Heather Rolfe's Avatar

Heather Rolfe

@heather-rolfe.bsky.social

Senior Research Fellow @britishfuture.bsky.social Mostly interested in immigration, employment, migrants’ new lives in UK and public attitudes

5,343 Followers  |  674 Following  |  159 Posts  |  Joined: 16.08.2024
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Posts by Heather Rolfe (@heather-rolfe.bsky.social)

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‘Treat us fairly’: skilled workers face having their dream of settling in UK snatched away As government mulls doubling requirement to 10 years, the uncertainty is putting many who came to Britain to work under strain

‘Treat us fairly’: skilled workers face having their dream of settling in UK snatched away

03.03.2026 11:01 — 👍 50    🔁 16    💬 3    📌 4
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Iran is host to one of the world’s largest refugee populations, most of them from Afghanistan.

Here’s what to know about this group and how Iran’s approach has changed over time

https://bit.ly/4h4QJBw

02.03.2026 20:50 — 👍 4    🔁 6    💬 0    📌 0

Treasury plans depend on net migration being much higher than current policy will deliver or current Home Secretary willing to accept.

Something will have to give. Will Labour deliver tax rises and spending cuts just before an election to keep net imm close to zero? Or let imm rise to avert this?

01.03.2026 11:15 — 👍 136    🔁 62    💬 8    📌 2
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Shabana Mahmood to announce asylum system changes to take effect From Monday, asylum seekers granted refugee status in the UK will be offered only temporary protection.

Major changes to asylum system set to come into force www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

02.03.2026 08:19 — 👍 4    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 3
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A Danish lesson for Labour on how to stop migrants and start winning Like the home secretary, I visited recently to learn how the centre-left is riding high and reclaiming the asylum debate from the populist right

Lots of chat about Mahmoud copying Denmark's Social Democrats, and Labour 'winning' with tougher asylum and immigration policies. Jason Cowley here, for example. But there's a crucial difference between the two countries.

www.thetimes.com/world/europe...

01.03.2026 10:29 — 👍 24    🔁 14    💬 5    📌 3

You’re forgetting the large men left behind on the platform while women of smaller stature force their way in to packed carriages ☺️

28.02.2026 12:35 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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The busiest road in London is officially going car-free – as plans to pedestrianise Oxford Street have just been given the green light Sadiq Khan has confirmed that the plans to pedestrianise the busiest street in London could come into effect as early as summer 2026.

Oxford Street is going traffic-free.

I’ve given the green light to transform it into a world-class, fully accessible pedestrian avenue. The heart of London, reclaimed for people.

28.02.2026 10:11 — 👍 513    🔁 73    💬 13    📌 8

If only there was some precedent in history of an "unsinkable" ship steering the wrong course at a potential hazard, at high speed, and not listening to warnings about the huge iceberg ahead....

27.02.2026 22:58 — 👍 641    🔁 135    💬 47    📌 3

Several canvassers say the *settlement* reforms (make over a million voters wait 10-15 years for settlement, not 5, is a top of mind concern for those affected & friends, family

A basic fallacy in Home Office citing more in common polling on asylum reform - a different issue - and net migration

27.02.2026 23:08 — 👍 72    🔁 6    💬 2    📌 0

Labour have alienated the voters they had on the left, and failed to win over any of the voters they have courted on the right. Now their core appeal is all but gone and ever growing numbers of voters have exit options on the left, right and in the centre.

Welcome to the Valley of Electoral Death.

27.02.2026 14:33 — 👍 415    🔁 127    💬 26    📌 7
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Drop in overseas workers is ‘car crash’ for UK hospitals and care homes, say experts Care roles hit particularly hard by UK’s lurch to the right on migration, according to analysis of Home Office data

"Ministers need to wake up."

Indeed. Some shift away from the exceptional levels of overseas recruitment 21-24 was natural/desirable.

But current "strategy" - no new visas and making life as unpleasant as possible for migrants already here - is madness.

www.theguardian.com/society/2026...

27.02.2026 07:49 — 👍 190    🔁 69    💬 5    📌 4
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Drop in overseas workers is ‘car crash’ for UK hospitals and care homes, say experts Care roles hit particularly hard by UK’s lurch to the right on migration, according to analysis of Home Office data Hospitals and care homes in the UK face “an impending car crash”, experts have warned, as research shows the number of overseas nurses and carers has collapsed. Analysis of Home Office quarterly datasets reveals the number of overseas nurses granted entry to the UK has fallen by 93% over three years. Just 1,777 overseas nurses were granted entry in 2025, compared with 26,100 in 2022. Continue reading...

