Stephen Judkins

that's certainly a gif

We were quite recognizable and got messages from a ton of our friends and family.

We used to the WNBR every year, we were riding a classic tandem covered in glowing lights, and it appears some Oregonian photographer caught a picture of us where our legs and arms very classily covered up the right parts. It was a good photo!

The Oregonian published a photo of my wife and I completely naked as the entire above-the-fold section of the front page

For $1 billion a day we could add enough solar panels to double the generating capacity of the US grid in less than five years.

For you younger posters out there who wonder what March 2003 was like: Picture the exact way the government, Fox & CBS are acting right now BUT ALSO 70% of your neighbors and Glenn Greenwald believe them.

One can assume that LLMs won't help with anything at all besides software dev, but could still be broadly transformative. How much "software eats the world" is a function at how good we are at writing software, and if we get much better at writing more software we'll be using it in more contexts

janitor/handyman; civil engineer

i think we should extend some grace to people who were very emotionally invested in this race, let them be disappointed for a bit, and let Talarico do his best outreach and try to mend fences

I've heard Qwen 3.5 is a pretty huge jump, would love to see how it measures up

Maybe! But I actually think it's going to be, like, the prime minister of Bangladesh who pulls the trigger first.

I will reiterate my belief that at-scale deployment of some form of "geoengineering" is a fait accompli and most discussions of it elide this fact to their detriment

Reflective | Radically Accelerating the Pace of Sunlight Reflection Research We equip the world with the data and tools needed to make informed decisions about sunlight reflection, fast enough to matter.

On Friday, I'm talking with the head of Reflective, a nonprofit trying to accelerate the responsible research of solar radiation modification (SRM), ie, blocking some sunlight from reaching earth in order to cool the atmosphere. Geoengineering!

Got questions?

i do not but thanks for the support

what a disaster

Feelings are extremely sore right now, so I'm not going to go and argue with anyone. We'll see how things shake out in a couple months

nah, just the general UI is increasingly janky, the actions are increasingly broken, shit is getting weirder and more frequently broken

sure lookin like dipshit donald started a regional conflagration

Yeah this is exactly the thing. Increasingly you are telling people to not believe their lying eyes when you tell them LLMs are useless. Their actual lives will directly contradict this. They will likely discount most other unrelated things you say as a result. This can’t become a left/lib dogma.

It's amazing how much the overall Github experience has degraded in the past year. It's not stagnated, it's actively gotten worse

One of the sad things about AI is that badly drawn photoshop was so much funnier

A data-driven look at rising U.S. electricity costs and policy solutions Low-cost power has long underpinned U.S. economic strength, but recent data highlights a notable shift.

So what's really driving up electricity prices?

Basically everything but renewables, according to LBNL and CATF.

Counterpoint: if the Prince of Darkness rises from a fiery portal at the Iowa Caucus and declares his opposition to Donald Trump, I will ride to battle with the host of Hell

gotta say, "the modern right is built entirely around vice signalling" seems like a theory with legs

Really wonder if, once you're throwing electricity away, using resistance elements to heat water tank up to, like, 180F starts making sense. (Note that an anti-scald mixing valve is strictly necessary for this to be safe!)

A BloombergNEF chart by Jenny Chase's team, showing solar build forecasts over time for selected quarters since 2011. In 2011, we only had two-year forecasts and they were flattish at 30-40GW/year; over the years, these forecasts drift upwards and generally are lower than what actually happened. In 2021 we started doing forecasts to 2030, and they were also flattish, though also hilariously drift upwards. In 2024 we expected solar build to rise from just under 600GW, to about 850GW in 2030; as of 1Q 2026, we cut this slightly in the long run.

BNEF's forecasts for solar build over time. We drastically* underpredicted what China would deploy in 2023 and 2024, and the effect of Russia invading Ukraine in 2022.

We cut forecasts in late 2025 because the long-expected cannibalization is biting hard. But now there is a new fossil fuel squeeze.

Just hung out with a Jewish friend who said his (former) synagogue is just constantly blasting their email list with pro-Israel stuff. I'm not Jewish but this sure seems like a real miscalculation given that these positions, according to polling, are extremely unpopular among American Jews under 40

[not a doctor] yeah the advice i've heard is that you can mix pain relievers. Danger comes with taking too much of any one, so rotating through is actually recommended

Hard to think of a more representative turning point than them scrambling to defend Musk's sieg heil salute

Dam's broken