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Curtis Brown

@curtisbrownmb.bsky.social

Partner with Probe Research. Husband, dad and politics/numbers guy.

140 Followers  |  354 Following  |  12 Posts  |  Joined: 03.12.2024  |  1.7238

Latest posts by curtisbrownmb.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Winnipeggers lose faith in homelessness battle City, province, agencies not doing enough: survey

Winnipeg residents say the city, province and front-line organizations are failing in the fight against homelessness.

25.09.2025 23:34 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 4

It's remarkable to have a party govern for 18 months and actually increase its level of support to this extent. That's a sizable # that voted PC in 2023 backing the MB NDP now

What would it take for the NDP's numbers to start dropping?

probe-research.com/polls/provin...

#mbpoli

25.03.2025 17:46 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Manitobans and Canadians are finding and displaying patriotic pride Canadians from all corners of the country have made pretty clear their feelings living in the shadows of the oversized Trumpian world. Canada is not for sale. Nor is it available for annexation. A 51s...

β€œThis is about the existence of Canada. This is tapping into something much deeper and more emotional.”

Proud to work with the @winnipegfreepress.com on this deep dive into patriotism and all the 51st state business

www.winnipegfreepress.com/breakingnews...

22.03.2025 14:11 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Will it hold? Who knows. These are strange times and anything can happen. But who would have predicted this six, even three months ago?

21.03.2025 14:56 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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How are the Liberals doing it? They're no longer ceding ground to the NDP and (to a lesser extent) the CPC, which we saw in Dec. Now, they're pulling in almost half of those who voted NDP in 2021, plus one in five past Conservative voters...

21.03.2025 14:56 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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What we're seeing in Winnipeg is incredible. Never mind keeping those once-precarious suburban seats - the Liberals may be able to go on offence in both CPC and NDP-held territory...

21.03.2025 14:55 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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New and very remarkable
@proberesearch.bsky.social
federal numbers for Manitoba:

LPC: 44% (+25% vs. Dec., +16% vs. Feb)
CPC: 42% (-10% vs. Dec.)
NDP: 9% (-15% vs. Dec.)
Other: 4%

N=1,000, March 4-16, 2025

probe-research.com/polls/libera...

21.03.2025 14:54 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Some newish (early Feb) federal numbers from @proberesearch in Manitoba:

CPCπŸ”΅- 45% (-7% vs. Dec. 2024)
LPC πŸ”΄- 28% (+9%)
NDP🟠 - 22% (-2%)

And perhaps most importantly, Conservatives and Liberals statistically tied in Winnipeg

probe-research.com/polls/februa...

28.02.2025 18:25 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Also, FWIW, our
@proberesearch.bsky.social / JS Insights #onpoli #onelxn horse race numbers:

πŸ”΅Ford/PCs: 47%
πŸ”΄Crombie/Liberals: 27%
🟠Stiles/NDP: 17%
🟒Schreiner/Greens: 8%

N=1,200, online panel, in field Feb. 10-16, 2025

23.02.2025 16:55 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Some interesting #onpoli results from
@proberesearch.bsky.social and JS Insights show a strong appetite for a non-PC coalition government among Liberal and NDP voters.

Our full report on our #ONelxn can be found here: probe-research.com/polls/new-on...

23.02.2025 16:54 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

More Manitobans are seeking to avoid travelling to, buying from the U.S., our latest @proberesearch.bsky.social survey finds

17.02.2025 19:04 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Some great news for us to start the year - Ashley is a very experienced researcher who will help our clients here in Manitoba and across Canada get the most out of their insights. Welcome!

02.01.2025 16:58 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This issue has died down in public attention to some degree, but worth noting as people do their last minute holiday shopping

19.12.2024 16:56 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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