crisis management is to become more strategic and impactful, it must confront an uncomfortable reality: missions cannot be open-ended. Aino Esser outlined key questions for strengthening impact and relevance.
@villesavoranta.bsky.social now turns to closure and transition:

27.02.2026 11:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

"When Iโ€™m no longer around to settle wars, the U.N. canโ€ โ€œIt has tremendous potential. Tremendous.โ€ ๐Ÿ˜‚

02.02.2026 11:07 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Following Timo Smit arguing in favour of more strong and strategic EU Civilian CSDP crisis management, ahead of Ville Savoranta's upcoming paper on closure and transition of EU civilian CSDP missions, Aino Esser's paper maps the questions to be addressed to strengthen impact and strategic relevance.

29.01.2026 16:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Board of Peaceโ€™: a club a popular kid in school made up, where membership is granted at their whimโ€ฆ and candy is non-negotiable.

The Charter speaks of 'peace-building mission[s]', indicating personnel deployments, on a voluntary, ad hoc, and occasional basis. Peace operations?

23.01.2026 10:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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In the wake of the pandemic, development aid has entered a new era. As democratic backsliding and tighter government restrictions spread, #civilsociety faces new challenges. This #SIPRI paper by @jvdlijn.bsky.social explores how actors can navigate restrictive environments.

More: bit.ly/49pZ5Sb

08.01.2026 10:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

In places where governments restrict civic and political space, what:

๐Ÿ‘‰are challenges CSOs face?
๐Ÿ‘‰are CSO coping strategies?
๐Ÿ‘‰do CSOs ask from international and funding partners?

Are you working in the field and able to share experiences?

Many thanks to Cordaid, Just Future and Netherlands MFA.

20.12.2025 00:28 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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This #SIPRI map highlights all multilateral #PeaceOperations active as of 1 May 2025 plus a number of missions and operations authorized and/or conducted by the #UN and regional organizations around the world.

Explore the map โžก๏ธ bit.ly/4pzapC5

24.11.2025 14:38 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Many thanks to the Netherlands, Belgium and DRC missions for hosting and co-organizing our Just Future event, informing current and incoming Security Council members on MONUSCO mandate renewal.
@cordaid.bsky.social @sipri.org

12.11.2025 11:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The Security Council should not ask MONUSCO to do more with less. If it does, the Secretary-General should tell the Council what it needs to hear, not what it likes to hear: i.e. 'no can do.'

12.11.2025 11:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Last week @sipri.org org and @fesonline.bsky.social organized a scenarios workshop on the future of the Korean peninsula. Now already two participants wrote up their thoughts. Ken Jimbo (bit.ly/3LIELTT) & @johndelury.bsky.social (bit.ly/49eMdA3) Honoured to work with a group of great minds!

12.11.2025 11:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Ahead of the 25th anniversary of the WPS agenda, @sipri.org published its annual overview of women in multilateral PeaceOps (EU, OSCE and UN). How are organizations, missions and states performing on the aim of gender balance?
The answers are here: bit.ly/47at2WJ

20.10.2025 11:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

What will be the impact of reduced funding for multilateral conflict management and increasing disregard of norms on global peace and security? It will be messy!

The research will continue, also to provide input to the UN Peace Operations Review. @UNPeacekeeping @UNDPPA

04.10.2025 09:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@pdwilliamsgwu.bsky.social @usmaanaali.bsky.social @fes ps

26.09.2025 17:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
SIPRI co-hosts workshop on the future of conflict management in Africa On 2โ€“4 September 2025, SIPRI and the Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung (FES) hosted a regional workshop in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, bringing together experts and practitioners to explore the future of conflict m...

As conflict management in 10 years is likely more bilateral and ad hoc, the question is: how to manage this diversity of actors?
Earlier this month, participants at a @sipri.org and @fesonline.bsky.social workshop, explored the future of conflict management in Africa: bit.ly/3KfZRsf.

26.09.2025 17:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Von der Leyen says Europe is drawing up 'precise' plans to send troops to Ukraine, FT reports Europe is drawing up "pretty precise plans" for a multinational troop deployment to Ukraine as part of post-conflict security guarantees that will have the backing of U.S. capabilities, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen told the Financial Times in an interview published Sunday.

And Putin agrees to having EU troops in Ukraine? JAQ: www.reuters.com/world/europe...

31.08.2025 22:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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U.S. Proposes a More Lethal โ€˜Gang-Suppression Forceโ€™ for Haiti

International cooperation means you scratch each other's back and do not always try to get your way. The US pushed through the closure of the UN mission in Lebanon, UNIFIL. Will it now get support for a more lethal โ€˜Gang-Suppression Forceโ€™ for Haiti www.nytimes.com/2025/08/28/u...

29.08.2025 09:32 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Great continuation of our @sipri.org and @fesonline conversations on the topic in Dakar!!! While the need for conflict management is increasing, consensus, funds, willingness and interests at the multilateral level are lacking. Is the future deinstititionalized, fragmented, and more militarised?

