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Andrew Gelman et al.

@statmodeling.bsky.social

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Latest posts by statmodeling.bsky.social on Bluesky

Should you place more trust in scientists if they are “intellectually humble”? | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Should you place more trust in scientists if they are “intellectually humble”?
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/08/04/s...

04.08.2025 13:35 — 👍 6    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 1
Uber could use your statistical analysis. | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Uber could use your statistical analysis.
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/08/03/5...

03.08.2025 21:12 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
“You can cite peer-reviewed research in support of almost any claim, no matter how absurd.” | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

“You can cite peer-reviewed research in support of almost any claim, no matter how absurd.”
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/08/03/y...

03.08.2025 14:05 — 👍 16    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 0
Measurement error in the strike zone | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Measurement error in the strike zone
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/08/02/m...

02.08.2025 13:49 — 👍 5    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
Controversy over different estimates of covid origins probabilities | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Controversy over different estimates of covid origins probabilities
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/08/01/d...

01.08.2025 13:18 — 👍 5    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 1
(1) Fitting hierarchical models in genetics, (2) A Stan model that runs faster with 400,000 latent parameters, (3) Super-scalable penalized maximum likelihood inference for biome problems, (4) “In th...

(1) Hierarchical models in genetics, (2) A Stan model with 400,000 latent parameters, (3) Super-scalable penalized maximum likelihood inference for biome problems, (4) “In the end, I basically gave up working on biology because of the politics.”
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/31/b...

31.07.2025 16:45 — 👍 13    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 1

Resolving Simpson’s paradox using poststratification
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/31/r...

31.07.2025 13:38 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
Using hierarchical modeling to get more stable rankings of gene expression | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Using hierarchical modeling to get more stable rankings of gene expression
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/30/u...

30.07.2025 14:06 — 👍 6    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
Survey Statistics: adjusting for interest in politics | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Survey Statistics: adjusting for interest in politics
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/29/s...

29.07.2025 20:01 — 👍 9    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 1
Bordwell’s Perplexing Plots | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Bordwell’s Perplexing Plots
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/29/b...

29.07.2025 13:21 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Israel/Palestine and political opinion-field inversion | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Israel/Palestine and political opinion-field inversion
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/28/i...

28.07.2025 13:16 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Trump and Epstein; Biden and Afghanistan; and the permission structure of public opinion | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Trump and Epstein; Biden and Afghanistan; and the permission structure of public opinion
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/27/t...

27.07.2025 13:22 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
What’s the purpose of a theorem? (Hint: It’s not what you think.) | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

What’s the purpose of a theorem? (Hint: It’s not what you think.)
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/26/w...

26.07.2025 14:26 — 👍 5    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 1
The two faces of academic social science | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

The two faces of academic social science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/25/t...

25.07.2025 13:53 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
An evaluation scheme for sampling | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

An evaluation scheme for sampling
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/24/a...

24.07.2025 19:53 — 👍 6    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
“Maybe They’re Born With It, or Maybe It’s Experience: Toward a Deeper Understanding of the Learning Style Myth” | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

“Maybe They’re Born With It, or Maybe It’s Experience: Toward a Deeper Understanding of the Learning Style Myth”
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/24/m...

24.07.2025 15:08 — 👍 8    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
Validity and deduction in causal inference | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Validity and deduction in causal inference
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/23/v...

23.07.2025 14:11 — 👍 6    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
Survey Statistics: a new paradigm | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Survey Statistics: a new paradigm
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/22/s...

23.07.2025 05:00 — 👍 5    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 1
Stan for multimodal mixtures—from exponential CPS to linear DP | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Stan for multimodal mixtures—from exponential CPS to linear DP
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/22/s...

22.07.2025 19:19 — 👍 6    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
Statistical Graphics and Comics: Parallel Histories of Visual Storytelling | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Statistical Graphics and Comics: Parallel Histories of Visual Storytelling
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/22/s...

22.07.2025 13:32 — 👍 8    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
What’s the range of uncertainty regarding the population of the Americas in 1492? | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

What’s the range of uncertainty regarding the population of the Americas in 1492?
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/21/w...

21.07.2025 13:35 — 👍 2    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
“A small group of mathematicians . . .” | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

“A small group of mathematicians . . .”
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/20/a...

20.07.2025 14:20 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Game theory as applied to the NYC mayoral election | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Game theory as applied to the NYC mayoral election
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/19/g...

19.07.2025 13:12 — 👍 4    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
I am no longer chairing defenses or joining committees where students use generative AI for their writing | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

I am no longer chairing defenses or joining committees where students use generative AI for their writing
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/18/i...

18.07.2025 19:25 — 👍 61    🔁 12    💬 1    📌 10
Problems with the conventions of journalism (everything has to be presented as new) and academic writing (everything has to be presented as important) | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and So...

Problems with the conventions of journalism (everything has to be presented as new) and academic writing (everything has to be presented as important)
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/18/p...

18.07.2025 13:22 — 👍 5    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
“Flipping the Narrative in ‘Slouching Towards Utopia’”: Counter-narratives going beyond the default economics model of exponential growth | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science...

“Flipping the Narrative in ‘Slouching Towards Utopia'”: Counter-narratives going beyond the default economics model of exponential growth
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/17/5...

17.07.2025 13:56 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

“Song for Aki”: Prof reportedly clears a half million bucks by requiring online students to pay $89.99 each for his self-published course notes
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/17/s...

16.07.2025 13:53 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Survey Statistics: Longitudinal/panel data | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Survey Statistics: Longitudinal/panel data
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/15/s...

15.07.2025 20:41 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 1
A bunch of readings and a new book on Bayesian meta-analysis | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

A bunch of readings and a new book on Bayesian meta-analysis
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/15/a...

15.07.2025 17:33 — 👍 8    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 2
Hey, Neurips and ICML. Time to do some scraping of your submissions to find the prevalence of LLM-reviewer instructions! | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Hey, Neurips and ICML. Time to do some scraping of your submissions to find the prevalence of LLM-reviewer instructions!
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/07/15/h...

15.07.2025 13:02 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0