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Relearning Economics

@relearningecon.bsky.social

A system dynamicist specializing it's application for Macroeconomic Forecasting. I am the Chief Research Officer at Modern Macro Technologies https://relearningeconomics.com

444 Followers  |  65 Following  |  476 Posts  |  Joined: 29.09.2023  |  1.9087

Latest posts by relearningecon.bsky.social on Bluesky

By the system exhibiting chaotic behavior vs periodic behavior

03.10.2025 03:46 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

No

03.10.2025 03:42 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
If you move faster through space
You move slower through time 

If you stand still in space 
You move fastest through time.

A very confusing three dimensional hour glass shape with an X and y axis bisecting it. Time up top elsewhere on the y axis left side and space on the y axis right side. Hour glass is light cone. Squiggly line top right quadrant says world line of a moving observer and bottom right quadrant says present

Plane of stars creates extra dimension.

If you move faster through space You move slower through time If you stand still in space You move fastest through time. A very confusing three dimensional hour glass shape with an X and y axis bisecting it. Time up top elsewhere on the y axis left side and space on the y axis right side. Hour glass is light cone. Squiggly line top right quadrant says world line of a moving observer and bottom right quadrant says present Plane of stars creates extra dimension.

@relearningecon.bsky.social
πŸ€“πŸ˜‘
How are YOU doing?

22.09.2025 01:41 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Crazy part: photons move only through space, so from their perspective no time passes at all. Mind = blown....

22.09.2025 01:48 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Teaching undergrads rational expectations should count as academic malpractice.

Modeling with it is like designing a unicorn and then asking why real horses don’t have horns.

Might as well just start with the horse.

21.09.2025 03:33 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Lol

11.09.2025 04:51 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Get more from Relearning Economics on Patreon Complex Real World Economics using System Dynamics

If you want to prevent crises, track private debt-to-GDP, not just inflation.

The warning signs are always there if you’re willing to look.

Check out all my blogs out on this topic an more on my Patreon:
🧡8/8
www.patreon.com/c/relearning...

12.08.2025 05:09 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Policy failure #2: obsessing over public debt while letting private debt run wild.

It’s the household mortgage bubble, not the deficit, that crashes economies.
🧡7/8

12.08.2025 05:09 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Policy failure #1: ignoring private credit growth in macro models.

DSGE model frameworks treat debt as neutral or irrelevant.

The cycle is driven by leverage, but the models are blind to it.
🧡6/8

12.08.2025 05:09 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Minsky called it the β€œfinancial instability hypothesis”:
Stability breeds complacency, risk-taking rises, debt loads grow, until the system tips.
🧡5/8

12.08.2025 05:09 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Unlike public debt, private debt must be serviced from incomes that can’t be printed.

When repayment strains hit, spending collapses, dragging the economy down.
🧡4/8

12.08.2025 05:09 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Private debt booms are dangerous because they fuel asset bubbles and fragile balance sheets.

When cashflows falter or rates rise, defaults spike and leverage turns into a chain reaction.
🧡3/8

12.08.2025 05:09 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

1929, Japan’s 1990s bust, the 2008 GFC, all preceded by surging private debt-to-GDP.

In each case, public debt rose after the crisis, as governments absorbed the fallout.

Cause and effect are backwards in the textbook story.
🧡2/8

12.08.2025 05:09 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Mainstream macro blames crises on public debt or bad policy.

History tells a different story, The biggest crashes follow private debt booms , when households & firms load up on credit faster than incomes grow.
🧡1/8

12.08.2025 05:09 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1
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29.07.2025 00:26 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

So there is an equilibrium for that after all.

06.07.2025 04:30 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ˜‚

06.07.2025 04:27 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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An economist is an expert who will know tomorrow why the things he predicted yesterday didn't happen today."

-Lawrence J. Peter

02.07.2025 05:17 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The most "import" tent thing about this quote is the photo I used, specifically his shirt. You're welcome SteveπŸ˜‰πŸ˜

27.06.2025 17:57 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Steve Keen Exposes the Fatal Flaws in Mainstream Economics | S5EP10 Steve Keen Inspire Us Pod
YouTube video by Inspire Us Podcast Steve Keen Exposes the Fatal Flaws in Mainstream Economics | S5EP10 Steve Keen Inspire Us Pod

youtu.be/DDQ5s1Ux62U?...

27.06.2025 17:57 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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''The great tragedy of the global economic malaise is that it is caused by a shortage of something that is essentially costless to produce: money.''

-Steve Keen

27.06.2025 17:57 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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β€œSuch a secondary depression caused by an induced deflation should of course be prevented by appropriate monetary counter-measures. Though I am sometimes accused of having represented the deflationary cause of the business cycles as part of the curative process"

-Friedrich Hayek

27.06.2025 05:48 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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I'll probably get cancelled for this...🀷

26.06.2025 23:51 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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''Even a modest Basic Income program could become a stepping-stone toward the most profound transformation of all: to unlatch work from livelihood entirely.''

-David Graeber

26.06.2025 05:48 β€” πŸ‘ 34    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2
Preview
a close up of a heartbeat on a black background . ALT: a close up of a heartbeat on a black background .

The economy isn’t β€œalive and well” in equilibriumβ€”no more than a heart is when it flatlines. πŸ˜‰

Like any complex system, it orbits strange attractors (and repellers), never truly at rest.

26.06.2025 02:59 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
The Surprising Reason I Love ECONOMICS!
YouTube video by Relearning Economics The Surprising Reason I Love ECONOMICS!

My dysfunctional relationship with economics that turned into a bizarre love story.😐 youtu.be/LktJHH9KDzc

25.06.2025 21:09 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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"The decline of the West is not necessary or historically inevitable. It is the result of choosing policies dictated by its rentier interests."

-Michael Hudson

25.06.2025 15:01 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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β€œSeparate two of the most important issues regarding entitlements: the government’s financial ability to pay and our economy’s productive capacity to deliver promised real benefits.”

-Stephanie Kelton

25.06.2025 05:58 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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"The myth that holds that the great corporation is the puppet of the market, the powerless servant of the consumer, is, in fact one of the devices by which its power is perpetuated."

-John Kenneth Galbraith

24.06.2025 16:19 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The vagueness is meant to make the reader think. These posts on Blue sky suck though because my account is shit small, but they pop on X.

24.06.2025 06:37 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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