Dominik Schraff

Rechtsextremismus - Warum die radikale Rechte so stark wird Rechtsradikale Parteien profitieren von nachlassender Stigmatisierung. Forschung zum politischen Verhalten zeigt, dass extreme Positionen offener gelebt werden.

Krisen, Frust oder Angst vor dem sozialen Abstieg, das sind einige Ansätze, um das zu erklären: Warum so schnell viel mehr Menschen radikal rechte Parteien unterstützen, nicht nur in D. Seltener wird geschaut, inwiefern die Einstellungen schon da waren. share.deutschlandradio.de/dlf-audiothe... 1/

International Criminal Court to ditch Microsoft Office for European open source alternative | Euractiv The court will move its internal work environment to Open Desk, a German-developed open source software

It’s not easy to break free from deep dependencies. But it can be done. ICC to drop MS for German alternative ⬇️

www.euractiv.com/news/interna...

Happy to share that my article with Miguel Rueda and Shuning Ge is out for early view at @bjpols.bsky.social.

We show that the level of aggregation at which electoral results are published affects election integrity.

www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

🚨 New piece out at @thejop.bsky.social w awesome @cvargiu.bsky.social & D Garzia

If incivility means breaking norms, & norms are person- and context-dependent, *does incivility even exist*?

In the stage-2 registered report we investigate what drives perceptions of incivility

tinyurl.com/4h5u4y8y

🌍 Brussels effect or 🪃 boomerang?

Francesca Minetto (@hertieschool.bsky.social) shows that over 20% of EU legislation draws directly on international models, revealing that the EU not only exports but also imports policies 👇

🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Welfare cuts are fuelling far right rise, warns UN expert NEW YORK – The rolling back of protections for people living in poverty has created fertile ground for far-right movements across the world, warned the Special Rapporteur on extreme poverty and human ...

My message at the United Nations General Assembly #UNGA80: "Welfare cuts are fuelling far right rise"

Press release ➡️: www.ohchr.org/en/press-rel...

🧭 Natascha Zaun takes the long view on how EU migration policy evolved from integration to selective consolidation: from Amsterdam to today's ad hoc Schengen suspension 👇

🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Wonderful to see our paper on perceived inequality and populism at the EJPR. 👇

a red and white flag with a white cross on it is flying in the wind ALT: a red and white flag with a white cross on it is flying in the wind

💶🛡️ Can the EU learn from 1915 Switzerland on financing defence?

⚔️ Tiziano Zgaga traces how Swiss cantons organised defence spending at the central level and what this experience can teach today’s EU about creating fiscal capacity👇

🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

To be clear: deportations to increase cultural homogeneity is the text book definition of ethnic cleansing. Demands that come even close to this are so far outside any democratic norm and the rule of law. What has happened to a country when this is not condemned in the strongest possible terms?

Paths to Power (PtP) is out in @bjpols.bsky.social! It is a database with data on cabinet members' social profile globally from 1966-2021.

This is a great team effort with @chknutsen.bsky.social, @peterla.bsky.social, @inalkristiansen.bsky.social. But many more helped us along the way 🙏

A short 🧵

Citizens in 🥜-regions closer to Russia became more supportive of EU defence, enlargement & foreign policy after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine (exception: energy policy)

By @giorgiomalet.bsky.social and @svenhegewald.bsky.social

🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

New EU members could join without full voting rights New plan is the latest attempt to breathe life into an expansion process that is currently being blocked by Hungarian leader Viktor Orbán and others.

Fascinating intiative being discussed in EU circles about easing enalrgement by accepting new members without granting them veto rights.

This would build on the idea of 'staged accession' spearheaded by @stevenblockmans.bsky.social and others.

German far right setting agenda as opponents amplify its ideas, study finds Normalisation of far-right stances likely to affect success of such parties at ballot boxes across Europe, say researchers

German far right setting agenda as opponents amplify its ideas, study finds www.theguardian.com/world/2025/o...

Why do rustbelts vote radical right? Studying the German Ruhr area, @nilsblossey.bsky.social, @lstoetze.bsky.social and I show: it’s not just about deindustrialization, but also about the original industrialization. Where coal is buried deeper and mining started later, the AfD is stronger today 1/12

NL needs an electoral threshold, eg. 4% (as in Sweden). It would encourage smaller parties to merge, voters to coordinate around medium and larger parties, and make coalition formation easier, governments more stable, and improve governability overall.

