Joe Uchill

There's a Shirley Jackson-ness to Pluribus.

Is anyone watching Jets/Browns? Because if my box score is right, the Jets have 14 points on 13 total yards of offence.

Post from the National Symphony Orchestra on Facebook with text National Symphony Orch... * 2h・ Ever dreamed of leading the National Symphony Orchestra? I. Now's your chance to take the baton and be Maestro! / With a large contribution, you can conduct the National Anthem at @kencen - an unforgettable, once-in-a-lifetime experience!

oh noooo lolol

I forgot about Kyle Williams.

a top speed of 21.78 MPH for Kyle Williams on that catch & run TD, per NextGenStats.

fastest top speed hit by a Patriots player this season.

If you're interested in contributing to the community by offering technical support, don't miss "5. TC Meetings: Call for OpenReview Assistance" in the newsletter !

A+++++

Jones - as an incumbent - lost by more than 20 points when the two faced off before. Nothing about Jones has changed. This would live and (probably) die on the changes in opinions of Tuberville after seeing him legislate and the GOP as a whole over Trump II.

Crime Fighters 6 (7501)

Masked ICE agents put damper on Oak Park Girl Scout food drive: ‘It’s heartbreaking as a mom’ Federal immigration agents were confronted in Oak Park on Saturday morning by residents blowing whistles as local Girl Scouts collect food for local pantries, rattling some girls and their parents.

Nice reporting from the Sun-Times on the Girl Scout aspect of my experience yesterday

tinyurl.com/4azkbhjy

Israeli Spyware Maker NSO Gets New Owners, Leadership and Seeks to Mend Reputation Investors led by Hollywood producer Robert Simonds have taken a controlling stake in the company behind Pegasus, and former Trump official David Friedman has been named executive chairman.

Bad news for human rights and national security, no matter how you spin it

NSO Group has a new executive chairman, David Friedman, who's a former U.S. ambassador to Israel and onetime bankruptcy lawyer for President Trump.

www.wsj.com/tech/israeli... via @WSJ

Goodbye to Ron, a walking archive of local history and a mensch.

So, next week I'm presenting a paper at APPAM about a key difference between people's intuition of voter fraud and how fraud actually plays out.

This follows extremely close elections in 2000, 2004, 2016, 2020 and 2024 that lead to conspiracy theories about electoral manipulation.

a tshirt for sale the says Paper Beats Rock, with the hand symbol for “paper” a Nazi salute and the hand signal for “rock” the iconography of a raised liberation fist as used by Black Lives Matter

I wrote a whole book on tshirts like this. Did not expect to see one for sale at Walmart. You can report it (as I have) by scrolling down on the item’s page and reporting it for offensive or prohibited content.

I’m not sure they’ve lost interest. This is kind of like saying people stranded on the moon lose interest in playing volleyball.

We're hiring Ward 7 Community Connectors We're hiring two Community Connectors — one for in-person events and another for online outreach.

We're hiring two Ward 7 Community Connectors — one for in-person events and another for online outreach.

These are part-time, contract roles: $35+/hour, ~5 hours/week. Applicants must live in Ward 7.

More information and how to apply:

Like, the Ravens are 45 minutes away, with a comparable record and a cooler name.

Siskel and Ebert were so impressed they apologized to him on air.

30% of Washington DC households lost jobs due to DOGE. Who do the Commanders think their fans are going to be?

New York institutional Jews are not the only people who need to get a grip here

It's college, so that second foot was entirely to show off.

Iowa making the case for long snappers.

Not the most important thing, here, but some outlet sent reporter Harry Cockburn to cover swingers on a cruise ship.

Anyway, if the airports work and we both make it to #2025APPAM, come say hello.

It’s like he’s trying to piss off William Jennings Bryan specifically

I don't even know where to buy those anymore.

He looks very cozy.

Preprint is below!

The model assumes there is a cost per vote stolen - so mail in fraud, vote buying, even hacking given you'd need to do multiple machines. The empirical study looked specifically at vote buying and clientelism.

convention2.allacademic.com/one/appam/ap...

By the time you've done all of that, you've stolen so many votes that if the most likely results of votes predicted by polls plus the votes you've stolen is no longer anywhere near the 1% mark.

But you don't want a 50/50 chance of winning. If you want, say, a 95% chance of winning you need to steal 5 points plus two times the margin of error just to account for increasing your own odds.

And polls aren't perfect. You need to steal additional votes to account for polling uncertainty.