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Lukas Brunner

@lukasbrunner.bsky.social

Climate scientist @uni-hamburg.de: future projections, extremes, uncertainties | Formerly @ethz.ch @univie.ac.at | PhD @uni-graz.at | Python nerd | Hiking enthusiast #SystemChangeNotClimateChange #OpenScience More: https://lukasbrunner.github.io

736 Followers  |  320 Following  |  99 Posts  |  Joined: 03.10.2023  |  2.1488

Latest posts by lukasbrunner.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Physikalischen Grundlagen

Am kommenden Dienstag gebe ich im Rahmen der Ringvorlesung zur Klimakrise an der @uni-hamburg.de einen Vortrag zu den physikalischen Grundlagen der Klimakrise. Der Vortrag ist รถffentlich, also gerne vorbeikommen!

Freue mich auf den Austausch! #climatecomms

www.zfw.uni-hamburg.de/oeffentliche...

17.10.2025 08:51 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 9    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

Comparing global km-scale climate models to the resolution of coarser CMIP6 models.
The video shows precipitation flux and accumulated precipitation for 2025, ending with a quantification of the difference in resolutions.
Animation: Michael Bรถttinger (DKRZ)
Method & paper: bsky.app/profile/luka...

02.09.2025 11:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

See also the amazing visualization made by DKRZ based on our work ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡
bsky.app/profile/luka...

21.08.2025 12:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Here's also my thread on the main findings: /profile/lukasbrunner.bsky.social/post/3lrsdhwkev22y

19.08.2025 16:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Here is the thread to the original publication:
bsky.app/profile/luka...

18.08.2025 12:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
The spatial representation of precipitation - a comparison between km-scale and CMIP-type model data
YouTube video by Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum The spatial representation of precipitation - a comparison between km-scale and CMIP-type model data

Amazing visualization of our recent sub-grid variability work by Michael Bรถttinger (DKRZ) ๐Ÿคฉ.
It shows the local detail in global precipitation resolved by km-scale models. From 0:50 in direct comparison to CMIP6-type 100km. From 2:07 the sub-grid variability is shown. ๐Ÿค“๐Ÿงช
youtu.be/fzA92tSF4ZM?...

18.08.2025 12:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 9    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Local downpour near Oberstdorf, Germany โ›ฐ๏ธ

03.08.2025 17:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Vorlesung fรผr alle Raus aus der Uni, rein in die Stadt: Bei der โ€žVorlesung fรผr alleโ€œ halten Forschende Vortrรคge an ungewรถhnlichen Orten in der Stadt.

Mehr zum Format und zukรผnftigen Vorlesungen: www.uni-hamburg.de/wissen-fuer-...

28.07.2025 15:57 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Vorlesung fรผr alle - Wie รคndern sich Wetterextreme mit dem Klimawandel?
YouTube video by Universitรคt Hamburg Vorlesung fรผr alle - Wie รคndern sich Wetterextreme mit dem Klimawandel?

Vor einigen Wochen durfte ich im Rahmen des Formats Vorlesung fรผr Alle der @uni-hamburg.de einen Vortrag zu Temperaturextremen geben. Die Aufzeichnung ist jetzt auf YouTube ๐Ÿ‘‡ Danke fรผr die Einladung und das Interesse!
youtu.be/0KGi4Y6J2Ls?...

28.07.2025 15:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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New paper in ERL! We study the importance of resolution for the representation of climate extremes.

We use a new generation of km-scale models to show that many important details about temperature and precipitation extremes are hidden at CMIP6-like resolutions.

doi.org/10.1088/1748...

17.06.2025 10:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 58    ๐Ÿ” 22    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 8
Text reading "start a climate conversation" superimposed over the global warming stripes.

Text reading "start a climate conversation" superimposed over the global warming stripes.

Today is #ShowYourStripes Day!

Created by @edhawkins.org, the warming stripes show temperature each year: blue for cool, white for avg, red for hot.

Athletes are wearing them, knitters are knitting them, and cities are putting them on trams.

Find + share your "stripes" here: showyourstripes.info

21.06.2025 15:17 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 204    ๐Ÿ” 63    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 8    ๐Ÿ“Œ 10

Annually the impact of climate change is pretty clear even locally. And even on a daily basis the signal starts to emerge!

For regular updates on daily Hamburg temperatures in a long term context, check out my bot @weather-climate.bsky.social (still ๐Ÿšง)

2025 so far: bsky.app/profile/weat...

21.06.2025 15:57 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Book cover: Welt ohne Morgen by Tom Roth

Book cover: Welt ohne Morgen by Tom Roth

Scary but fitting read for the occasion ๐Ÿซฃ

21.06.2025 15:33 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Temperature anomaly relative to 1951-2010 in Hamburg, Germany

#ShowYourStripes day #SystemChangeNotClimateChange

21.06.2025 15:28 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Totally Cooked: The Weather & Climate Podcast The climate is changing. So is the conversation. Totally Cooked is a podcast about weather, climate change, and what it all means for life on Earth.

The first 3 eps of TOTALLY COOKED have landed!
Check it out for weather & climate in a factual, relatable & often humorous way.
Available below, & where you get your podcasts.
Like, follow & share.
Let's tackle the climate crisis together.
#totallycooked
www.21centuryweather.org.au/engage/total...

