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Per Nielsen

@perwagner.bsky.social

Economist and data scientist. Find my substack here: https://perwagner.substack.com The only sure way to have peace is surrender. Lets not do that. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wpVvgNs8tqI

257 Followers  |  123 Following  |  1,043 Posts  |  Joined: 29.12.2023  |  2.0406

Latest posts by perwagner.bsky.social on Bluesky

This is accurate. Russia has succeeded very well in convincing media in Europe and the UK that the conflict is far more one-sided in Russiaโ€™s favour than is genuinely the case - and that contributes to the assumption that it should be settled in Russiaโ€™s favour sooner rather than later.

10.12.2025 07:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 44    ๐Ÿ” 20    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Republican Thomas Massie has introduced a bill in Congress to withdraw the US from NATO, calling the alliance a โ€œCold War relicโ€ and arguing funds should go to US domestic security. The bill, HR 6508, aims to end American membership in NATO. A move that would shake the foundation of Western security

10.12.2025 07:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 34    ๐Ÿ” 18    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 12    ๐Ÿ“Œ 7

It just keep getting worse.๐Ÿ™

09.12.2025 21:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

We need new leadership in Europe

09.12.2025 21:41 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

How easy it is to divide us Europeans...

09.12.2025 20:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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"Kritiker" waren hier Putin und die russische Propaganda. Seit neuestem auch Trump, der auf die russische Propaganda reinfรคllt und jetzt Druck auf Selenskyj ausรผbt. Selenskyj ist ohne jegliche Zweifel der legitime Prรคsident der Ukraine, und das muss auch so dargestellt werden.

09.12.2025 20:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 62    ๐Ÿ” 15    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
New U.S. security strategy calls for regime change in Europe
YouTube video by Anders Puck Nielsen New U.S. security strategy calls for regime change in Europe

When I started making YouTube videos, I did not imagine that I would one day make one with this title. Watch here for my breakdown of the new U.S. National Security Strategy.

09.12.2025 18:44 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 429    ๐Ÿ” 125    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 31    ๐Ÿ“Œ 20
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Ouch.

Brutal reality hitting slow EU rare earth policy rollout:

Commissioner Sejourne tells NRC: โ€œI was due to travel to Brazil to hold talks about a mine extracting rare earths. 3 days before, we were told that the Americans had come by and bought up all production through to 2030.โ€

09.12.2025 18:40 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 52    ๐Ÿ” 29    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
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Latest Levada Russia poll: Do you think we should continue military operations or begin peace talks?

26% continue military operations
65% begin peace talks

Biggest gap so far.

Perhaps Trump should ask Putin why he's ignoring what his people want.

www.levada.ru/2025/12/04/k...

09.12.2025 15:33 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 116    ๐Ÿ” 29    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Boom ๐Ÿ’ฅ๐Ÿ’ฅ๐Ÿ’ฅ
๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚

09.12.2025 15:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 130    ๐Ÿ” 16    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
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Mette Frederiksen kรฅret til Europas nรฆstmest magtfulde af mediet Politico Den danske statsminister fรฅr andenpladsen i Politicos รฅrlige rangering af Europas mest magtfulde mennesker.

www.dr.dk/nyheder/udla...

Hvad man sรฅ mรฅtte mene om Mette Frederiksen, sรฅ er det her godt for Danmark. Mรฅske hun kan fรฅ en toppost i EU eller lign. og i hvert fald giver det positiv omtale af Danmark og giver os dermed indflydelse.

09.12.2025 15:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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There's nothing organic about China's emergence as a huge car exporter. This is just the same old mix of mercantilism and industrial policy that always defines China and comes at huge cost to everyone else. Trade barriers are the right answer to this...
robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/chinas-inv...

09.12.2025 10:32 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 13    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Chinaโ€™s Weak Currency Is Powering Its Exports and Drawing Criticism

Great Bradsher piece on how the renminbis dramatic undervaluation is supercharging Chinaโ€˜s export explosion.

Germanys trade deficit with China has surged more than 120% this year.

But cutting red tape will surely restore Europes competitiveness!

www.nytimes.com/2025/12/07/b...

09.12.2025 07:09 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 78    ๐Ÿ” 21    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

Europe in 2030 in which NATOโ€™s Article 5 has been exposed to be as hollow as the Budapest Memorandum. Perhaps Western Europeans would step in and fill the voidโ€”but perhaps not

09.12.2025 06:33 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Europe Needs A New Union Itโ€™s time for a โ€œNorth-Eastern federationโ€ as a bulwark against Russia.

www.persuasion.community/p/europe-nee...