11.08.2025 09:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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This SIPRI map highlights all multilateral #PeaceOperations active as of 1 May 2025 plus a number of missions and operations authorized and/or conducted by the United Nations and regional organizations around the world.

Explore the map โžก๏ธ bit.ly/4mvArFuNew

10.07.2025 08:07 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Nearly all of the nine nuclear-armed statesโ€”๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโ€”continued intensive nuclear modernization programmes in 2024, upgrading existing weapons and adding newer versions. Read the press release๐Ÿ”— bit.ly/45TEl57

#SIPRIYearbook #NuclearWeapons #ArmsControl #NuclearRisk #Disarmament #NonProliferation

15.06.2025 22:32 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 12    ๐Ÿ” 11    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russia and the USA together possess around 90% of all nuclear weapons. Both continue extensive modernization programmes. Find out more ๐Ÿ”— bit.ly/45TEl57

#SIPRIYearbook #NuclearWeapons #ArmsControl #NuclearRisk #Disarmament #NonProliferation

15.06.2025 22:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Nuclear risks grow as new arms race loomsโ€”new SIPRI Yearbook out now (Stockholm, 16 June 2025) The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) today launches its annual assessment of the state of armaments, disarmament and international security. Key findi...

๐Ÿ“ข Nuclear risks grow as new arms race loomsโ€”new SIPRI Yearbook out now. Read the press release ๐Ÿ”— bit.ly/45TEl57

#SIPRIYearbook #NuclearWeapons #ArmsControl #NuclearRisk #Disarmament #NonProliferation

15.06.2025 22:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
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Main contributors of police personnel to UN and non-UN Multilateral Peace Operations:
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ณSenegal 1215
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ผRwanda 1097
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ชKenya 473
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌEgypt 397
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฒCameroon 363
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ญGhana 356
๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ทMauritania 326
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฏDjibouti 238
๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ตNepal 228
๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฌNigeria 228
@sipri.org Fact Sheetโžก๏ธ bit.ly/3HhIZzQ

03.06.2025 15:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Main contributors of military personnel to UN and non-UN Multilateral Peace Operations:
๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ตNepal 5908
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉBangladesh 5482
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณIndia 5211
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ผRwanda 4779
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฌUganda 4655
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡นEthiopia 3715
๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฆSouth Africa 3706
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฎBurundi 2971
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ชKenya 2642
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐPakistan 2598
@sipri.org Fact Sheetโžก๏ธ bit.ly/3HhIZzQ

03.06.2025 15:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Current trends in multilateral peace operations include geopolitical rivalries and uncertain regionalization.
Looking ahead expect more:
1๏ธโƒฃMultilateral inaction; and
2๏ธโƒฃDeinstitutionalization/fragmentation, and
3๏ธโƒฃMilitarization/securitization of efforts that do take place.
โžก๏ธ doi.org/10.55163/VVWF7280

26.05.2025 15:09 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

In a world where conflict seems to be on the rise, tools of conflict management seem to be in decline.

Explore our map โžก๏ธ bit.ly/4mvArFu, and @sipri.org data on multilateral #PeaceOps โžก๏ธ bit.ly/3SolkzX

Proud of Claudia Pfeifer Cruz for putting the facts together!

bsky.app/profile/sipr...

26.05.2025 15:03 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

New @sipri.org data on multilateral #peaceoperations out now!

Don't worry! It is only 6% less personnel, and 2 operations fewer than last year!

26.05.2025 14:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Out of all multilateral peace operations international personnel:
๐Ÿ‘‰69% were deployed in UN-led operations
๐Ÿ‘‰74% were hosted in Sub-Saharan Africa

See the new
@sipri.org data out now:
Press releaseโžก๏ธ bit.ly/3SolkzX
Mapโžก๏ธ bit.ly/4mvArFu
Fact sheetโžก๏ธ doi.org/10.55163/VVW...

26.05.2025 14:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The 61 Multilateral Peace Operations active in 2024 were located in:
๐Ÿ‘‰Sub-Saharan Africa (21),
๐Ÿ‘‰Europe (19),
๐Ÿ‘‰Middle East and North Africa (14),
๐Ÿ‘‰Americas (4)
๐Ÿ‘‰Asia and Oceania (3)
Operations are particularly an African affair in personnel numbers, less in mission numbers.

SIPRI data out now!

26.05.2025 14:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
@sipri.org @fesonline.bsky.social @unpeacekeeping.bsky.social

@sipri.org @fesonline.bsky.social @unpeacekeeping.bsky.social

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The Berlin Peacekeeping Ministerial discussed partnerships, modular approaches and pledges. Our FES-SIPRI side event "The Future of Conflict Management and Peace Operations" discussed what to do if partners are disfunctional and many of the modules are insufficiently invested in.

16.05.2025 10:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Really interesting discussions on the future of peacekeeping and peacebuilding on the eve of the 2025 Berlin Peacekeeping Ministerial. How to keep what we have afloat? peaceoperations.net @zif.bsky.social

12.05.2025 13:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0