Come on guys, Europe needs you to do this!

Oh yay, since there's no open professorships due to budget cuts all around, a record number of ECRs have to gamble their hopes for future on getting one of the few lifelines still available! Fantastic!

Migrant Electoral Rights Dataset (1960-2020)

📊 Link to dataset: hdl.handle.net/1814/93661

📕 Link to codebook: cadmus.eui.eu/server/api/c...

💼 Link to 400 page documentation: cadmus.eui.eu/server/api/c...

Here is a very niche sign of how far the US has fallen.

If you attend a political science conference today, you will hear scholars stumbling over how to introduce datasets that until last year were known as describing "wealthy industrialized democracies".

Great study on the urban-rural divide in Sweden. Clear attitude- and identity-based polarization, but no systematic bias towards out-group political candidates.

Simulate Data from a DAG and Associated Node Information Simulate complex data from a given directed acyclic graph and information about each individual node. Root nodes are simply sampled from the specified distribution. Child Nodes are simulated according...

I'm starting to explore {simDAG}, a nifty #rstats package that has a nice API for specifying DAGs and then simulating data from them: robindenz1.github.io/simDAG/

Credit Claiming in the European Union | The Journal of Politics: Vol 87, No 3 Incumbents in multilevel systems are assumed to exploit uncertainty of responsibility by claiming credit and shifting blame, yet little is known about when and how they engage in these rhetorical stra...

🚨 New(ish) Publication Alert! Delighted to see my article Credit Claiming in the EU @thejop.bsky.social I explore a classic question for accountability in Europe: when and why do govs claim credit for the work of the EU and shift blame onto Brussels to avoid responsibility? doi.org/10.1086/732970

The Spanish centre-right is taking a tumble and the far-right is on the rise.

I was lucky enough to present some new causal work on Friday at LSE showing that the PP does better when it signals distinctiveness from VOX.

~1.5K tests, same result. Rejecting far-right benefits centre-right

Increasingly, politics in West Europe is a mirror of East Europe, with a large radical right party against a rag-tag of centrist/liberal, centre-left, green and radical left parties and a rapidly declining centre right. The challenge is to coordinate the progressive opposition to the radical right.

A game of tariffs: is there demand for tariffs in Europe? In April 2025, the United States introduced sweeping tariffs on imports from the European Union and the United Kingdom, raising transatlantic tensions and prompting debate over Europe’s response. T...

Tariffs might be the word of 2025.

Given the state of *looks around* we asked: is there demand for tariffs in Europe?

@grahn.bsky.social @katharinalawall.bsky.social @sophiemainz.bsky.social Maria Nordbrandt & I show the answer is a resolute no
@jeppjournal.bsky.social

doi.org/10.1080/1350...

How do different forms of state capacity protect democracy? D Andersen, @chknutsen.bsky.social & @skaaning.bsky.social argue coercive & administrative capacity affect stability in distinct ways depending on threat: buff.ly/2yUrCqu

@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social @uoypolitics.bsky.social @sagepub.com

The two steps of the current political dance in the European Parliament:

In the short-term, the EPP's threat to vote with the far-right worked, with the socialists S&D caving on the omnibus deregulation. Now every time the EPP can threaten them with a worse alternative. (From @euractiv.com).

🤖How can we turn text into a reliable quantitative measure using supervised learning?

➡️Ju Yeon Park & J M Montgomery outline a framework, illustrated with the tone of questions in U.S. Senate confirmation hearings www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

@dpzollinger.bsky.social and I are thrilled "Cleavage Politics in Western Democracies" is out as an SI at @wepsocial.bsky.social!

Its papers explore the foundations of the cleavage pitting new left against radical right parties, and how it compares to the classic cleavages of Lipset & Rokkan:

🧵⬇️

@carotorreblanca.bsky.social , Will Dinneen, and my paper entitled "Political Science Under Pressure: Competition and Collaboration in a Growing Discipline, 2003-2023" has been (conditionally) accepted at @poppublicsphere.bsky.social.

This paper has been a labor of love. osf.io/preprints/os...