📣📣 New paper with #JoergFriedrichs, @florianschaffner.bsky.social, @niklasstoehr.bsky.social , “Populism and governmentalism as thin-centered ideologies: Emotions and frames on social media” is out at @ejprjournal.bsky.social
Read more: doi.org/10.1017/S147...
🚨 New WP w/ @leonardocarella.bsky.social on OSF
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
We usually think that social identities precede preferences
We show the reverse is also true: people update their social identities to match their immigration preferences
Focus: class identity in 🇬🇧 + Christian identity in 🇮🇹
Now in print (and open access):
What happens when voters learn their party disagrees with them?
I ran a pre-registered experiment with a representative sample of ~3,000 German voters to find out.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
🧵
🚨📄 New paper (conditional accepted at @thejop.bsky.social):
We test whether social desirability bias actually distorts answers in online surveys.
Short version:
It mostly doesn’t.
w. @timallinger.bsky.social @kristianvsf.bsky.social @morganlcj.bsky.social
URL: osf.io/preprints/os...
Very glad that our first DEMNORM paper found such a great home at @thejop.bsky.social. If you’re interested in the role of social desirability in online surveys, check out the thread and paper below ⬇️
13.02.2026 08:32 — 👍 23 🔁 7 💬 1 📌 0
🚨New WP "@Grok is this true?"
We analyze 1.6M factcheck requests on X (grok & Perplexity)
📌Usage is polarized, Grok users more likely to be Reps
📌BUT Rep posts rated as false more often—even by Grok
📌Bot agreement with factchecks is OK but not great; APIs match fact-checkers
osf.io/preprints/ps...
New CIS Position Openings including a Senior Research Coordinator, Postdoc Position with Karsten Donnay in Digital Democracy, and a Postdoc Position in the Political Economy of Low-Carbon Technologies: cis.ethz.ch/news-and-eve...
06.02.2026 10:46 — 👍 3 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 0
🚨Job alert 🚨
I have an opening for a postdoc in my team at @ipz.bsky.social in the area of digital democracy starting Sep 1, 2026.
If you are working on the impact of the digital transformation on politics, please apply by 🗓️ Mar 1, 2026.
📤 Please share widely!
www.ipz.uzh.ch/de/ueber-uns...
Demographic cues (eg, names, dialect) are widely used to study how LLM behavior may change depending on user demographics. Such cues are often assumed interchangeable.
🚨 We show they are not: different cues yield different model behavior for the same group and different conclusions on LLM bias. 🧵👇
🚨Happy to finally see this out in the @ejprjournal.bsky.social (with @leonardocarella.bsky.social)
⁉️ Does growing up when immigration is salient make people vote for parties they agree with on immigration *for the rest of their lives*?
doi.org/10.1017/S147...
📢 JOB ALERT! Postdoc opportunity in Political Behaviour & Political Economy (UKRI‑funded) - Please do share with anyone who might be a great fit. If you’re interested or would like to know more, please feel free to get in touch!! jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...
26.01.2026 16:37 — 👍 30 🔁 31 💬 0 📌 1
Publication Alert 🚨
Our paper on the effect of Symbolic Policies on Climate Policy Support has been published in the APSR! @apsrjournal.bsky.social Below is a summary of the results
Extremely grateful to have written this with the wonderful @malojan.bsky.social and @theodoretallent.bsky.social 🥳
New publication 🥳
Really happy to see our work on symbolic climate policies with @theodoretallent.bsky.social and @luissattelmayer.bsky.social published today in the APSR @apsrjournal.bsky.social !
We learned so much while writing this paper. Thanks to everyone who helped make this possible!
🎉 NEW PUBLICATION🎉
Our paper on "the effect of symbolic policies on climate policy support" has just been published in the APSR ! @apsrjournal.bsky.social (open access)
The end of a long and rewarding journey with the best co-authors @malojan.bsky.social @luissattelmayer.bsky.social
(1/6)
Title page of syllabus: https://muellerstefan.net/teaching/2026-spring-qta.pdf
My updated syllabus for Quantitative Text Analysis is available online. As I previous years, I made quite a few changes and added recent literature. Part 1 (still) covers classic text-as-data approaches; Part 2 focuses on transformers and LLMs.
