What Democrats can actually learn from the 1992 election
Bill Clinton's victory is supposed to prove that Democrats win by moving to the center. The data disagrees
What Democrats can actually learn from the 1992 election • Bill Clinton's victory is supposed to prove that Democrats win by moving to the center. The data disagrees
10.02.2026 12:03 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
52 percent of U.S. adults say Trump has made the economy worse
Three major polls this week show Americans remain deeply pessimistic about affordability, opportunity, and their economic future. Your weekly political data roundup for February 8, 2026.
52 percent of U.S. adults say Trump has made the economy worse • Three major polls this week show Americans remain deeply pessimistic about affordability, opportunity, and their economic future. Your weekly political data roundup for February 8, 2026.
08.02.2026 12:02 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
What Americans actually want done about ICE
Democratic proposals for reform earn supermajority support among U.S. voters
What Americans actually want done about ICE • Democratic proposals for reform earn supermajority support among U.S. voters
06.02.2026 12:03 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Yes, Democrats should run on ICE
Elliott and David Nir talk about 2026 strategy, the special election in Texas, and, voters' anxieties about the economy and democracy
Yes, Democrats should run on ICE • Elliott and David Nir talk about 2026 strategy, the special election in Texas, and, voters' anxieties about the economy and democracy
05.02.2026 22:35 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
More evidence that a large share of "moderates" are non-ideologues
A reader replicated my analysis of political ideology using alternative data
More evidence that a large share of "moderates" are non-ideologues • A reader replicated my analysis of political ideology using alternative data
03.02.2026 12:03 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
The Texas special election and 2026 political environment
Recapping Taylor Rehmet’s win in Texas last Saturday, immigration polling, and what's in store for 2026
The Texas special election and 2026 political environment • Recapping Taylor Rehmet’s win in Texas last Saturday, immigration polling, and what's in store for 2026
02.02.2026 21:55 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Democrats hit historic high in Fox News Poll as GOP loses ground on key issues
Plus: Trump's approval among independents falls to a record low, and the issue landscape shifts ahead of 2026. Your weekly political data roundup for February 1, 2026.
Democrats hit historic high in Fox News Poll as GOP loses ground on key issues • Plus: Trump's approval among independents falls to a record low, and the issue landscape shifts ahead of 2026. Your weekly political data roundup for February 1, 2026.
01.02.2026 12:03 — 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
Blue wave watch: Democrat flips Trump +17 Texas Senate seat in 32-point swing
A nerdy look at precinct-level data from the TX SD-9 special election
Blue wave watch: Democrat flips Trump +17 Texas Senate seat in 32-point swing • A nerdy look at precinct-level data from the TX SD-9 special election
01.02.2026 06:15 — 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
Americans voted for Trump, but never supported Trumpism
Donald Trump's policies have always been less popular than his promises
Americans voted for Trump, but never supported Trumpism • Donald Trump's policies have always been less popular than his promises
30.01.2026 12:03 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
The ICE shootings are a tipping point
Donald Trump's approval on immigration has dropped 18 points since taking office, and support for abolishing Immigration and Customs Enforcement has swung 50 points since Sept. 2024
The ICE shootings are a tipping point • Donald Trump's approval on immigration has dropped 18 points since taking office, and support for abolishing Immigration and Customs Enforcement has swung 50 points since Sept. 2024
27.01.2026 12:03 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
New Abolish ICE polling and the end of the Trump “realignment”
Your weekly political data roundup for January 25, 2026.
New Abolish ICE polling and the end of the Trump “realignment” • Your weekly political data roundup for January 25, 2026.
25.01.2026 12:03 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
The consent of the governed has been withdrawn
One year into his second term, Trump has suffered the largest approval collapse of any modern president (except the one who resigned in disgrace). He is underwater on every major policy area.
The consent of the governed has been withdrawn • One year into his second term, Trump has suffered the largest approval collapse of any modern president (except the one who resigned in disgrace). He is underwater on every major policy area.
23.01.2026 12:03 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Trump’s terrible polls, one year in
New polling shows the president losing voters on his signature issue. What that looks like at the local level, and what it means for 2026
Trump’s terrible polls, one year in • New polling shows the president losing voters on his signature issue. What that looks like at the local level, and what it means for 2026
23.01.2026 00:31 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
A very detailed map of Trump's job approval
Explore our new interactive map of Trump's job approval, powered by 12,000 survey interviews conducted in 2025 and 2026
A very detailed map of Trump's job approval • Explore our new interactive map of Trump's job approval, powered by 12,000 survey interviews conducted in 2025 and 2026
22.01.2026 12:03 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
New poll: Trump loses ground on immigration; Dems lead 2026 House vote by 8 points
The new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds Democrats start 2026 with their biggest lead yet on the 2026 House vote, while the GOP loses ground on immigration, the economy, and public safety
New poll: Trump loses ground on immigration; Dems lead 2026 House vote by 8 points • The new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds Democrats start 2026 with their biggest lead yet on the 2026 House vote, while the GOP loses ground on immigration, the economy, and public safety
21.01.2026 11:02 — 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
Backlash to Trump has been more severe in his second term
Gallup's latest data shows Republican party identification down 6 points in Trump's second term — three times the decline in 2017
Backlash to Trump has been more severe in his second term • Gallup's latest data shows Republican party identification down 6 points in Trump's second term — three times the decline in 2017
16.01.2026 12:04 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Trump has made ICE a 70-30 issue — for Democrats
By using brutal force in public, ICE has given Democrats a chance to change how voters think about immigration policy. Will they take it?