20.06.2025 03:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 22    ๐Ÿ” 8    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
Metadata for 'Annual ETCCDI Extreme Indices For ICON-Sapphire (nextGEMS Cycle 4) - high resolution (HEALPix zoom 9)'

The repository is hierarchical. Click on the rightmost tab, there you can select one of the two models, and then again one of the two resolutions. At the lowest level, there is a green 'Download' button.

Here's a direct link to the high-resolution IOCN results: www.wdc-climate.de/ui/entry?acr...

19.06.2025 08:08 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Next generation global models reveal new spatial details of temperature extremes
YouTube video by CEN Climate Visualization Laboratory Next generation global models reveal new spatial details of temperature extremes

@cenunihh.bsky.social climate visualization lab has created this nice animation of the resolution effect on climate extremes! ๐Ÿคฉ Comparison of CMIP6-like 100km and the new 10km for the example of TXx (hottest day in the year).

Details in the paper: doi.org/10.1088/1748...

youtu.be/R5laSSVHUAk?...

18.06.2025 17:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 11    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Portrait of climate researcher Lukas Brunner, including his quote: โ€œResolution is important for climate extremes! Peak temperatures can be up to 10ยฐC higher in next-generation climate models just due to their finer resolution. 
These findings are particularly important for robust risk assessments.โ€
Photo: L. Brunner

Portrait of climate researcher Lukas Brunner, including his quote: โ€œResolution is important for climate extremes! Peak temperatures can be up to 10ยฐC higher in next-generation climate models just due to their finer resolution. These findings are particularly important for robust risk assessments.โ€ Photo: L. Brunner

Resolution matters: Extreme temperatures in e.g. Indian cities can be underestimated by up to 10ยฐC, a paper by @lukasbrunner.bsky.socialโ€ฌ shows. High-res climate models (<10 km) reveal that important details about extremes are hidden at lower resolutions. iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...

18.06.2025 12:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

We are working on related topics right now but I can't make any specific promises at this point.

Having said that: we have published all the data that go into our study as netCDF (thats annual extreme indices from 2021-2049)๐Ÿ‘‡
bsky.app/profile/luka...

18.06.2025 07:09 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@erichfischer.bsky.social @omartius.bsky.social @janasillmann.bsky.social @uni-hamburg.de @cenunihh.bsky.social @ioppublishing.bsky.social

17.06.2025 11:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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An extensive database of plots for all ETCCDI climate extreme indices is also available under a CC BY license on Zenodo: doi.org/10.5281/zeno...

17.06.2025 11:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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GitHub - lukasbrunner/Brunner_etal_2025_ERL Contribute to lukasbrunner/Brunner_etal_2025_ERL development by creating an account on GitHub.

The code we used to produce our figures is freely available under a permissive license. If you want to work with it and have any questions, feel free to reach out to me. There are also open masterโ€™s thesis projects on the topic!

github.com/lukasbrunner...

17.06.2025 10:57 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Metadata for 'Annual ETCCDI Extreme Indices For ICON-Sapphire And IFS-FESOM (nextGEMS Cycle 4)'

We focus on a subset of the 27 ETCCDI climate extreme indices in the paper. But we have published the full set of ETCCDI indices with 10km resolution globally at the World Data Center for Climate here:

doi.org/10.26050/WDC...

17.06.2025 10:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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A global perspective on the spatial representation of climate extremes from km-scale models - IOPscience A global perspective on the spatial representation of climate extremes from km-scale models, Brunner, Lukas, Poschlod, Benjamin, Dutra, Emanuel, Fischer, Erich M, Martius, Olivia, Sillmann, Jana

We calculate extreme indices from two ~10km models (ICON & IFS). From them we quantify what information is lost at CMIP6-like resolutions of ~100km.

To do so we introduce the concepts of sub-grid variability and sub-grid anomaly. Details in the paper:

iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...

17.06.2025 10:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Video thumbnail

New paper in ERL! We study the importance of resolution for the representation of climate extremes.

We use a new generation of km-scale models to show that many important details about temperature and precipitation extremes are hidden at CMIP6-like resolutions.

doi.org/10.1088/1748...

17.06.2025 10:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 58    ๐Ÿ” 22    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 8
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#EGU25 is about to start!

If you're there, check out our session on High-impact Climate Extremes on Tuesday, room ๐ŸŸจ F1

๐Ÿงช: meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio...

With many exciting talks, including the CL Division Outstanding ECS Award Lecture by
@kornhuber.bsky.social

27.04.2025 12:05 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 32    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

Great workshop on atmospheric temperature changes by @wcrpclimate.bsky.social in Graz! Thanks for including me in this interesting and insightful exchange!

25.04.2025 20:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Let me very warmly recommend putting our Up-Goer Five session into your EGU25 calendar! I mean, just have a look at these amazing abstract titles (using only the 1000 most used English words).
I can guarantee that this will be an extremely informative and fun session!
๐Ÿค“๐Ÿง‘โ€๐ŸŽ“
#EGU25 @egu.eu

04.04.2025 11:49 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 12    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/session/52390

https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/session/52390

Join us on Friday during #EGU25 for an interesting session on New developments in Earth system modelling! We will cover various topics from advances in modelling to model evaluation.

We are also honored to have Shuting Yang as a solicited speaker!
๐Ÿ‘‡
meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio...

08.04.2025 06:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

This is genius! so creative and also important for how we communicate our science

04.04.2025 18:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@lukasbrunner is following 19 prominent accounts