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Gemma Tetlow

@gemmatetlow.bsky.social

Chief Economist, Institute for Government Formerly Economics Correspondent at the Financial Times and Programme Director at the Institute for Fiscal Studies

4,083 Followers  |  60 Following  |  41 Posts  |  Joined: 30.10.2023  |  2.1293

Latest posts by gemmatetlow.bsky.social on Bluesky

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How can the government avoid a repeat of this year’s welfare reform debacle? | Institute for Government A change is needed in the government's use of fiscal forecasts.

How can the government avoid a repeat of this year’s welfare reform debacle? www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/gove...

04.08.2025 09:58 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Lessons for the government’s 'revived' Pensions Commission | Institute for Government What can the new commission learn from its 2000s predecessor?

The original pensions commission is the single most effective independent inquiry of the last few decades. @jillongovt.bsky.social @gemmatetlow.bsky.social and I have written on what the new pensions commission announced this week can learn from the original

22.07.2025 11:51 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 3
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Lessons for the government’s 'revived' Pensions Commission | Institute for Government What can the new commission learn from its 2000s predecessor?

What can the new Pensions Commission learn from its 2000s predecessor?

@jillongovt.bsky.social @njdavies.bsky.social @gemmatetlow.bsky.social argue that the commission will need Treasury support to have as big an impact as the Turner Commission www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/new-...

22.07.2025 13:49 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The scandal and the superinjunction | Institute for Government The FT’s Lucy Fisher joins the podcast team to discuss who is to blame for the Afghan data leak.

PODCAST 🎀 The scandal and the superinjunction

@lucyfisher.ft.com joins @cathhaddon.bsky.social @gemmatetlow.bsky.social @alexgathomas.bsky.social to discuss the Afghan data leak and how the state reacts when mistakes are made.

Plus: Rachel Reeves' speech and voting reforms zurl.co/Hct1f

18.07.2025 11:06 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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EVENT: Labour’s first year in power: is this still a mission-driven government?

Join our event with @instituteforgovernment.org.uk tomorrow at 10:30am chaired by @drhannahwhite.bsky.social with @helenmiller.bsky.social, @gemmatetlow.bsky.social & @stephenkb.bsky.social: ifs.org.uk/events/labou...

14.07.2025 10:26 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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Labour’s first year: Keir Starmer’s government is less than the sum of its parts | Institute for Government Keir Starmer has yet to set out a clear governing philosophy.

Labour’s first year: Keir Starmer’s government is less than the sum of its parts

Keir Starmer has yet to set out a clear governing philosophy, says @drhannahwhite.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/labo...

04.07.2025 14:13 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2
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Labour’s 10 Year Health Plan: familiar ideas could be frustrated by familiar problems | Institute for Government There is plenty of the what but less of the how in Wes Streeting’s new plan.

Great comment piece by Nick Timmins for @instituteforgovernment.org.uk on the 10 Year Health Plan

He finds lots of familiar ideas but argues they could be frustrated by familiar problems. Like him, I really worry that plans to better integrate health service will be derailed by structural changes

04.07.2025 15:41 β€” πŸ‘ 36    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 4
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Reeves has made big fiscal choices but left herself little room for manoeuvre | Institute for Government Having such little β€˜headroom’ has left the chancellor at the mercy of events.

Reeves has made big fiscal choices but left herself little room for manoeuvre

Having such little β€˜headroom’ has left the chancellor at the mercy of events, argues @gemmatetlow.bsky.social

Read more on fiscal policy making in the last yearπŸ‘‡
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/one-...

03.07.2025 16:32 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Hard to overstate how much goodwill the government has just managed to burn through with so many different groups β€” all in a totally unnecessary act of self-sabotage.

01.07.2025 18:52 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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What choices did the government make in the 2025 spending review? Podcast Episode Β· Inside Briefing with the Institute for Government Β· 11/06/2025 · Bonus Β· 49m

Also available on our podcast channel podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/w...

