Tom Long

Wonderful news!!

Absolutely fantastic opportunity for an IR scholar focused on Latin America at the Parsee School at Boston University.
academicjobsonline.org/ajo/jobs/31333

The article offers a novel typology of critical junctures, outlining four pathways that may emerge during such episodes: path-breaking change, continuity, and two forms of conditioned transformation (see the table below). We illustrate these in the post-WW1 juncture.

Comments welcome!

We argue that explaining episodes of change requires attention to antecedents, the presence of permissive conditions, and the mechanisms that either lead to or prevent the establishment of a new status quo.

We note that IR's use of critical junctures often differs from that in neighboring fields. IR scholars’ use of the concept more often pertains to situations in which comparison is difficult; relatedly, IR tends to focus more on within-juncture dynamics than on identifying institutional legacies.

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The new special issue of EJIR is a wonderful and diverse look at "History and Theory in International Relations". The issue includes my article with @caschulz.bsky.social on critical junctures in IR: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
🧵🧵🧵
@ejir.bsky.social @warwickpais.bsky.social

Great to be back in Mexico City, visiting some old friends! www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

États-Unis vs Venezuela : le grand flou de l’opération Lance du Sud Le ministre américain de la Défense, Pete Hegseth, a annoncé, jeudi, le début de l’opération Lance du Sud en Amérique latine pour lutter contre les narco-terroristes. Mais les incertitudes sont nombre...

It was great to talk with France 24 about US military operations in the Caribbean. Southern Sphere seems part and parcel of an effort to repurpose the language, legal rationale, and technologies developed in the "war on terrorism" for a newly aggressive war on drugs.
www.france24.com/fr/am%C3%A9r...

Greg Grandin's new book is sweeping, ambitious, and compelling. Likely to be read as a history of Latin America, the region primarily acts as a mirror to the United States. "However, in this reflection, the history of Latin America is distorted," I argue. My review:
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

A Man, a Plan, and a Long History of Overplayed Hands Trump did not invent hardball U.S. diplomacy with Panama. Then, as now, it is doomed to backfire.

A Man, a Plan, and a Long History of Overplayed Hands

In Foreign Policy, PAIS's Tom Long and Carsten-Andreas Schulz put Donald Trump's recent threats to reclaim the Panama Canal in a long-term perspective.

Read the article -> buff.ly/FE8QRe0

And check out the underpinning research, open access in APSR! www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

The history of international order is usually the history of the great powers. But what can we learn from looking at worldviews of those who resisted intervention?

Very pleased to have this new post available on The Conversation with my coauthor and friend @caschulz.bsky.social.

ISA Book Award Winners (2024-2025). "The Oxford Handbook of History and International Relations." Mlada Bukovansky, Edward Keene, Christian Reus-Smit, and Maja Spanu. Joseph Fletcher Prize for Best Edited Book in Historical IR. "States and the Masters of Capital: Sovereign Lending, Old and New." Quentin Bruneau. Francesco Guicciardini Prize for Best Book in Historical IR. "Reconciliation by Stealth: How Poeple Talk about War Crimes." Denisa Kostovicova. HR Best Book Award. ISA logo.

Congratulations to this year's ISA #BookAward winners! Check them out and add them to your summer reading list. Stay tuned for more winner announcements throughout the summer.

Yes, I've worked in RG59 a good bit. This could be a disaster, or it could be pre-registration like at most Latin American foreign ministry archives. Given the current direction of policy, I fear the former... but also don't want panic if it's more of an admin change. Thanks for flagging it.

Oh, wow. Any idea what this means in practice? Like, submit a form in advance or only federal employees on government business?

IR accounts of history have long emphasized turning points; increasingly, IR scholars invoke "critical junctures." But how should IR understand these?

In this article, forthcoming in EJIR, @caschulz.bsky.social, and I propose a framework for CJ analysis in IR:
wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/19...

Thank you!

"An important source of declassified materials for scholars of American diplomacy is now under threat" Prof Mitch Lerner at LSE Blog on the Historians Advisory Council, declassification, FRUS & much more #SHAFR @osuhistory.bsky.social @mershoncenter.bsky.social 🗃️ blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/20...

New article decentring the Berlin Conference from the point of view of Latin America, by @tomlongphd.bsky.social and @caschulz.bsky.social #HistIR www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Thanks, Jan!

📢 New on First View!

Tom Long (‪@tomlongphd.bsky.social‬) and Carsten-Andreas Schulz ‪(@caschulz.bsky.social‬) highlight the broader repercussions of late nineteenth-century ‘high imperialism’ and reassess the nature of Latin American anti-imperialism.

Read more here! doi.org/10.1017/S174...

I am delighted to share the programme of 'Global Order and Governance beyond the West' (May 29) at @cityhistory.bsky.social. Featuring talks by Arnulf Becker Lorca (EUI), Emma Mackinnon (Cambridge), @mjbayly.bsky.social (LSE).
In person/online registration: www.citystgeorges.ac.uk/news-and-eve...

It was a pleasure to host Ignacio Higueras Hare, Peru's ambassador to the UK, at the University of Warwick and @warwickpais.bsky.social. We appreciated his remarks about Latin American integration, and especially his outreach to our students.
warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/pais...

Small States & Territories assembled a great forum on Veenendaal and Corbett's influential, "Why Small States Offer Important Answers to Large Questions."

My essay, "Historical dynamics of international relationships: Veenendaal and Corbett beyond
comparative politics" www.um.edu.mt/library/oar/...

Excited to be in this issue of APSR, with "A Turn Against Empire: Benito Juárez’s Liberal Rejoinder to the French Intervention in Mexico," with @caschulz.bsky.social.

doi.org/10.1017/S000...

@warwickpais.bsky.social

YouTube video by Dr. Ivo Ganchev Prof. Tom Long on Small States & U.S. Power in Latin America | Episode #01 | New Regional Orders

🎙️ My new #podcast New Regional Orders is now live!
Ep. 1: @tomlongphd.bsky.social from @warwickpais.bsky.social & I discuss U.S. #power in #Latin #America, #small #states & #regionalism.

As #Trump 2.0 reshapes #foreign #policy, this couldn’t be more timely.

🎧 Watch: www.youtube.com/watch?v=MAhm...

Thrilled to see Nicaragua Must Survive discussed in a H-Diplo roundtable. Deeply grateful to @mollyavery.bsky.social , Michelle Chase, @tomlongphd.bsky.social & @sarahosten.bsky.social for their engagement and kind words. Thank you @emleake.bsky.social for organising!

issforum.org/ISSF/PDF/RJI...

Big congratulations to my @warwickpais.bsky.social colleague, Charlie Price!

The assault on the US knowledge infrastructure continues.

Workers at Wilson Center Put on Leave as Trump Seeks Shutdown About 130 employees of the Wilson Center were told they were being put on leave, just four days after workers for Elon Musk’s team entered the center.

The Wilson Center has been effectively shuttered by Trump and Musk. This saves taxpayers almost nothing, while erasing space for policy research, dialogue, and exchange, all things I gained from and made a small contribution to. For shame.
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/03/u...