kryanproctor.bsky.social

Maybe add to it that stats and methods must be tightly coupled in a derivation chain?

I would be fascinated to know what Austin Turk would think about our modern political situation.

such authorities are charlatans. We use these models as a way to produce historical comparisons of similar situations (i.e., collapsing social systems) that can serve as the basis for specifying and testing hypothesis. /7

Thus, no one could replace Trump’s causal role in history. History is about particulars. But this doesn’t mean we can gain no semblance of general knowledge. This general knowledge comes from a an ideal type that specifies the general nature of charismatic authority and the situations under which…/6

The social traits selected for vary by era, so no one will be identical to Trump in the past. Moreover, selection doesn’t necessarily mean success (selection pressures are not teleological). /5

traditional institutions, such as the press and public education. Religion, too.

Under these conditions, selection pressures mount for individuals who can create certainty and order.4/

Charismatic authority only arises under certain conditions, particularly in times of high uncertainty or turbulent times. We have been observing the rapid decline of the post-WWII historical epoch. Its end is being accelerated by the death of boomers and rapid tech change and the collapse of…3/

A Weberian ideal type is not a generalization, it is an ideal representation of a phenomenon, such as charismatic authority as noted above. Such representations carve out the conditions necessary for the phenomenon to occur, meaning there is no claim about universalism being made.2/

This is where traditional science breaks down. Science typically deals with empirical regularities. One-off events are difficult to understand under such an approach because they are unique and impossible to reproduce. They yield no generalizations.1/

AI is no panacea.

www.timeextension.com/news/2025/06...

Apple Researchers Just Released a Damning Paper That Pours Water on the Entire AI Industry Researchers at Apple have released a damning paper that throws cold water on the "reasoning" capabilities of modern AIs.

This is one of the reasons I am skeptical of AI in social research. Nomological and correlative approaches have difficult times explaining complex social phenomena. AI does too.

futurism.com/apple-damnin...

See chapters 3 & 4 in Mechanistic Criminology.

I am excited to announce I accepted a new position at the University of Missouri—Kansas City. They recently became a Research I University.

I’ll be joining wonderful colleagues and am excited for the new opportunities that await.

It’s fun. It’s processual. It focuses on deviance and how definitions of it change over time as a result of social conflicts. It’s really accessible, like most of Howie Becker’s works.

If by ‘best’ you mean most scientific, Retrofit Social Learning Theory. It’s the only theory that is precisely stated enough to possibly be falsified.

My favorite theory, though, Becker’s Labeling Theory.

👉 This is an important issue of The Criminologist. It contains five pieces about academic publishing in our field, three of which involve #Criminology.

The final essays by @SJacques83 on #OpenAccess and by Deena Isom on the #PeerReview crisis are also terrific. 👏

asc41.org/wp-content/u...

Roadhouse.

It could also be a background to a Jack Handy “Deep Thoughts”:)

I can imagine the late nite at with song titles scrolling!

Flexibility in Variable Operationalization in Social Disorganization Theory: A Research Note

Excited to announce my research team's paper below was just accepted for publication in the journal: Criminology. Criminology is the top criminology journal for the scientific study of crime. This is a major career accomplishment.

www.crimrxiv.com/pub/4q0m4dc3...

In this paper, we show how empirical tests of disorganization theory lack standardized operationalizations of key constructs. This paper provides initial evidence that weaknesses in theory can potentially influence false-positive research results independently of traditional methodological concerns.

Flexibility in Variable Operationalization in Social Disorganization Theory: A Research Note

I am excited to announce our paper "Flexibility in Variable Operationalization in Social Disorganization Theory: A Research Note" has been accepted for publication in the journal Criminology.

#crim #sociology

www.crimrxiv.com/pub/4q0m4dc3...

We are working on setting up a list of guests now! I’ll keep you posted.

The fallacy of expertise is in abundance on social media. Thanks for the reminder!

Congrats on the book and the attention it is getting!

There are several online services you can use that are pretty convenient.

Research Fellow in Historical Criminology Ref: 40549 (Fixed term) - Job page - University of Sussex Job Search

3 year Research Fellow post in Historical Criminology based at Sussex. Working with me and @esmoriemiller.bsky.social on Leverhulme funded project Imagining Race, Crime and Justice in Sailortown, 1870-1939. Please repost, send to anyone who might be interested: jobs.sussex.ac.uk/job/18442578...

So are the American people.

This isn’t enough to allow for ‘blast processing’ :)

#nintendon’t
#SEGA

What if schools could improve student behaviour not through punitive measures but by addressing the well-evidenced link between anti-social morality and adolescent problem behaviour?

Join us and @satnavproject.bsky.social at our #eapl2025 workshop
eapl2025.com/workshops/