Drop in overseas workers is ‘car crash’ for UK hospitals and care homes, say experts

26.02.2026 19:56 — 👍 82    🔁 40    💬 6    📌 8

This was obvious to anyone looking at this. They created a policy that attacks people's very status to be able to live in a country and settle. No amount of saying "rules change" will help.

Alot of Labour MPs get this and are rightly livid. This should be a big wake up call for the rest.

27.02.2026 06:02 — 👍 82    🔁 27    💬 7    📌 0
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Oxford Street pedestrianisation plan gets final official approval City Hall hopes to stop traffic from using the street by September.

Delighted to announce that following the consultation, I'm giving the green light to make Oxford Street traffic-free.

26.02.2026 15:18 — 👍 2879    🔁 500    💬 104    📌 196

As far as I can tell from afar the most positive campaign, the one that offered some suggestion of hope, won. And that has to be a good thing for politics, because yes we need to confront the trade-offs, but there has to be an underlying positive message.

27.02.2026 06:12 — 👍 187    🔁 37    💬 3    📌 2
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Sky News hearing Labour canvassers found that doubling (and tripling) the route to settlement has caused significant concern with those directly affected (Commonwealth migrants who have arrived in last 3 years)

Sheer scale of changes not yet on the general media radar, though MPs hearing a lot

27.02.2026 00:56 — 👍 204    🔁 80    💬 13    📌 17
On settlement and citizenship, it is crucial that the government rethinks its major reforms. Ten years to settlement - which only Switzerland has adopted - should be the ceiling, not the norm. To introduce the longest periods of “unsettlement” in any democracy – and applying them to people already here – will harm integration, not promote it. Applying these retrospectively will create an enormous constituency of grievance that will wreck any attempt to rebalance Labour’s voice on immigration.

 

Labour may be tempted to change its tone of voice more than its policy on immigration. Indeed, the party’s comfort zone may be to try to avoid the topic, so as not to give more oxygen to Reform’s favourite issue. But changing the subject has its limits. If one of Labour’s central arguments in 2029 will be to reject importing Trumpism into Britain, it will need to find a distinct voice to articulate its alternative agenda too.

What Labour needs is not a “lurch to the left” as much as a significant rebalancing of its voice to find an authentic centre-left account of how to manage immigration and integration. A liberal party membership will want to see its values reflected in policy – while remaining mindful of balancing the electoral pressures of different constituency contexts. Controlling immigration fairly means fairness for those who come to Britain and the communities they join – with more confidence to reject rather than echo the authoritarian hard-right politics of remigration and racism.

On settlement and citizenship, it is crucial that the government rethinks its major reforms. Ten years to settlement - which only Switzerland has adopted - should be the ceiling, not the norm. To introduce the longest periods of “unsettlement” in any democracy – and applying them to people already here – will harm integration, not promote it. Applying these retrospectively will create an enormous constituency of grievance that will wreck any attempt to rebalance Labour’s voice on immigration. Labour may be tempted to change its tone of voice more than its policy on immigration. Indeed, the party’s comfort zone may be to try to avoid the topic, so as not to give more oxygen to Reform’s favourite issue. But changing the subject has its limits. If one of Labour’s central arguments in 2029 will be to reject importing Trumpism into Britain, it will need to find a distinct voice to articulate its alternative agenda too. What Labour needs is not a “lurch to the left” as much as a significant rebalancing of its voice to find an authentic centre-left account of how to manage immigration and integration. A liberal party membership will want to see its values reflected in policy – while remaining mindful of balancing the electoral pressures of different constituency contexts. Controlling immigration fairly means fairness for those who come to Britain and the communities they join – with more confidence to reject rather than echo the authoritarian hard-right politics of remigration and racism.

"Labour needs to rethink its major settlement reforms"

"Applying these retrospectively to people already here will create an enormous constituency of grievance that would wreck any attempt to rebalance Labour’s voice on immigration"
www.thenewworld.co.uk/sunder-katwa...

