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Adam Kleczkowski

@aklecz.bsky.social

Mathematician and statistician working on human, animal and plant diseases. Likes reading, writing and music. ORCID: 0000-0003-1384-4352 Google scholar tinyurl.com/akleczkowski/ Articles authory.com/AdamKleczkowski/ Blog statisticallyinsignificant.blog

619 Followers  |  2,790 Following  |  175 Posts  |  Joined: 09.10.2023
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Posts by Adam Kleczkowski (@aklecz.bsky.social)

Europe should make @anthropic.com an offer to move Claude here.

@eib.org and/or Norges Bank should provide a loan to quickly build a data centre.

#Claude is a large set of numbers plus hardware. A 1TB disk can store 10^11 double-precision numbers. A data centre can be built in 12-18 months.

02.03.2026 10:30 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Measles outbreaks are costing the U.S. millions of dollars. The true losses can't be counted. As vaccination rates decline, the economic consequences will increase, research suggests.

The first concern with measles is, of course, the devastating health impact.

But this article does a great job of explaining the economic costs.

01.03.2026 12:52 β€” πŸ‘ 235    πŸ” 91    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 3

Catastrophic for the world-leading science.

01.03.2026 20:21 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The shape of the multipolar world is a little clearer A few thoughts on the new Iran war.

Again, one of the best comments on the war on Iran. Strongly recommend - if there is one Substack worth subscribing, it is by Noah Smith !

open.substack.com/pub/noahpini...

01.03.2026 15:13 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Yes, but it is going to get worse, and we are neither prepared nor even considering how to be prepared.

A disclaimer: I am a late Boomer... so part of the problem myself.

27.02.2026 11:17 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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AI – The Good, the Bad and the Ugly: Part 5 Anthropic and Pentagon I have been planning to write a longer post on what AI I am using, but I have been too busy to produce a satisfactory post. Also, my approach has been changing recently, as I…

My take on the use of genAI:

statisticallyinsignificant.blog/2026/02/27/a...

Also on substack, statisticallyskeptical.substack.com

27.02.2026 11:15 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Statement from Dario Amodei on our discussions with the Department of War A statement from our CEO on national security uses of AI

www.anthropic.com/news/stateme...

27.02.2026 07:10 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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"We have maybe five years before gerontocratic lock-in becomes permanent." Writer and think tanker Jeff Giesea understands the significance of the demographic time bomb.

"We are not prepared β€” emotionally, politically, financially β€” for what it means to care for tens of millions of aging boomers while also trying to invest in the future for our children.”

open.substack.com/pub/lloydalt...

26.02.2026 18:14 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

If any tech people do happen to have the ears of billionaires, I am here with my wallet open saying I would pay EXTRA for devices and software that don't have AI in them. Please take my money.

21.02.2026 13:24 β€” πŸ‘ 255    πŸ” 55    πŸ’¬ 13    πŸ“Œ 12
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Western Countries Do Not "Need" Immigration But it may still be a good idea to have it

One of the best and well-balanced views on immigration.

A pity most countries do not have a proper discussion about immigration. Instead, knee-jerk reactions lead to disasters.

Western Countries Do Not "Need" Immigration
open.substack.com/pub/alexande...

20.02.2026 21:20 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Pentagon threatens to cut off Anthropic in AI safeguards dispute, Axios reports The Pentagon is considering ending its relationship with artificial intelligence company Anthropic over its insistence on keeping some restrictions on how the U.S. military uses its models, Axios repo...

www.reuters.com/technology/p...

17.02.2026 20:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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'Fast-spreading' measles outbreak in north London leaves over 60 children infected Health authorities are urging families to vaccinate their children against measles as a surge in cases in several Enfield and Haringey schools threatens to spark a widespread outbreak.

The β€˜success’ of antivaccine activists

Inevitability there will be lasting harm, but those responsible won’t ever accept that their ignorance and untruths caused this

"1 in 5 children have been hospitalised due to measles and all of them had not been fully immunised.

news.sky.com/story/fast-s...

15.02.2026 08:40 β€” πŸ‘ 88    πŸ” 49    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 9
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Maryland health officials warn providers about an upsurge in mumps cases Maryland health officials are warning about an uptick in cases of mumps.

Measles is a bellwether. Because it’s the most contagious vaccine-preventable disease, when vaccination rates drop, it’s the first to start spreading.

Now we’ve got mumps rolling up.

Expect more.

This is just the beginning of RFK Jr.’s successful infectious disease reintroduction plan.

14.02.2026 23:34 β€” πŸ‘ 6349    πŸ” 3332    πŸ’¬ 288    πŸ“Œ 287
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Nowhere near as big a drop-off as I was expecting tbh. Europe stepped up - at least a decent proportion of the way.

11.02.2026 20:54 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

3️⃣ "There are many indications that the AMOC could weaken much more rapidly than projected in the Sixth Assessment Report"

New research suggests the #AMOC might respond faster than current @ipcc.bsky.social assessment projections indicate.

05.02.2026 08:04 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Herbicide-resistant late blight strain detected in UK for first time - Farmers Weekly The presence of a concerning potato late blight genotype has been confirmed in the UK for the first time, following its discovery in volunteer potatoes in

Source: Farmers Weekly
search.app/D5Vjn

10.02.2026 07:14 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Post-Brexit sales of British farm products to EU drop 37%, farmers’ union says Tom Bradshaw, president of the National Farmers’ Union, warns removing trading barriers will not immediately reverse the damage

It seems as though the majority of farmers shot themselves in the foot after listening to Boris and #FarageRiots

I wonder if it’s the same with the fishing industry, because they voted the same way….

www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home...