11.06.2025 18:19 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Huge thanks to @gemmatetlow.bsky.social @danhaile.bsky.social @drbenpaxton.bsky.social @stuarthoddinott.bsky.social @njdavies.bsky.social @rebeccamckee.bsky.social @amberdellar.bsky.social

Do listen back to our webinar, now available as a podcast! podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/i... 7/7

11.06.2025 17:59 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Spending review 2025: Six key things we learned from Rachel Reeves' announcement | Institute for Government IfG experts set out the six things they learned from the spending review.

Our @instituteforgovernment.org.uk spending review analysis is out! Take a read here www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/spen...

Our key takeaways: 1/7

11.06.2025 17:59 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 18    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 3
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What choices did the government make in the 2025 spending review? | Institute for Government IfG experts provided instant analysis of what Rachel Reeves’s spending review means for public services, investment and the government’s missions.

If you missed our @instituteforgovernment.org.uk webinar this afternoon, with our take on the Spending Review, you can listen/watch back here www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/2025-s...

with @njdavies.bsky.social @drbenpaxton.bsky.social and @jillongovt.bsky.social

11.06.2025 17:09 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

Interestingly MHCLG has specifically allocated a small amount of its projected efficiency gains to its plans to simplify the local government funding landscape

11.06.2025 15:50 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
β€œThe government’s new framework for public service reform – focussing on integration, prevention and devolution – is spot on. Combined with higher capital investment, this has the potential to be transformational over the long-term. In the short-term, promising new initiatives will need to be scaled up quickly to deliver meaningful benefits by the end of this parliament.”

A quote from Nick Davies, IfG Programme Director.

β€œThe government’s new framework for public service reform – focussing on integration, prevention and devolution – is spot on. Combined with higher capital investment, this has the potential to be transformational over the long-term. In the short-term, promising new initiatives will need to be scaled up quickly to deliver meaningful benefits by the end of this parliament.” A quote from Nick Davies, IfG Programme Director.

"The government’s new framework for public service reform – focusing on integration, prevention and devolution – is spot on."

@njdavies.bsky.social reacts to the spending review and the govt's public service reform agenda.

Follow for more analysis www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/our-work/top...

11.06.2025 14:24 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
"This spending review has seen the government move from highlighting five missions to three priorities: security, health and the economy. While the six milestones set out last year have clearly helped guide spending allocations, they are less prominent in the government’s overarching strategy."

A quote from Ben Paxton, Senior Research at the IfG.

"This spending review has seen the government move from highlighting five missions to three priorities: security, health and the economy. While the six milestones set out last year have clearly helped guide spending allocations, they are less prominent in the government’s overarching strategy." A quote from Ben Paxton, Senior Research at the IfG.

What does the spending review reveal about Labour's missions?

@drbenpaxton.bsky.social says the six milestones set out last year are less prominent in the government’s overarching strategy.

Join our webinar with Ben and other IfG experts at 4pm www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/2025-s...

11.06.2025 14:00 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Ah this is interesting devo news. London will get an integrated settlement after all from next year.

It'll be interesting to see how the model differs in London compared to the combined authorities, and whether it'll require constitutional change in the GLA-Council relationship to make it work

11.06.2025 12:37 β€” πŸ‘ 20    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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And on public services:

11.06.2025 15:45 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Some top level views on the SR from me and other @instituteforgovernment.org.uk colleagues 1/2

11.06.2025 15:45 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
"Defence, transport and the Department for Business and 
Trade were the big capital spending winners in this spending review – suggesting the government has prioritised its net zero and growth missions, along with their defence commitments."

A quote from Dr Gemma Tetlow, IfG Chief Economist, on the spending review.

In the photo, Gemma is wearing a red dress.

"Defence, transport and the Department for Business and Trade were the big capital spending winners in this spending review – suggesting the government has prioritised its net zero and growth missions, along with their defence commitments." A quote from Dr Gemma Tetlow, IfG Chief Economist, on the spending review. In the photo, Gemma is wearing a red dress.

"Defence, transport and the Department for Business and Trade were the big capital spending winners in this spending review..."

@gemmatetlow.bsky.social gives her verdict on today's spending review.

Join us live at 4pm for more instant reaction πŸ“Ί πŸ‘‡ www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/2025-s...

11.06.2025 13:32 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Spending review 2025: Six key questions for Rachel Reeves to answer | Institute for Government IfG experts set out the six questions they will be looking out for at the spending review.