27.02.2026 04:08 — 👍 35    🔁 14    💬 0    📌 0
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Gorton and Denton first thoughts - incredible result for the Greens who won the long battle to be the best placed anti-Reform candidate - helped by being the obvious anti-Labour candidate for disappointed progressives. As I noted in the Observer last month, a Revolt on the Left is growing

27.02.2026 06:06 — 👍 327    🔁 96    💬 17    📌 12
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Labour mobility policy has the possibility to both provide refugee protection & meet host-country skill needs

📆 Join TOMORROW’s webcast:
https://bit.ly/refugeework26

25.02.2026 14:03 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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🔊"The special educational needs system absolutely does need a review. We've talked about it being in crisis for some time."

Dr Amelia Roberts @ioe.bsky.social @ucl-ioe-phd.bsky.social speaks on BBC Breakfast about the highly anticipated #SchoolsWhitePaper and potential reforms to #SEND provision.

23.02.2026 11:21 — 👍 3    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0

Zia Yusuf's rhetoric of protecting Christianity, rhetorically, is combined with an indecent threat to deport many tens of thousands of Christians, including those here 5-20 years with permanent status, as well as recent arrivals, from across the Commonwealth and elsewhere outside Europe

23.02.2026 14:05 — 👍 72    🔁 35    💬 7    📌 3
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Labour can no longer rely on the ‘ethnic minority vote’ Foreign policy, home country politics and differing economic instincts fracture voter priorities

Fab Inside Politics by @georginaq.bsky.social today:

23.02.2026 13:16 — 👍 32    🔁 10    💬 1    📌 4
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Gorton and Denton: A three cornered fight in a seat of two halves - UK in a changing Europe Ahead of the Gorton and Denton by-election on Thursday 26 February, Rob Ford analyses the prospects for Labour, Reform and the Green...

"This fragmented and uncertain contest will go to the wire, but one thing is already certain: defeat for Labour would be a disaster for the Starmer government"

🗳️ For everything you need to know about the Gorton and Denton by-election, check out Rob Ford's useful guide 👇

https://ow.ly/RjFm50YiSeY

22.02.2026 16:55 — 👍 14    🔁 10    💬 2    📌 1
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🚨 OUT TODAY 🚨

Poor prison healthcare is harming public health and efforts to cut reoffending — with long-term costs to society.

Our new briefing explores healthcare in British prisons and sets out key reforms.

Read more: buff.ly/W6K4TDJ

Kindly sponsored by Policy@Manchester

19.02.2026 08:00 — 👍 1    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 1

25% discount on my new book today and tomorrow, for anyone interested in an accessible overview of why immigration is difficult and unpopular

18.02.2026 12:59 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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What is immigration policy for? - UK in a changing Europe Madeleine Sumption looks at immigration policy and the surrounding debate and explains the inherent competing policy objectives and trade-offs.

"But the inevitable trade-offs immigration policy presents mean that the reality is messier and more complicated than it might initially seem."

📖 @msumption.bsky.social looks at what immigration policy is for and explains the trade-offs ahead of her forthcoming book

🔗 ukandeu.ac.uk/what-is-immi...

18.02.2026 11:07 — 👍 2    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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Can the government boost domestic training by restricting migration?

In a new briefing, @msumption.bsky.social and I find that migrants on work visas are a small part of a much wider picture. Here's what you need to know, in three posts.

migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/resources/co...

18.02.2026 11:08 — 👍 8    🔁 12    💬 2    📌 1
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Policy debates often focus on who is eligible for work visas, but main applicants on work visas make up only a small share of overall migration.

You can see what that means in this chart, which compares Skilled Worker visa grants with changes in the size of the migrant workforce.

18.02.2026 11:08 — 👍 2    🔁 3    💬 2    📌 0
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Settling Up: A new deal to unlock immigration reform and build trust Demos is Britain’s leading cross-party think-tank. We produce original research, publish innovative thinkers and host thought-provoking events.

🛂 New Paper | Settling Up: A new deal to unlock immigration reform and build trust

Today, as the consultation window on the government’s proposed ‘earned settlement’ plan closes, our new paper on the issue calls for practical action to detoxify the immigration debate.

demos.co.uk/research/set...

12.02.2026 09:54 — 👍 2    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 1
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Inside Horden, the County Durham town failed by politics In Horden, County Durham, Westminster slogans have long been left unmet as the population has plummeted.

"I the past three years, a group of Nigerian families has moved into the area. Most are employed as engineers or health and social care workers."

So Govt's main policy offer to this area is to try to kick these people out. Both futile and wrong.

www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

18.02.2026 07:51 — 👍 136    🔁 36    💬 5    📌 5