To believe in the existence of NATO as a real, credible military force to deter Russian aggression against the Baltic states, which Putin sees as a legitimate target, now requires a real suspension of disbelief. Imagine a

09.12.2025 06:33 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Vi fรฅr dem nรฆppe nogensinde til hverken at forstรฅ eller erkende det, men samtlige danske politikere og myndigheder, der fortsat bruger X, stรธtter galskab som dette. De bรฆrer ved deres tilstedevรฆrelse pรฅ platformen ved til det amerikanske forsรธg pรฅ at nedbryde europรฆisk sammenhรฆngskraft.

07.12.2025 15:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 419    ๐Ÿ” 95    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 20    ๐Ÿ“Œ 12
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Europe Needs A New Union Itโ€™s time for a โ€œNorth-Eastern federationโ€ as a bulwark against Russia.

Europe Needs A New Union
open.substack.com/pub/persuasi...

09.12.2025 03:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 11    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The US has declared rhetorical war on the EU The calls from America this weekend to destroy the EU are revealing. They hate the union because it's the only thing that can keep European countries from being Russian or American vassals.

The calls from America this weekend to "abolish the EU" are for one simple reason: the EU is the only thing that can keep European nation-states from becoming Russian or American vassals.

08.12.2025 08:05 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 14050    ๐Ÿ” 4190    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 899    ๐Ÿ“Œ 368

So... Article 5? โ€œThe Parties agree that an armed attack against one or more of them in Europe or North America shall be considered an attack against them all... "

08.12.2025 07:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 122    ๐Ÿ” 32    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 10    ๐Ÿ“Œ 5

It is with sadness that I note the missing danish signature.

08.12.2025 14:03 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Allies and Rivals - Egmont Institute This is strategy. Trumpโ€™s National Security Strategy (NSS), released on 4 December 2025, is bold and concise. One reads it, and one knows what the US wants. One may not [โ€ฆ]

Sven Biscop on the NSS

"The immediate lesson is this: offering concessions does not work. The supposed trade deal that the EU agreed on with the US on the Turnberry golf course last summer was a shameful surrender. And what did it get us: this NSS."

08.12.2025 12:15 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 16    ๐Ÿ” 7    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

It seems like the German perception on the nuclear issue has changed quite rapidly. Is it possible/probable that the Germans attitude towards a German nuclear bomb will change as well?

08.12.2025 09:40 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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New US security strategy aligns with Russia's vision, Moscow says The Kremlin welcomes the starkly worded document, which does not cast Russia as a threat to the US.

Imagine conquering the worldโ€™s greatest superpower without firing a single shot.

08.12.2025 00:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 831    ๐Ÿ” 296    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 64    ๐Ÿ“Œ 30
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โ€˜Unbearable imbalancesโ€™ cast shadow on Emmanuel Macronโ€™s Beijing bonhomie French presidentโ€™s visit to China highlights growing fears about existential threat to European industries

FT: "Policymakers in Beijing doubt Europe has the unity or the stomach to bear the consequences of erecting new barriers to cheap and high-quality Chinese goods."
www.ft.com/content/ebfa...

08.12.2025 06:17 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 24    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
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France's Macron threatens China with tariffs over trade surplus - Les Echos French President Emmanuel Macron said he had threatened Beijing with tariffs during his state visit to China if there was no action taken to reduce the country's ever-widening trade deficit with the E...

1/6
Emmanuel Macron: "Today, we are caught between the US and China and it is a matter of life or death for the European industry. We have become the adjustment market and this is the worst-case scenario."

He is absolutely right.
www.reuters.com/world/china/...

08.12.2025 04:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 40    ๐Ÿ” 15    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

will be seen by future generations as treason to European security.

07.12.2025 21:09 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

They will not be deterred by communiquรฉs and carefully balanced Council conclusions. They will be deterred only by a Europe that can decide fast, mobilize at scale, and speak with a single military voice when it must. Not making these, or similar changes,

07.12.2025 21:09 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

will always be vulnerable to a hostile Kremlinโ€™s risk-taking. This clearly means more European nuclear statesโ€”not polite begging rights. A nuclear armed Poland, Finland, Sweden, or Norway would completely change the calculus for Russia.

07.12.2025 21:08 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

arms-control agreements have eroded. Serious analysts now openly debate whether U.S. extended deterrence in Europe will remain credible in a prolonged crisis. A European-led defence architecture that remains entirely dependent on U.S., British, or French political will to employ nuclear weapons

07.12.2025 21:08 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Whatโ€™s Wrong with Europe? Why JD Vance is More Right, than Wrong. The Truth Hurts.

open.substack.com/pub/research...
Second, confront the nuclear question honestly.
The non-proliferation system is dead. Biden, Trump, and Putin killed it. Russia uses nuclear threats as cover for conventional aggression; North Korea is entrenched; Iran is close to the threshold;

07.12.2025 21:08 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

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