Trump has made ICE a 70-30 issue — for Democrats • By using brutal force in public, ICE has given Democrats a chance to change how voters think about immigration policy. Will they take it?
15.01.2026 12:03 — 👍 2 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0
All the poll questions readers suggested we ask in 2026
The final list from our community question-writing exercise in December
All the poll questions readers suggested we ask in 2026 • The final list from our community question-writing exercise in December
14.01.2026 12:01 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
How early is too early to look at midterm polls?
Early generic ballot polls are directionally useful, but the party out of power historically gains ground between now and November
How early is too early to look at midterm polls? • Early generic ballot polls are directionally useful, but the party out of power historically gains ground between now and November
13.01.2026 12:03 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Venezuela polling update: Republicans fall in line on comparatively unpopular action
Your weekly political data roundup for January 11, 2026.
Venezuela polling update: Republicans fall in line on comparatively unpopular action • Your weekly political data roundup for January 11, 2026.
11.01.2026 12:03 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Support for abolishing ICE hits a a new high
Americans have turned sharply against Immigration and Customs Enforcement, and say it too often resorts to violence
Support for abolishing ICE hits a a new high • Americans have turned sharply against Immigration and Customs Enforcement, and say it too often resorts to violence
09.01.2026 12:03 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Pardon my coup
Accurate political journalism requires a bias toward democracy
Pardon my coup • Accurate political journalism requires a bias toward democracy
07.01.2026 01:46 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Midterms are a backlash, not a referendum
The best predictor of historical midterm election outcomes is which party is in power, not its performance
Midterms are a backlash, not a referendum • The best predictor of historical midterm election outcomes is which party is in power, not its performance
06.01.2026 12:31 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Americans do not want war with Venezuela
Military intervention in the country is even more unpopular than Trump’s tariffs and health care cuts
Americans do not want war with Venezuela • Military intervention in the country is even more unpopular than Trump’s tariffs and health care cuts
04.01.2026 12:00 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
What voters in every state think about Trump and prices
Using MRP on our 2025 polling, Trump’s overall approval is underwater in 39 states— and his inflation numbers are negative in 49
What voters in every state think about Trump and prices • Using MRP on our 2025 polling, Trump’s overall approval is underwater in 39 states— and his inflation numbers are negative in 49
29.12.2025 12:31 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
10 new charts that show how Americans feel about prices and health care
Plus: take the 2025 reader survey to steer coverage for the next year! Your weekly political data roundup for December 21, 2025.
10 new charts that show how Americans feel about prices and health care • Plus: take the 2025 reader survey to steer coverage for the next year! Your weekly political data roundup for December 21, 2025.
21.12.2025 12:31 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Voters blame Trump for their economic woes
In a televised speech, Trump tried to turn around his affordability numbers by drawing attention to policies voters disapprove of
Voters blame Trump for their economic woes • In a televised speech, Trump tried to turn around his affordability numbers by drawing attention to policies voters disapprove of
19.12.2025 12:32 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Add your own questions to our 2026 election polls!
Strength In Numbers is planning to go big on interactive polling and modeling in 2026. Help us decide what questions to track on a monthly basis
Add your own questions to our 2026 election polls! • Strength In Numbers is planning to go big on interactive polling and modeling in 2026. Help us decide what questions to track on a monthly basis
18.12.2025 12:30 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
The high cost of rolling over on immigration
What Matt Yglesias, Hakeem Jeffries, and Keir Starmer got wrong about the politics of immigration
The high cost of rolling over on immigration • What Matt Yglesias, Hakeem Jeffries, and Keir Starmer got wrong about the politics of immigration
16.12.2025 12:32 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
The politics of young people is the politics of instability
Plus: gerrymandering, 2026, news diets, and more on affordability. Your weekly political data roundup for December 14, 2025
The politics of young people is the politics of instability • Plus: gerrymandering, 2026, news diets, and more on affordability. Your weekly political data roundup for December 14, 2025
14.12.2025 13:03 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
