Alex Weldon

Small motorboat driving through a narrow straight. Rocky island in the background, covered in scrub. A lone man pilots the boat with two dogs on on board.

A guy and his dogs motorboating around at Polly's Cove.

Calm, shallow ocean with a sandy, orange bottom. Blue sky with wispy clouds above. Pictou Island barely visible in the extreme distance.

Calm day at the Northumberland Strait last weekend.

Sunset on the Salt Marsh Trail. Orange and blue light, mirrorlike water, pine covered island with sharp reflection.

Salt Marsh Trail a few weeks ago

Sorry. It was confusing this year being a month later than usual.

Weather’s looking great for tomorrow!

I’ve got two big pieces of sirloin cap, one already in the sous vide and the other to smoke. Will also be making the usual crowd-pleasing chicken thighs and pulled pork.

No entry for “candlemaker”?

4.9s

You’re too crooked. OX<

There we go, 86.7 flipless.

I had some high 60s going for the immediate landing but decided I’d have to throw some style on it to beat you

BS: How was that? How long were you in jail? MM: One night. They let you make one phone call, and I called the Ugandan Ambassador in Washington, DC, talked to him, and he said, “What are you doing interfering in the affairs of a foreign country?” I said, “What? We just got our independence! This is the same struggle. Have you forgotten?” Anyway, he got me out. Two or three weeks later, I was in my room. There was a knock at the door. Two gentlemen in trench coats and hats said, “FBI.” I thought, “Wow, just like on television.” They sat down. They were there to find out why I had gone – because this turned out to be big – it is after Montgomery that King organized his march on Selma. They wanted to know who had influenced me. After one hour of probing, the guy said, “Do you like Marx?” I said, “I haven’t met him.” Guy said, “No, no, he’s dead.” “Wow, what happened?” “No, no, he died long ago.” I thought the guy Marx had just died. So then, “Why are you asking me if he died long ago?” “No, he wrote a lot. He wrote that poor people should not be poor.” I said, “Sounds amazing.” I’m giving you a sense of how naïve I was. After they left, I went to the library to look for Marx. So that was my introduction to Karl Marx.

Incredible scene.

FBI: Do you like Marx?

Mhmood Mamdani: I haven’t met him.

FBI: No, no, he’s dead.

MM: Wow, what happened?

FBI: No, no, he died long ago. ... He wrote that poor people should not be poor.

MM: Sounds amazing.

www.warscapes.com/conversation...

Yeah, you definitely want to do the full loop, as the tip is the nicest part.

Neat. Haven’t tried that one yet, I guess because it’s far enough up that way that I’d normally press on a little further than do Taylor Head.

Not disputing any of that.

(And Polk’s quip about ICM being the road to being a pussy is an even less technical way of saying the same thing.)

“Future game” is just a less technical way of saying “its own second-order effects” in this context.

ICM doesn’t take into account how ICM considerations will impact future decisions.

Taking that into account would usually have you revising ICM effects downward somewhat.

(Still better to play for ICM than straight cEV but the real answer is probably somewhere between the two.)

The problem with ICM is that it doesn’t consider its own second-order effects. When people are playing for ICM, the average cEV of decisions goes down for small stacks and big stacks are the beneficiaries of that. So there is added value to extra chips partially counteracting the ICM pressure.

Likely two full-time jobs and one part-time, but the part-time one requires a strong grasp on poker strategy, breaking down high-stakes hands. The other two are contributing editor positions and a more general skill set.

I'm soon going to need some editorial help at PokerScout and related sites. A few roles are available. An ideal candidate would have experience as a reporter, an editor, and a poker player, but any smart person with research and writing skills will be considered. Hit me up.

A party. 😁

** MONTEBELLO / “NON-TEBELLO” DAY REMINDER **

The annual barbecue was delayed a month and will be on July 5, starting around 4 PM.

All are welcome. If it’s your first time or you forgot the address, shoot me a message.

185 acres Oceanview Road, French Road, NS B1K2A2 Land For Sale | RE/MAX | 202515183 185 acres Oceanview Road Land for sale in French Road, Nova Scotia for $110,000 CAD, 0 bathrooms. MLS® #:202515183.

Should I buy an entire lake and 185 acres? [ ] Y [ ] N

www.remax.ca/ns/french-ro...

Predictions Betting Exchanges Pounce on Israel-Iran Conflict Crypto predictions exchange Polymarket has 30 propositions related to the Iran-Israel conflict. Odds of a US-Iran deal plunged overnight.

Despite denying US involvement, Trump has attempted to play up the value of the Israeli attack as leverage in negotiations with Iran. Political analysts have tended to reach the opposite conclusion, and speculators likewise seem inclined to call his bluff.

www.pokerscout.com/israel-iran-...

Plato's Cave allegory, illustrated. the shadows on the cave wall are captioned "increasingly insane and extreme positions", the prisoners labeled "internet users", the figures holding the shadow's shapes labeled "algorithms", the fire labeled "random internet users expressing their idiosyncratic beliefs". the space above the cave is labeled "literally just outside" and the philosopher freed from the chains of the physical world labeled "guy who logs off"

from "Classical Studies memes for Hellenistic teens" on FB

Astronomical Odds: How Cosmic Collisions Force Scientists to Think Like Gamblers Milky Way residents caught a lucky break this week as astronomers downgraded the chances of a collision with nearby Andromeda to about an even-money proposition. Earlier studies had concluded that the...

Starting a new job. Gonna be a lot of management so I won't get to write as much as I used to, but I when I do I'll be writing more of the kind of stuff I want. Like this!

casinobeats.com/2025/06/05/a...

👏

I think I’ll you’re observing is that identity is fluid, not that it doesn’t exist. This is true on all scales. You’re still you even if you’re very unlike your six year-old self in many ways. “Civilization” existed in 1225 as in 2025 but it’s a better version of itself now etc.

I've lost track of a lot of people during the migration from That Other Place, so please tag people who might want to attend.