📄 muellerstefan.net/teaching/202... (PDF)
🦟📄 New preprint! Our first large-scale phylodynamic study of Jamestown Canyon virus (JCV) reveals how mosquito ecology shapes the evolution, persistence, and spread of this understudied arbovirus in North America.
Read it here! www.biorxiv.org/content/10.6...
On my way to Florence, where I will be presenting at the EUI's PBC @behaviour-eui.bsky.social a project co-authored w/ @leonardocarella.bsky.social
We show that (anti-immigration) 🇬🇧🇮🇹 people 'update' their social identity when primed with narratives pitting immigrants against other social groups
🚨 Virtual Workshop in HPE this Thursday 🚨
Clair Yang (UW-Seattle) tackles a BIG question: "Why do some societies succeed in breaking away from historical traditions while others remain trapped?". @stasavage.bsky.social will discuss!
A formal model paper for those who have missed them!
@giulianoformisano.bsky.social introduced his work with @spyroskosmidis.bsky.social and Stephen Whitefield at @ox.ac.uk studying the role of emotional rhetoric in party communication.
09.01.2026 11:14 — 👍 7 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
✖️Who produces most online hate speech and how effective is counterspeech?
➡️ @gloriagennaro.bsky.social et al. find that hate speech is concentrated among a few users and that counterspeech on X mostly fails to curb prolific offenders www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
Fear, anger, and populism on Twitter/X 😡
Using machine learning on 1M UK tweets, @giulianoformisano.bsky.social, Jörg Friedrichs, Florian S. Schaffner & Niklas Stoehr seperate #Populist from #Governmentalist rhetoric and track how emotions drive #PoliticalCommunication
Promotional banner for the European Journal of Political Research available on Cambridge Core, featuring the Cambridge University Press logo.
#OpenAccess from @ejprjournal.bsky.social -
Populism and governmentalism as thin-centered ideologies: Emotions and frames on social media - https://cup.org/4aiJ0ju
- @giulianoformisano.bsky.social, Jörg Friedrichs, Florian S. Schaffner & Niklas Stoehr
#FirstView #populism
🎉 We thank @ox.ac.uk @oii.ox.ac.uk @politicsoxford.bsky.social @odid-qeh.bsky.social @ethz.ch @csateth.bsky.social @ipz.bsky.social @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social @nuffieldlibrary.bsky.social for their great support!
19.12.2025 11:57 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0‼️ While we deploy our approach for tweets about Coronavirus in the UK, the procedure is transferable to other contexts and communication platforms.
19.12.2025 11:57 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
🚨 We also find that populist tweets appeal more to anger and more to fear than governmentalist tweets.
19.12.2025 11:57 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
🚨 We find that governmentalist communication was most prevalent at the early stages of the pandemic, then declined steadily. As governmentalist framings declined, populist framings rose, with the ratio dropping from more than 4:1 to less than 2:1.
19.12.2025 11:57 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
🤓 Analyzing one million tweets by politicians and their audiences, we fine-tune and employ supervised machine learning (transformer models) to classify populist and governmentalist communication.
19.12.2025 11:57 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
💭 We present a new conceptualization and procedure that defines populism in relation to governmentalism, operationalizes both through communication frames, and allows for the analysis of emotions.
#populism #governmentalism #fear #anger #frames #socialmedia
📣📣 New paper with #JoergFriedrichs, @florianschaffner.bsky.social, @niklasstoehr.bsky.social , “Populism and governmentalism as thin-centered ideologies: Emotions and frames on social media” is out at @ejprjournal.bsky.social
Read more: doi.org/10.1017/S147...
Congrats Sven!
19.12.2025 00:38 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0