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Erica Groshen

@ericagroshen.bsky.social

Economist, Sr. Econ Advisor at Cornell -ILR. 14th Commissioner of BLS. Formerly at NY & Cleveland Federal Reserve Banks. Now in Seattle!

1,788 Followers  |  115 Following  |  216 Posts  |  Joined: 09.02.2025
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Posts by Erica Groshen (@ericagroshen.bsky.social)

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BLS staffing is down 25% but they are now allowed to hire again.
www.usajobs.gov/job/859334800

01.03.2026 14:50 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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The Friends of the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Here's background about Friends of BLS
www.friendsofbls.org

01.03.2026 13:25 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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Trump’s BLS Pick to Contend With Leadership Vacuum, Staff Losses President Donald Trump’s pick to lead the Bureau of Labor Statistics will go up against critical leadership gaps and staffing shortages that threaten the agency’s role in informing economic policy.

On the nomination of Brett Matsumoto as BLS commissioner, #CornellILR senior economics advisor @ericagroshen.bsky.social says: "I was happy to see that we’re getting someone who has a strong professional record and knows BLS from the inside."

10.02.2026 14:53 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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No Company Has Admitted to Replacing Workers With AI in New York New York state has required companies to disclose if β€œtechnological innovation or automation” was the cause of job loss for nearly a year. So far, none has.

#CornellILR's @ericagroshen.bsky.social says New York's effort to track AI-related layoffs is a start, but argues employers should be required to share more detailed data on changing skills and occupations so workers can navigate transitions, rather than simply labeling job losses as caused by AI.

09.02.2026 14:32 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Yes, @aaronsojourner.org, exactly right. No one outside BLS sees numbers before they are final. And the Commissioner does not see preliminary numbers. The processes used are decentralized & automated. Fudging would disrupt the system, be noticeable, and staff would talk.

07.02.2026 01:57 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It is confusing.
At BLS, the Consumer Expenditure Survey is usually referred to as the β€œCE” or β€œCEX” to avoid just that confusion.

06.02.2026 05:11 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

@crampell.bsky.social @samsutton.bsky.social

06.02.2026 00:23 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

#labor #labormarket #economics #BLS #BEA #Census #ERS #SOI #NASS #NCSES #ORES #EIA #NCES #NCHS #BJS #BTS
@betseystevenson.bsky.social @aaronsojourner.org @apduorg.bsky.social @copafs.bsky.social @nabe-econ.bsky.social @asa-scipol.bsky.social @nickhartphd.bsky.social @bencasselman.bsky.social

06.02.2026 00:23 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

#statistics #data #federalstatistics #datainfrastructure #federaldata #economicstatistics #officialstatistics #statisticalagencies #economicdata #CPI #unemployment #employment #GDP #monetarypolicy #inflation #jobs #jobsday #productivity #markets #infotech #finance

06.02.2026 00:23 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump admin moves to finalize return of Schedule F Officials estimate that around 50,000 federal workers will be stripped of their civil service protections beginning in around a month, as unions, employee associations and good government groups decry...

Bad news today.
The administration finalized a plan to remove civil service protections from about 50,000 federal workers, with no exemption for statistical or scientific agency personnel. This erodes protection of those agencies from political influence.
www.govexec.com/workforce/20... #econsky

06.02.2026 00:23 β€” πŸ‘ 107    πŸ” 75    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 10

@aaronsojourner.org @betseystevenson.bsky.social @justinwolfers.bsky.social @asa-scipol.bsky.social @nabe-econ.bsky.social @apduorg.bsky.social @copafs.bsky.social @c2er.bsky.social @jedkolko.bsky.social

#jobs #jobsday #statistics #data #employment #labormarket #labor #economics #finance

05.02.2026 21:22 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Annual Revisions for BLS Jobs Numbers Expected To Be Downward: The Causes Explained β€” The Friends of the Bureau of Labor Statistics The Friends of BLS have authored an explanation for the causes for the annual revisions of the BLS Jobs Numbers. You can access the document here .

When the #jobsreport is released on Wed. significant shifts in the jobs benchmarks are anticipated.
The Friends of BLS has issued a statement outlining what to expect and the reasons why.
Don't fall for uninformed overreactions!
www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2026...
#econsky

05.02.2026 21:22 β€” πŸ‘ 33    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1
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Trump Names β€˜Data Nerd’ to Lead Labor Statistics Agency

Erica Groshen (@ericagroshen.bsky.social), senior labor market advisor at #CornellILR, said she supports the selection of Brett Matsumoto as the new commissioner, explaining: β€œHe’s a B.L.S.-er, he’s a data nerd.”

Read more via @nytimes.com: www.nytimes.com/2026/01/30/b...

02.02.2026 14:57 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
The next Commissioner must not only manage the difficult responsibilities inherent to the role, but also repair public trust, defend the agency against perceived political interference, and accelerate critical modernization efforts across all programs. 

These unusually fraught circumstances mean that the Senate’s upcoming advice and consent responsibilities could be the most consequential ever for the BLS. We, the Friends of BLS, are working every day for the success of the Bureau’s mission, and that mission depends mightily on the leadership of the Commissioner. Given the unique parameters surrounding this nomination and the crossroads at which the Bureau now stands, the Friends urge the Senate to conduct a thorough and timely review of Dr. Matsumoto’s qualifications, as it has every preceding nominee.

