@statmodeling.bsky.social
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If you’re interested in the Box-Cox power transformation . . .
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/12/i...
Seven-parameter drift-diffusion pdfs and cdfs now in Stan
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/11/s...
A slew of improvements to NUTS
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/11/a...
“We conclude that apparent effects of growth mindset interventions on academic achievement are likely attributable to inadequate study design, reporting flaws, and bias.”
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/11/w...
StanCon 2026 registration and abstract submission are now open
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/11/s...
25,000 lives saved per ship sunk, $100,000 per citation, a probability of 10^-90 of a decisive vote . . . Is there a through line from B.S. numbers in junk science to B.S. numbers coming from the government?
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/10/i...
Survey Statistics: divine probabilities
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/09/s...
“it has been argued that current chatbots may pose a risk of amplifying delusional thinking in vulnerable users, due to their tendency to sycophantic and overly validating behaviour”
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/09/i...
More on school reform, this time New Orleans
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/09/m...
My new class this spring: POLS 4280, Rationalizing the World: The Hopes and Disappointments of American Social Science from 1900 to the Present
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/08/m...
The life of the artist “is a constant–and constantly losing–battle to keep at bay...the permanent shortfall of physical and mental abilities in the context of the perfection that art strives to be, and...the inevitable arrival of silence and death.”
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/07/l...
This guy hates sociology.
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/06/t...
An idea for getting approximately calibrated 50% subjective probability ranges
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/06/a...
The Sapolsky Sanction
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/05/t...
When the numbers don’t look right, check them! (Mississippi education update)
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/04/w...
From Bayesian inference to LLMs (Steve Bronder’s 2025 CppCon talk)
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/04/f...
Gerd Gigerenzer on the legacy of Daniel Kahneman
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/03/g...
Survey Statistics: probability samples vs epsem samples vs SRS samples
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/02/s...
Donald Trump and Jeffrey Epstein in a remake of The Big Clock
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/02/t...
Effective sample size depends on the quantity
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/02/e...
How much of “Mississippi’s education miracle” is an artifact of selection bias?
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/01/h...
Sermet Pekin’s open-source project that discovers blogs through recursive network exploration
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/11/30/s...
What’s it like to be the child of a white-collar criminal?
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/11/29/w...
Flagging when the prior distribution is informative
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/11/28/h...
Larry Summers, Ken Starr, Jeffrey Epstein, and everyone else
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/11/27/l...
Effective sample size
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/11/27/e...
The three funniest items on the Kroger recall list
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/11/26/k...
The purpose of science vs. the purpose of scientists
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/11/26/t...
Survey Statistics: quantity vs quality
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/11/25/s...
Problems with the so-called gender equality paradox
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/11/25/p...