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Andrew Gelman et al.

@statmodeling.bsky.social

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Latest posts by statmodeling.bsky.social on Bluesky

A Stan transpiler in Julia! | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

A Stan transpiler in Julia!
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/30/a...

30.01.2026 15:09 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
We’re looking for nominations for the American Statistical Association’s Excellence in Statistical Reporting Award. | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

We’re looking for nominations for the American Statistical Association’s Excellence in Statistical Reporting Award.
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/29/w...

29.01.2026 23:30 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Not quite adversarial collaboration | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Not quite adversarial collaboration
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/29/n...

29.01.2026 14:11 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
OK, I reread that classic paper by Paul Meehl, and . . . | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

OK, I reread that classic paper by Paul Meehl, and . . .
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/28/o...

28.01.2026 14:31 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
Postdoctoral position at the University of Pennsylvania on the study of political information | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Postdoctoral position at the University of Pennsylvania on the study of political information
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/27/p...

28.01.2026 13:06 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Survey Statistics: Total Margin of Error II | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Survey Statistics: Total Margin of Error II
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/27/s...

27.01.2026 22:45 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2
How the new era of CEO supervillains are trapped in their own ideology | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

How the new era of CEO supervillains are trapped in their own ideology
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/27/f...

27.01.2026 14:46 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Machine learning research is not serious research and therefore hallucinated references are not necessarily a big deal, agrees a prestigious group of machine learning researchers | Statistical Modeli...

Machine learning research is not serious research and therefore hallucinated references are not necessarily a big deal, agrees a prestigious group of machine learning researchers
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/26/m...

27.01.2026 01:13 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Science vs. superstition and the pluralist’s dilemma | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Science vs. superstition and the pluralist’s dilemma
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/26/s...

26.01.2026 14:58 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post-doc positions in Finland | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Post-doc positions in Finland
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/26/p...

26.01.2026 14:21 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
The myth of wage compensation for hazardous work rears its ugly head: This NYT article has been engineered to annoy economist Peter Dorman. | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Scien...

The myth of wage compensation for hazardous work rears its ugly head: This NYT article has been engineered to annoy economist Peter Dorman.
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/25/t...

25.01.2026 14:04 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
β€œHarvard dean made $150,000 as witness in Tylenol suits” | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

β€œHarvard dean made $150,000 as witness in Tylenol suits”
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/24/h...

24.01.2026 14:40 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
What’s the gender gap? Concerns about analyses using the Cooperative Election Study | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

What’s the gender gap? Concerns about analyses using the Cooperative Election Study
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/23/c...

23.01.2026 15:22 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
A decision theorist walks into a seminar | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

A decision theorist walks into a seminar
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/22/a...

23.01.2026 00:49 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
This paper in Management Science has been cited more than 6,000 times. Wall Street executives, top government officials, and even a former U.S. Vice President have all referenced it. It’s fatally fl...

This paper in Management Science has been cited more than 6,000 times. Wall Street execs, top govt officials, and even a former U.S. Vice President have all referenced it. It’s fatally flawed, and the scholarly community refuses to do anything about it.
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/22/a...

22.01.2026 14:31 β€” πŸ‘ 28    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2
What, a coincidence? What a coincidence! | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

What, a coincidence? What a coincidence!
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/21/w...

21.01.2026 22:32 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2
200,000 comments | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

200,000 comments
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/21/2...

21.01.2026 14:28 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Survey Statistics: Total Margin of Error | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Survey Statistics: Total Margin of Error
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/20/s...

21.01.2026 01:38 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
Once more about the z-curve method | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Once more about the z-curve method
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/20/o...

20.01.2026 18:30 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Two workflow challenges from 2012 that were solved as a byproduct of something else | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Two workflow challenges from 2012 that were solved as a byproduct of something else
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/20/t...

20.01.2026 14:58 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Seeking feedback from clinicians on AI as diagnostic decision support | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Seeking feedback from clinicians on AI as diagnostic decision support
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/19/s...

19.01.2026 21:52 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Noem’s Razor: Never attribute to stupidity that which is adequately explained by malice. | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Noem’s Razor: Never attribute to stupidity that which is adequately explained by malice.
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/19/n...

19.01.2026 14:23 β€” πŸ‘ 25    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2
Retroactively Validated Hype | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Retroactively Validated Hype
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/18/r...

18.01.2026 14:09 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
β€œCoding for humans: Best practices for writing software people can read” | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

β€œCoding for humans: Best practices for writing software people can read”
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/17/c...

17.01.2026 14:33 β€” πŸ‘ 23    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
Don’t get any on you | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Don’t get any on you
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/16/d...

17.01.2026 12:59 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
More concerns about the z-curve method | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

More concerns about the z-curve method
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/16/m...

16.01.2026 22:01 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Survey Statistics: Margin of Error | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Survey Statistics: Margin of Error
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/13/s...

16.01.2026 22:00 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
Some questions and ideas about initialization for ADVI | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Some questions and ideas about initialization for ADVI
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/16/s...

16.01.2026 15:32 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
FDA guidance on Bayesian clinical trials | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

FDA guidance on Bayesian clinical trials
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/15/f...

15.01.2026 16:50 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Horseshoe theory meets cost-benefit analysis. Horseshoe wins. | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Horseshoe theory meets cost-benefit analysis. Horseshoe wins.
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/15/h...

15.01.2026 16:11 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0