📘 New publication in Journal of Forecasting, with T. Schincariol
We show that migration flows exhibit recurring temporal patterns. Leveraging these temporal shapes dramatically improves forecasting accuracy, even with limited data.
doi.org/10.1002/for....
Check out our latest article in Political Analysis with Jian Cao! We show how units can react at varying speeds to shocks, which can distort causal estimates in Synthetic Controls.
We introduce a more efficient dynamic estimator to correct these biases bit.ly/3O3EsB2
