Polling USA

Iran War Begins Without Public Enthusiasm Americans are already questioning the war as the political battle at home intensifies

House Model Update:

🔵 DEM: 236 (+21)
🔴 GOP: 199 (-21)

- March 8, 2026 -

(Seat change with 2024 Election)

Full article available for Substack subscribers here -> usapolling.substack.com/p/iran-war-b...

Who's ready for $5/gallon gas again lmfao

Americans still believe Republicans are better suited to deal with border security, crime, and immigration

Both are tied on the economy

Democrats lead on constitutional rights, democracy, and healthcare

More voters are negative about ICE than sanctuary cities

Trump remains above water on border security, underwater on everything else

Net-Helped - "Have Trump's policies helped or hurt the economy?"

Sept 2018: +15%
Today: -13%

Hart/Public Opinion / March 2, 2026

Generic Ballot Polling:

🔵 Democrat: 50%
🔴 Republican: 44%

Hart/Public Opinion / March 3, 2026

Iran War Begins Without Public Enthusiasm Americans are already questioning the war as the political battle at home intensifies

House Model Update:

🔵 DEM: 236 (+21)
🔴 GOP: 199 (-21)

- March 8, 2026 -

(Seat change with 2024 Election)

Full article available for Substack subscribers here -> usapolling.substack.com/p/iran-war-b...

Approval To Fire Kristi Noem:

Approve: 52%
Disapprove: 18%

YouGov / March 6, 2026

Generic Ballot Among Hispanics:

🔵 DEM: 60%
🔴 GOP: 29%

Morning Consult / March 1, 2026

Generic Ballot Polling:

DEM: 47%
GOP: 42%

Morning Consult / March 1, 2026

"The US economy is..."

Getting worse: 53%
Getting better: 23%
About the same: 18%

Those who say getting better:
MAGA: 67%
IND: 13%
DEM: 2%

YouGov / March 2, 2026

"The Affordable Care Act/Obamacare should be..."

Expanded: 41%
Repealed: 28%
Kept The Same: 15%

YouGov / March 2, 2026

"Do you think vaccines are generally..."

Safe: 75%
Unsafe: 18%

YouGov / March 2, 2026

Trump Net-Approval On:

Education: -17%
Abortion: -17%
Environment: -20%
Jobs/Economy: -21%
Healthcare: -23%
Inflation/Prices: -32%

YouGov / March 2, 2026

Democratic Presidential Polling:

Harris: 44%
Newsom: 42%

Manhattan Institute / Feb 15, 2026 - (Released Today)

Democratic Presidential Polling:

Harris: 23%
Newsom: 20%
Buttigieg: 8%
AOC: 7%
Shapiro: 5%
Kelly: 4%
Beshear: 2%
Pritzker: 2%
Whitmer: 2%
Booker: 2%
Stewart: 2%

Manhattan Institute / Feb 15, 2026 - (Released Today)

Democratic Presidential Polling:

Harris: 33%
Newsom: 28%
Shapiro: 16%
AOC: 13%

Manhattan Institute / Feb 15, 2026 - (Released Today)

Democratic Presidential Polling:

Newsom: 52%
AOC: 27%

Manhattan Institute / Feb 15, 2026 - (Released Today)

Trump Approval On Iran:

Disapprove: 54%
Approve: 38%

Approval Among:
DEM: 6%
IND: 34%
GOP: 79%

Marist / March 4, 2026

Compare that to Iraq in 2003

Approval For US Military Action In Iran:

Disapprove: 55%
Approve: 44%

Approve Among:
GOP: 84%
IND: 38%
DEM: 14%

Marist / March 4, 2026

Net-Support for the US Attacking Iran:

Connecticut: -13%
Maine: -18%
Rhode Island: -19%
Massachusetts: -22%
New Hampshire: -20%
Vermont: -36%

- UNH -

Net-Support for Assassinating Khamenei:

Connecticut: +1%
New Hampshire: +1%
Massachusetts: -1%
Rhode Island: -2%
Maine: -3%
Vermont: -19%

- UNH -

Net-Support for Boots On The Ground In Iran

Rhode Island: -50%
Maine: -59%
Connecticut: -60%
Massachusetts: -60%
New Hampshire: -65%
Vermont: -65%

- UNH -

Net-Approval For Trump's Foreign Policy Handling:

New Hampshire: -22%
Connecticut: -23%
Maine: -28%
Rhode Island: -33%
Massachusetts: -36%
Vermont: -37%

- UNH -

Those who want to see the changing of the clocks eliminated:

Support: 64%
Oppose: 16%

YouGov / Feb 19, 2026

"If the war in Iran last more than two months, do you think you would approve or disapprove of it?"

Disapprove: 51%
Approve: 27%

YouGov / March 4, 2026

$1.5-$2 billion

WTI Crude oil is jumping fast

The last recent high was $123.70 in March 2022, shortly after Russia invaded Ukraine