The next Commissioner must not only manage the difficult responsibilities inherent to the role, but also repair public trust, defend the agency against perceived political interference, and accelerate critical modernization efforts across all programs. These unusually fraught circumstances mean that the Senate’s upcoming advice and consent responsibilities could be the most consequential ever for the BLS. We, the Friends of BLS, are working every day for the success of the Bureau’s mission, and that mission depends mightily on the leadership of the Commissioner. Given the unique parameters surrounding this nomination and the crossroads at which the Bureau now stands, the Friends urge the Senate to conduct a thorough and timely review of Dr. Matsumoto’s qualifications, as it has every preceding nominee.

1. On Brett Matsumoto's Nomination for BLS Commissioner www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2026...

04.02.2026 17:38 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Seattle is 1 of only 2 places regulating in this space, where you can work on cutting edge data & policy issues to improve working conditions.
You will work on groundbreaking data analysis and policy questions with a dynamic team that is mission driven, collaborative, and mutually supportive.

13.01.2026 20:26 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Data Strategist The City of Seattle is a leader on wage, labor, and workforce practices that enhance equity, address wage gaps, and create a fair and healthy economy for workers, businesses, and residents. The Office...

JOB OPENING
Seattle's Office of Labor Standards is hiring a Data Strategist to lead data and policv work related to β€œgig economy” and serve on their policy team.
Learn more and apply here. www.governmentjobs.com/careers/seat...

Position closes on 1/27. #econsky

13.01.2026 20:26 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Please join me and my colleagues for this fun session!

03.01.2026 16:24 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

#econbluesky #cpi #inflation #BLS #forecast #TIPS
@copafs.bsky.social @apduorg.bsky.social @asa-scipol.bsky.social @aaronsojourner.org @justinwolfers.bsky.social @steveliesman.bsky.social @jc-econ.bsky.social

01.01.2026 00:40 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Co-Chairs of the Friends of BLS Statement on the CPI Estimates for November 2025 β€” The Friends of the Bureau of Labor Statistics Many of the Friends of BLS follow the Bureau’s publications and press statements very closely. So do many who have not yet found the Friends but nevertheless value what BLS does, particularly in the a...

New statement from Friends of BLS:
"Some controversy...erupted on Dec. 30 following release of a highly informative Q&A that addressed how [BLS] estimated the Nov. 2025 CPI.
We..find no reason to see the hand of politics anywhere in the Bureau’s CPI work..."
www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025...

01.01.2026 00:40 β€” πŸ‘ 24    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

Livestreamed sessions from this weekend's American Economic Association annual gathering will be posted at www.aeaweb.org/conference/l...

31.12.2025 13:18 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

@apduorg.bsky.social @copafs.bsky.social @asa-scipol.bsky.social @aaronsojourner.org @nabe-econ.bsky.social @jasonfurman.bsky.social @bencasselman.bsky.social @jedkolko.bsky.social @aeainformation.bsky.social

30.12.2025 19:08 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Approximating missing data points Approximating missing data points

IMPORTANT: Includes link to a page on how to handle missing data. BLS won't insert the number for you. However, if you follow their advice, your estimate for CPI in October will be consistent with best practice and with what most others will use to fill in the gap. www.bls.gov/cpi/factshee...

30.12.2025 19:08 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2

12/30/25: New info from #BLS on impact of #shutdown on #CPI data, including:
How were Nov. indexes calculated?
Why BLS chose carry-forward imputation?
How missing Oct data will impact April 2026 rent & OER indexes?
Statistical weighting changes made in 11/25?

www.bls.gov/cpi/addition...
#econsky

30.12.2025 19:08 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

Thank you all experts for explaining "why BLS can't just ask people whether they were unemployed in Oct for the household survey" to me

And this one from Erika is a clear and definite one if you like a TLDR

21.11.2025 17:01 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Welcome, my friends!

22.11.2025 02:49 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image Post image

Hey, #EconSky!

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is here @usbls.bsky.social!
bsky.app/profile/usbl...

21.11.2025 14:51 β€” πŸ‘ 194    πŸ” 57    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 4

So great to see BLS back to work measuring and informing us about our large and dynamic economy.

It’s a great institution full of dedicated civil servants deeply committed their mission. They have had a tough year, and everyone is covering for someone who left. I thank them all for their service.

20.11.2025 16:48 β€” πŸ‘ 170    πŸ” 29    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2
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Revised news release dates following the 2025 lapse in appropriations Revised news release dates following the 2025 lapse in appropriations

Revised Release Dates for BLS Data Products.

www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lap...

19.11.2025 18:13 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Revised news release dates following the 2025 lapse in appropriations Revised news release dates following the 2025 lapse in appropriations

Follow this BLS page to see the revised schedule for releases:

www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lap...

20.11.2025 10:54 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Economic data is back following government reopening - here are the key events this week US economic data 2025: The U.S. government has reopened after its longest shutdown, paving the way for the release of critical economic data such as the September jobs report, CPI, PPI, and PCE. Key c...

#CornellILR's @ericagroshen.bsky.social says that the unusual length of the government closure means that some data was not collected on schedule, creating potential gaps in the upcoming reports. Each economic series will be affected differently depending on how, when + from whom data was gathered.

18.11.2025 14:59 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0