Jonathan M. Winer's Avatar

Jonathan M. Winer

@jonathanmwiner.bsky.social

Former Senate counsel, Deputy Assistant Secretary of State, U.S. Special Envoy, now Distinguished Diplomatic Fellow, Middle East Institute. Write about law & politics, national & global security, Middle East, financial crime, cross-border issues.

2,776 Followers  |  3,220 Following  |  189 Posts  |  Joined: 29.11.2024
Posts Following

Posts by Jonathan M. Winer (@jonathanmwiner.bsky.social)

Preview
Making Libya investable again - Middle East Institute

#Libya has a lot of oil and currently a lot of IOC interest. But it still needs to take steps to sustain more than exploratory investments, whatever agreements may be announced now. mei.edu/publication/...

26.01.2026 19:24 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
After the Capture | Washington Spectator Having removed NicolΓ‘s Maduro from power in Venezuela through military force, the United States is now the decisive external actor shaping Venezuela’s near-term political and economic trajectory.

washingtonspectator.org/after-the-ca...

12.01.2026 22:47 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Venezuela After Maduro: Six Questions That Matter Now The Steady State : by Jonathan M. Winer

open.substack.com/pub/steadyst...

05.01.2026 16:19 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Why Are We in Venezuela? | Washington Spectator On December 15, 2025, Donald Trump issued the latest in a series of unprecedented executive orders, designating the narcotic drug fentanylβ€”used daily as an anesthetic in hospitals throughout the…

washingtonspectator.org/why-are-we-i...

20.12.2025 04:49 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The systemic risk has only just begun to accumulate. But accumulate it will. Not looking forward to the day the Treasury and/or the Fed decide to bail out the guilty and justify it as necessary to protect the innocent.

18.12.2025 20:36 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
date inscribed
Presented by the artist through the American Federation of Arts 1969

date inscribed Presented by the artist through the American Federation of Arts 1969

Black on Maroon
https://botfrens.com/collections/25/contents/1124123

27.11.2025 12:11 β€” πŸ‘ 62    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

β€œA thug and a sick man.” Breaking from House Republicans who subpoenaed Jack Smith for a private interview about Trump prosecutions, Trump said Smith should appear in public hearing. β€œI’d rather see him testify publicly,” Trump said of Smith, after attacking him as a β€œthug” & β€œa sick man.”

04.12.2025 02:05 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Market Volatility Underscores Epic Buildup of Global Risk

Market Volatility Underscores Epic Buildup of Global Risk www.nytimes.com/2025/11/25/b... "Critics warn that a small group of tech companies, including Nvidia, are essentially buying and selling to each other in circular deals that inflate their actual value." (Same thing with crypto. Massively.)

25.11.2025 21:31 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Trump Administration Live Updates: Judge Tosses Criminal Charges Against James Comey and Letitia James

# NYT reporting on #Comey indictment dismissal incorrect on analysis of statute
of limitations. Because first indictment is void, not defective, statute of limitations has run & case cannot lawfully be revived no matter what DoJ may claim. www.nytimes.com/live/2025/11... Case law is clear.

24.11.2025 20:11 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Top military lawyer raised legal concerns about boat strikes The lawyer at U.S. Southern Command, which oversees the operations against alleged drug-smuggling boats near Venezuela, disagreed that the strikes are legal and was overruled, according to six sources...

I do not see any legal basis for these operations would make them lawful.
The implications if they are indeed unlawful under either domestic and international law for those involved in principle include potential legal actions by the families of the victims. www.nbcnews.com/politics/nat...

20.11.2025 16:20 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Round the decay
Of that colossal Wreck, boundless and bare
The lone and level sands stretch far away

08.11.2025 21:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

stamped on these lifeless things,
The hand that mocked them, and the heart that fed;
And on the pedestal, these words appear:
My name is Ozymandias, King of Kings;
Look on my Works, ye Mighty, and despair!"
Nothing beside remains....

08.11.2025 21:34 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I met a traveller from an antique land,
Who saidβ€”β€œTwo vast and trunkless legs of stone
Stand in the desert. . . . Near them, on the sand,
Half sunk a shattered visage lies, whose frown,
And wrinkled lip, and sneer of cold command,
Tell that its sculptor well those passions read
Which yet survive...

08.11.2025 21:33 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

One of the characteristics of a totalitarian regime with a personality cult is that the leader makes no distinction between what is his privately and what belongs to the state. They are one and the same thing.

22.10.2025 04:55 β€” πŸ‘ 114    πŸ” 38    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 3
Preview
Criminalizing the Opposition | Washington Spectator When those in power bend the machinery of justice to their will, they rarely stop with their personal enemies. In 2025, Donald Trump began repurposing the powers of the federal government to hobble…

washingtonspectator.org/criminalizin...

