John Ridge 🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼

>the regime functionaries are yellow border posting on main
@adam35.bsky.social come get ur mans

Might even say it was an ERINT missile

Not CENTCOM using two previously undisclosed Tomahawk mods in their opening strikes. A TLAM with new RAM coating (supposedly) and forward-swept wings TLAM (regular Tomahawks don't have forward-swept wings).

Equally not good that none of our F-16s or F-15E/EXs have MAWS installed, either on the airframe or in pylons.

This is far from being on the scale of the Gulf Wars. 2003 alone had over 730 fighter (80 allied/655 US) aircraft and 50 bombers taking part.

The current build up has only 250 US fighter aircraft in total. This force, when joined by Israel and Jordan, barely rises to 600.

I regret to inform you that Iran and Libya are different countries.

And I don’t think any of us know the expectations. Establishing consequences for the mass murder of >30,000 people is reason enough.

They are probably being fed a line imo. The quantity of assets is far in excess of what is necessary to attack the residual nuclear infrastructure.

Given capability tends to equate to intent, I suspect it will be a broad campaign against Iran’s military capabilities and industrial capacity.

Ignoring that 2, 3, 4 are a thing already, the issue here is that you can't be both distributed, self-sufficient, decently equipped to deal a blow, and withstand a blow, while also being capable of withering attrition, and staying connected to and supporting forward elements of USAF ACE/FARP stuff.

Clausewitz on the Very Bad Ideas to Reform the War Colleges An Opportunity to Expose Errors and Discuss How One Can Gain Experience From Books

I've deployed a truly excessive number of Clausewitz quotations to address that terrible article on the war colleges.

At the same time, these quotes (mainly from book II) illustrate how Clausewitz saw theory as a tool for learning how to learn from experience.

open.substack.com/pub/deadcarl...

Very nice of them to vindicate my hypothesis that China would resume tests in the near future

It's good thing then that Taiwan and Ukraine are not yours to give up. Ukraine fights and Taiwan will fight not because anyone is forcing them to but because they think their countries are worth defending. This level of spineless bootlicking is nauseating.

Something I couldn't possibly comment on, but would like to pull the pin on the discursive hand grenade for anyway, is more granularity when we talk about nuclear latency. There is a spectrum from "we have some plutonium somewhere" to "I have one cable left to plug in before launch". Details matter!

What is this shit? Since when did effectively resisting one of the largest militaries on Earth to a standstill and retaining sovereignty over 80% of your pre-invasion territory become a bad outcome? Rus continues to pay every inch with a hundred bodies. It doesn't have to, it can stop at any moment.

Russia does not actually need a rare tree frog from Ecuador to get the toxin that killed Navalny

"Don't proliferate, even though we over-reassured you, and therefore we don't want to reassure as much as we did before. But don't think this is an excuse to proliferate cause that is wrong. But don't count on us just yet either."

JD posts the dumbest shit as if he had some sort of secret, insider knowledge and the fact that he is at the NSC is an indictment of whatever process got him there:

Oh so that’s what became of him

one of the mind traps of late 2010s-early 2020s left of center online political keyboard warrioring was giving stalinists, maoists, most anarchists the time of day

they have reach parity w/liberals on twitter and bluesky and *some* academia settings, nowhere else, you seriously can just ignore them

Avi Loeb this, Stephen Hawking that - you know which great modern physicists aren't in the Epstein files?

Boo fucking hoo

Biblically accurate Dorf

for all my cold sober realist natsec & China hawk GOPers (I know you're here somewhere), this is also roughly enough to replace all the SM-3s we shot in defense of Israel

or about 5 more F-35s

or about 6 months of operations at Pantex

etc etc , all of which would make the country safer than this

English translation of statement from Ecuadorian Consulate regarding ICE’s attempt to enter their building in Minneapolis today:

Well well, if it isn't the KKV brothers.