07.02.2026 23:53 β€” πŸ‘ 68    πŸ” 29    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 1
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Former Farming Leaders Warn U.S. Agriculture Could Face β€˜Widespread Collapse’

On Feb. 3, a bipartisan group of 27 former Agriculture Dept. officials and leaders from farm & commodity groups came together to warn Congress of an upcoming widespread & total collapse of U.S. Agriculture.

www.nytimes.com/2026/02/03/u...

07.02.2026 10:50 β€” πŸ‘ 372    πŸ” 217    πŸ’¬ 46    πŸ“Œ 24
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Why is Fertility Collapsing, Globally? Something dramatic is happening everywhere all at once: fertility is plummeting, with major implications for economic growth and social stability.

And, from @draliceevans.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/dralicee...

07.02.2026 11:28 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The dawn of the posthuman age Between new technology and low fertility, our existence as a species is not going to be the same.

As always, @noahsmith.bsky.social has an excellent post:

The dawn of the posthuman age
open.substack.com/pub/noahpini...

07.02.2026 11:12 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Agriculture Experts Warn of 'Widespread Collapse' in US Farms Thanks to Trump Policies | Common Dreams Agriculture experts warn of financial crisis for US farms due to Trump's trade war policies. Tariffs and deportations harming rural communities.

Agriculture Experts Warn of 'Widespread Collapse' in US Farms Thanks to Trump Policies www.commondreams.org/news/trump-t...

05.02.2026 18:06 β€” πŸ‘ 86    πŸ” 36    πŸ’¬ 19    πŸ“Œ 5
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Why are scientists calling for urgent action on amoebas? These shape-shifting microbes can harbour deadly pathogens, and climate change is helping them spread.

These shape-shifting microbes can harbour deadly pathogens, and climate change is helping them spread.

04.02.2026 11:56 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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Frontiers | A review of process modeling for wood borer pests IntroductionWood borer pests represent a growing threat to forestry worldwide, with potential for an increase in climate change induced outbreaks that could ...

Our new paper, A review of process modeling for wood borer pests, is out in Frontiers in Forests and Global Change, @frontiersmedia.bsky.social .

Thanks to @planthealthscot.bsky.social for the initial funding and all colleagues for their work.

www.frontiersin.org/articles/10....

04.02.2026 18:14 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I started offering career advice to two junior colleagues today in separate meetings, and both times I caught myself thinking that, if I'm honest, I don't have very good advice on navigating the current funding and job climate. I think it's important to say that no one does.

03.02.2026 03:46 β€” πŸ‘ 169    πŸ” 29    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 3
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There’s a Triple Threat to the World’s Food Security There are five times as many people alive today as there were in 1900. Yet humanity is better fed than at almost any point in its history.

'There are 5x as many people alive today as there were in 1900. Yet humanity is better fed… thanks to 3 major developments that have made our planet far more resilient to risk of starvation: yield improvements, water usage & trade. Worryingly, all are threatened'

www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

02.02.2026 11:44 β€” πŸ‘ 161    πŸ” 75    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 2

β€œβ€¦terms like β€œcoronavirus” and β€œCOVID‑19” were added to keyword blocklists by advertisers and platforms, which caused publishers reporting on the pandemic to lose revenue or see their content filtered out of programmatic ad placements….certain public health‑oriented stories lost visibility.”

01.02.2026 13:45 β€” πŸ‘ 131    πŸ” 52    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 9
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Alarm bells are ringing in the Horn of Africa. Farms are no longer yielding, pests are spreading, and tropical diseases are emerging. Climate change is real, and it’s destroying lives. #ClimateCrisis #GlobalAction

31.01.2026 18:43 β€” πŸ‘ 394    πŸ” 186    πŸ’¬ 18    πŸ“Œ 10
How Brexit turned "made in Britain" into a hindrance. Brexit has greatly hampered UK design brands' ability to sell their products in the EU and turned the "made in Britain" label into a costly burden, industry leaders told Dezeen.

How Brexit turned "made in Britain" into a hindrance. Brexit has greatly hampered UK design brands' ability to sell their products in the EU and turned the "made in Britain" label into a costly burden, industry leaders told Dezeen.

Leaving the EU and walking away from frictionless trade has damaged businesses across the UK. As European companies turn to partners inside the bloc, repairing our relationship with Europe must be a priority.

30.01.2026 15:52 β€” πŸ‘ 79    πŸ” 37    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2
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Biden Didn’t Cause the Border Crisis, Part 1: Summary From his administration’s first day in January 2021, Biden actually increased border enforcementβ€”arrests, detentions, and removals of border crossers all increased. The prevailing narrative that blame...

An interesting report from a conservative research institute:

www.cato.org/blog/biden-d...

30.01.2026 15:54 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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Been playing with US measles numbers - correcting the latest CDC figures for historical reporting delays and so on.

Results appear disconcerting. Looks like there's been enough local outbreaks for national 6-week doubling since about August. South Carolina ramping that up to a 2-3 week doubling.

29.01.2026 14:05 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0