18.10.2025 02:01 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Project 2025 and the Purge of American Diplomacy: The Blitzkrieg Against State The Steady State | by Jonathan M. Winer October 9, 2025

open.substack.com/pub/steadyst...

10.10.2025 18:16 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This kind of prepation of the public for how to manage what may be coming is of huge importance. The situation in Philadelphia is especially fraught because it is already so partisan. All but one GOP member of PA house earlier voted to impeach this Dem DA for not doing Philadelphia crime their way.

15.09.2025 17:51 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Seven deadly Sins
Pride- Excessive love of oneself, the original & most serious sin.
Greed-Excessive desire for wealth. Wrath - Uncontrolled hatred, rage, & fury.
Envy.
Lust.
Gluttony.
Sloth: Spiritual & physical laziness, indifference to the divine.

Something to reflect on in this period.

26.08.2025 03:17 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

His language is absolutist, grievance-laden, & punitive. The very existence of an authority beyond himself provokes him to try to destroy it. He will β€œnever submit or yield,” urging his legions to find glory in rebellion and vengeance. Of course I am describing Satan in Milton’s β€œParadise Lost.”

26.08.2025 02:55 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Everybody knows that the boat is leaking
Everybody knows that the captain lied
Everybody got this broken feeling
Like their father or their dog just died...
And everybody knows that the Plague is coming
Everybody knows that it's moving fast...

23.08.2025 21:22 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Leonard Cohen - Everybody Knows (Official Audio)
YouTube video by LeonardCohenVEVO Leonard Cohen - Everybody Knows (Official Audio)

Everybody knows that the dice are loaded
Everybody rolls with their fingers crossed
Everybody knows the war is over
Everybody knows the good guys lost
Everybody knows the fight was fixed
The poor stay poor, the rich get rich
That's how it goes
Everybody knows

m.youtube.com/watch?v=Gxd2...

23.08.2025 21:19 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
Unnoticed Whistle-Blower Document Alarms Justice Department Veterans

Not an accident and not a
surprise but still a travesty. www.nytimes.com/2025/07/31/u...

31.07.2025 22:48 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The Icemen Cometh | Washington Spectator On July 9, 2025, the House of Representatives passed a sweeping legislative package that dramatically expanded the operational scope and funding of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE)…

Its a strategic decision by this Administration inder this president to behave this way. And there os likely to be far worse to come. washingtonspectator.org/the-icemen-c...

28.07.2025 21:41 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The Icemen Cometh | Washington Spectator On July 9, 2025, the House of Representatives passed a sweeping legislative package that dramatically expanded the operational scope and funding of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE)…

This isn't accidental - its part of an intentional policy of intimidation by an unaccountable Presidency. And they are just getting started.
washingtonspectator.org/the-icemen-c...

28.07.2025 21:39 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The Icemen Cometh | Washington Spectator On July 9, 2025, the House of Representatives passed a sweeping legislative package that dramatically expanded the operational scope and funding of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE)…

They've only just begun. Here's my take on what they're planning: washingtonspectator.org/the-icemen-c...

27.07.2025 22:28 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

First Amendment forbids govt role in curtailing speech on basis of content. Settled law. Heritage can do whatever it wants but feds cannot lawfully follow them. When they do, up to SCOTUS to stop it. Yes, I know.

27.07.2025 22:27 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The Icemen Cometh | Washington Spectator On July 9, 2025, the House of Representatives passed a sweeping legislative package that dramatically expanded the operational scope and funding of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE)…

Exactly the people who need to take action. Precisely because too many people now live in justifiable fear. And there is much more of that likely to come. washingtonspectator.org/the-icemen-c...

26.07.2025 18:58 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The Icemen Cometh | Washington Spectator On July 9, 2025, the House of Representatives passed a sweeping legislative package that dramatically expanded the operational scope and funding of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE)…

These are exactly the critical people who have some power to resist authoritarian rule. washingtonspectator.org/the-icemen-c...

26.07.2025 18:56 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The Icemen Cometh | Washington Spectator On July 9, 2025, the House of Representatives passed a sweeping legislative package that dramatically expanded the operational scope and funding of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE)…

washingtonspectator.org/the-icemen-c...

25.07.2025 02:41 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The Icemen Cometh | Washington Spectator On July 9, 2025, the House of Representatives passed a sweeping legislative package that dramatically expanded the operational scope and funding of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE)…

washingtonspectator.org/the-icemen-c...

25.07.2025 02:10 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1