Brilliant new @instituteforgovernment.org.uk analysis of what to look out for in the Spending Review.

Essential reading before Rachel Reeves' big day.

www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/spen...

06.06.2025 10:34 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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🚨 OUT NOW 🚨 How do spending reviews work?

πŸ’· Tory MP John Glen, former minister Brandon Lewis, former special adviser Sonia Khan and economists @tompope.bsky.social‬ & @beeboileau.bsky.social join @alaintolhurst.bsky.social to look behind the Treasury's spending plans

🎧 Listen here: pod.fo/e/2e0742

06.06.2025 10:38 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Spending review 2025 | Institute for Government Key things to look out for in Rachel Reeves' first spending review and the trade-offs she faces in advance.

On 11 June, Rachel Reeves will deliver her first multi-year spending review settlement as chancellor, and the first from a Labour government since the 2000s.

Follow our spending review 2025 page for our analysis of the choices facing the chancellor www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/our-work/top...

05.06.2025 09:15 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Banner for IfG event titled 'What choices did the government make in the 2025 spending review?'. Event is on Wednesday 11 June at 16.00-16.45.

Speakers:
Nick Davies, Programme Director for Public Services at the Institute for Government
Ben Paxton, Senior Researcher at the Institute for Government
Gemma Tetlow, Chief Economist at the Institute for Government
The event will be chaired by IfG Senior Fellow Jill Rutter.

Banner for IfG event titled 'What choices did the government make in the 2025 spending review?'. Event is on Wednesday 11 June at 16.00-16.45. Speakers: Nick Davies, Programme Director for Public Services at the Institute for Government Ben Paxton, Senior Researcher at the Institute for Government Gemma Tetlow, Chief Economist at the Institute for Government The event will be chaired by IfG Senior Fellow Jill Rutter.

WEBINAR | What choices did the government make in the 2025 spending review?

πŸ“…Wed 11 June, 16.00

Join IfG experts for instant analysis of what Rachel Reeves’s 2025 spending review means for public services, investment and the government’s missionsπŸ‘‡
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/what-c...

03.06.2025 14:33 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2
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Next Weds Rachel Reeves will set out results of multiyear spending review, which should reveal a lot about govt's priorities. Join me @njdavies.bsky.social @drbenpaxton.bsky.social and @jillongovt.bsky.social at 4pm to discuss what we have learnt www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/2025-s...

03.06.2025 13:52 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Part of the government of the day’s job is to pick a trade-off and argue for it. The alternative that we are currently living through β€” where the government doesn’t really pick a position β€” is never going to work politically, because you can’t convince anyone of something if you won’t argue for it. It doesn’t work in policy terms because it results in a kind of half-in, half-out position, where the government is against taxes while raising them, deplores austerity while delivering it, and argues for rearmament while deferring it to an undefined date

Part of the government of the day’s job is to pick a trade-off and argue for it. The alternative that we are currently living through β€” where the government doesn’t really pick a position β€” is never going to work politically, because you can’t convince anyone of something if you won’t argue for it. It doesn’t work in policy terms because it results in a kind of half-in, half-out position, where the government is against taxes while raising them, deplores austerity while delivering it, and argues for rearmament while deferring it to an undefined date

Nodding my head furiously to this from @stephenkb.bsky.social. I'd add that it doesn't work in delivery terms either. The state will respond to political direction but is unlikely to do so in an effective way if ministers are pointing in 20 different directions

03.06.2025 12:36 β€” πŸ‘ 27    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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How will Starmer rate his ministers? | Institute for Government Adam Payne, Editor of PoliticsHome, joins us to discuss whether a reshuffle a good way to inject energy into a not-so-new government.

Plus with a spending review looming @gemmatetlow.bsky.social is in the studio to discuss the final negotiations that are playing out in the media and what being in a spending review is really like.

And @paddy-mcalary.bsky.social on Ministers Reflect www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/podcast/insi...

30.05.2025 11:28 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I agree with @gemmatetlow.bsky.social

30.05.2025 12:13 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

@gemmatetlow is following 20 prominent accounts