Marius Mehrl

@polisatleeds.bsky.social @cgscleeds.bsky.social

Together with @marketao.bsky.social ,we have a new paper on the selective conscription of ethnic groups out in @nationsnationalism.bsky.social 🎉 See below for a thread introducing all the paper's insights and its new global, group-level dataset on ethnic conscriptin exemptions!

@polisatleeds.bsky.social

New paper out in @fpajrnl.bsky.social - tldr: Recipient leadership turnover does not affect the continuation of existing international arms transfers relationships. In the paper, I discuss why this is surprising and how we can make sense of it.

🚨NEW ARTICLE🚨
Risse (2025) shows that democracies consistently support conventional arms control but back nuclear arms control only when resolutions are co-sponsored by other democracies.
academic.oup.com/fpa/article/...

Well, turns out the deadline was extended until 20 June - 3 more days to submit! www.isanet.org/Conferences/...

Co-organsing a workshop on "“Defining, Measuring, Investigating, and Predicting Solidarity and International Solidarity” here and still open for submissions!

Happy to have been a small part of this!

There’s only one problem with Labour’s immigration plans: they’re completely untethered from reality | Jonathan Portes The government’s new policy will take us back to an uglier, more dangerous place – and it’s not even supported by the data, says professor of public policy Jonathan Portes

"The government's argument sounds plausible. There's just one problem. It doesn't fit the facts. And the government knows it."

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

Currently in FirstView: “Exponential Random Graph Models for Dynamic Signed Networks: An Application to International Relations” by @corneliusfritz.bsky.social, @mehrl.bsky.social, Paul Thurner, and Göran Kauermann. The authors propose the Signed Exponential Random Graph Model (SERGM).

Red, yellow and white Political Analysis open access graphic

There are new #OpenAccess articles from @polanalysis.bsky.social available on the journal's #FirstView page -

cup.org/40mppbd

Inc. papers by @tara-slough.bsky.social, @devincaughey.bsky.social, @mehrl.bsky.social, @olsisblue.bsky.social, @corneliusfritz.bsky.social, @pkoc.bsky.social & and more

Foreign Legionnaires and Military Mutinies Abstract. The composition of the armed forces is, by now, well established as a major factor determining the risk of coups d’état. However, military discon

Foreign Legionnaires and Military Mutinies | Journal of @journalofgss.bsky.social
Abel Escribà-Folch Christopher Faulkner @mehrl.bsky.social

academic.oup.com/jogss/articl...

The cover image of The Journal of Global Security Studies appears on the left. At the bottom of the image, the journal's homepage URL (https://academic.oup.com/jogss) and BlueSky handle (@journalofgss.bsky.social) are displayed in white text on a navy blue background. The main background features an image of a tank with smoke. This is overlaid with the article title and author name(s): “Foreign Legionnaires and Military Mutinies” by Abel Escribà-Folch, Christopher Faulkner, and Marius Mehrl.

How does recruiting foreign nationals into the armed forces impact mutiny risk? 🤔 The answer isn’t simple! 💡Read the research by Abel Escribà-Folch, Christopher Faulkner, and @mehrl.bsky.social to uncover the complex dynamics at play.

🔍 Read their open-access article here: doi.org/10.1093/jogs...

Spring is arriving (at least where we are), and so is CMPS issue 41(3), featuring six articles on the effects of UNHRC shaming and of civilian victimization, rough terrain insurgency, public attitudes on sanctions, airpower, and piracy. Articles are here:

My 2021 book Making the World Safe for Dictatorship is now published as a paperback w/ Oxford University Press.

To celebrate I will put everyone who reposts this before March 21 into a random drawing & send the winner a free copy anywhere they happen to be in the world.

polisky dictatorsky

Did you know that in addition to regular articles, CMPS also publishes two other types of articles?

Also, feels right to point to Ioannis' and my companion paper in the Journal of Conflict Resolution, where we study how secret police affect levels of state repression.

The paper is online now, get in touch in case you cannot access it.

Very happy to see "Preventing Dissent: Secret Police and Protests in Dictatorships" now published as a "just accepted" paper in @thejop.bsky.social! It's joint work with Ioannis Choulis and Abel Escribà Folch, examining how the presence of secret police organisations affects protests.

Conflict Management and Peace Science - Volume 41, Number 2, Mar 01, 2024 Table of contents for Conflict Management and Peace Science, 41, 2, Mar 01, 2024

CMPS issue 41(2) is now available at journals.sagepub.com/toc/cmpb/41/2 and we are starting up threads summarizing our issues here on bsky! Issue 41(2) is a special issue on “New Research on Leaders and Peace Science”, edited by @jeffcarter.bsky.social.

Happy 2024! CMPS is now also on bsky, and we will have some exciting news and content here.

Call for papers: The 23rd Jan Tinbergen Peace Science
Conference
17-19 June, 2024, Dublin City University, Ireland

Abstracts (max. 300 words) with a tentative title must be submitted via portal.europeanpeacescientists.org   by December 31, 2023.

Too often, the data that we use in Social Science research is pretty dodgy. May that be because of poor sampling, measurement problems, nonresponse, etc. So we either reject it or use it and hope for the best (maybe add a few caveats in our discussion).

Thank you Salah!

Thank you Sharan!

Thank you Elizabeth! And also, thank you for creating this dataset in the first place, really a great resource to systematically study legionnaires.

New paper with Abel Escribà Folch, studying the logic of autocrats' recruiting foreign legionnaires, out in Democratization. Legionnaire recruitment is associated with increased personalization and decreases the risk of coup attempts and mass protests. Available open access!

Fresh off the press! Thrilled to see that this joint manuscript is finally out! Through an interdisciplinary lens, we have investigated the link between protracted displacement and housing systems in intermediary cities with a specific focus on the case of Syrians in Torbalı, Izmir, Türkiye.

Thanks Nic! Definitely took a while, but very happy this is out. And there is more to come :)

.. newly collected data on the Interwar ams trade, and open access. I think this is how threads work here?