Curtis Brown

As they say, *ahem*, some personal news:

After 20 years in journalism, including a decade at CBC News, I'm moving on to something different.

I’m launching my own independent practice as a Data & Storytelling Strategist.

Yes, I'm giving up a stable job in order to hang up my own shingle.

Why?

🧵👇

Winnipeggers lose faith in homelessness battle City, province, agencies not doing enough: survey

Winnipeg residents say the city, province and front-line organizations are failing in the fight against homelessness.

It's remarkable to have a party govern for 18 months and actually increase its level of support to this extent. That's a sizable # that voted PC in 2023 backing the MB NDP now

What would it take for the NDP's numbers to start dropping?

probe-research.com/polls/provin...

#mbpoli

Manitobans and Canadians are finding and displaying patriotic pride Canadians from all corners of the country have made pretty clear their feelings living in the shadows of the oversized Trumpian world. Canada is not for sale. Nor is it available for annexation. A 51s...

“This is about the existence of Canada. This is tapping into something much deeper and more emotional.”

Proud to work with the @winnipegfreepress.com on this deep dive into patriotism and all the 51st state business

www.winnipegfreepress.com/breakingnews...

Will it hold? Who knows. These are strange times and anything can happen. But who would have predicted this six, even three months ago?

How are the Liberals doing it? They're no longer ceding ground to the NDP and (to a lesser extent) the CPC, which we saw in Dec. Now, they're pulling in almost half of those who voted NDP in 2021, plus one in five past Conservative voters...

What we're seeing in Winnipeg is incredible. Never mind keeping those once-precarious suburban seats - the Liberals may be able to go on offence in both CPC and NDP-held territory...

New and very remarkable
@proberesearch.bsky.social
federal numbers for Manitoba:

LPC: 44% (+25% vs. Dec., +16% vs. Feb)
CPC: 42% (-10% vs. Dec.)
NDP: 9% (-15% vs. Dec.)
Other: 4%

N=1,000, March 4-16, 2025

probe-research.com/polls/libera...

Some newish (early Feb) federal numbers from @proberesearch in Manitoba:

CPC🔵- 45% (-7% vs. Dec. 2024)
LPC 🔴- 28% (+9%)
NDP🟠 - 22% (-2%)

And perhaps most importantly, Conservatives and Liberals statistically tied in Winnipeg

probe-research.com/polls/februa...

Also, FWIW, our
@proberesearch.bsky.social / JS Insights #onpoli #onelxn horse race numbers:

🔵Ford/PCs: 47%
🔴Crombie/Liberals: 27%
🟠Stiles/NDP: 17%
🟢Schreiner/Greens: 8%

N=1,200, online panel, in field Feb. 10-16, 2025

Some interesting #onpoli results from
@proberesearch.bsky.social and JS Insights show a strong appetite for a non-PC coalition government among Liberal and NDP voters.

Our full report on our #ONelxn can be found here: probe-research.com/polls/new-on...

More Manitobans are seeking to avoid travelling to, buying from the U.S., our latest @proberesearch.bsky.social survey finds

Some great news for us to start the year - Ashley is a very experienced researcher who will help our clients here in Manitoba and across Canada get the most out of their insights. Welcome!

This issue has died down in public attention to some degree, but worth noting as people do their last minute holiday shopping