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Artisan Ross

@lewiston.bsky.social

Uncovering Patterns, Shaping Solutions The Lewiston Institute is dedicated to analyzing mass gun violence and violent crime, focusing on forecasting mass shootings. Using advanced analytics, we work to anticipate and mitigate future threats.

18,430 Followers  |  19,310 Following  |  558 Posts  |  Joined: 12.11.2024
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Posts by Artisan Ross (@lewiston.bsky.social)

The Susan Collins' Guide to Trump 2.0.

"He's learned his lesson."

"He'll be more cautious."

"I'm concerned."

"Secretary Noem promised it's over."

How’s that working out for Maine?

29.01.2026 21:16 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

This means that the agent was involved in one of two previous incidents in the Chicago area during "Operation Midway Blitz" that DHS also classified as a vehicle-as-a-weapon incident, involving either Marimar Martinez, who was injured (lived), or Silverio Villegas GonzΓ‘lez, who was killed.

08.01.2026 16:07 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Did anyone else catch this part?

Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem defended the actions of the ICE agent who fatally shot Renee Nicole Good (a U.S. citizen) in Minneapolis and also said the agent involved was also involved in a prior incident where a vehicle was used as a weapon.

08.01.2026 16:07 β€” πŸ‘ 32    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 3
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Today marks two years since the Lewiston Maine mass shootings.

We remember the 18 lives lost and the 13 wounded who endured unimaginable trauma.

Our hearts are with the families and community members who continue to carry this heavy loss.

#LewistonStrong #NeverForget

25.10.2025 13:54 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Supreme Court turns away Alex Jones' attempt to block $1.5B defamation judgment The conspiracy theorist had asked the justices to immediately intervene, warning that the ownership of his Infowars website could be transferred to the satirical news site The Onion.

The Supreme Court just turned away Alex Jones' effort to block the $1.5 billion judgment, allowing The Onion to turn Infowars into a parody of itself. The man who spent years calling tragedy fake news might soon have his website run by actual satirists. What a shame.
www.nbcnews.com/politics/sup...

14.10.2025 15:52 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

So, if data can reveal these hidden patterns, what responsibility do we have to act on them before the next tragedy occurs?

12.10.2025 15:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Even with limited data, the model has achieved measurable accuracy, identifying high-risk periods months in advance. It proves that what we’ve long considered β€œrare” may simply be what we haven’t yet learned to recognize.

12.10.2025 15:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

At the Lewiston Institute, we took that challenge seriously. Our system, SentinelForecast360, uses patterns found in environmental and temporal factors β€” not human profiling β€” to forecast when and where mass shootings are most likely to occur.

12.10.2025 15:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The National Institute of Justice has long noted that the real challenge isn’t a lack of desire to understand these tragedies, but a lack of consistent data. Explaining, β€œThe research community must develop a strategy to source, code, check, and analyze the data surrounding rare violent incidents.”

12.10.2025 15:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Experts describe mass shootings as β€œrare events” β€” the kind that data scientists call outliers, and policymakers label β€œimpossible to foresee.”

12.10.2025 15:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Lessons Learned on the Methodological Challenges in Studying Rare Violent Incidents Violent incidents such as public mass shootings and terrorist events are rare but have widespread, catastrophic impacts on society. These devastating and often high-profile events raise questions abou...

What if mass shootings aren’t as random or unpredictable as we think?

Source: [National Institute of Justice](nij.ojp.gov/topics/artic...)

12.10.2025 15:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Closing Question: If predictive modeling can be designed to protect lives without bias, shouldn’t we explore how to use it responsibly?

11.10.2025 22:07 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

By removing demographic and socioeconomic variables, SentinelForecast360 avoids the pitfalls of biased policing models and instead provides ethical, data-driven foresight designed to protect communities, not profile them.

11.10.2025 22:07 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

It uses objective, non-identifiable data such as environmental conditions, temporal patterns, and historical incidents to identify when and where risk is statistically highest.

11.10.2025 22:07 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

At the Lewiston Institute, our approach is different. SentinelForecast360 focuses exclusively on forecasting mass shooting risksβ€”not individual behavior.

11.10.2025 22:07 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The Brennan Center for Justice cautions that many predictive policing algorithms amplify existing systemic biases, noting that these systems β€œuse algorithms to analyze massive amounts of information in order to predict and help prevent potential future crimes.”

11.10.2025 22:07 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Predictive Policing Explained Attempts to forecast crime with algorithmic techniques could reinforce existing racial biases in the criminal justice system.

Can Predictive Modeling in Public Safety work ethically without reinforcing economical or racial bias?

www.brennancenter.org/our-work/res...

11.10.2025 22:07 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

You’re absolutely right that predictive technology can be dangerous in the wrong hands. But when built ethically and transparently, it can also empower communities and policymakers to act before lives are lost β€” without violating anyone’s civil rights.

11.10.2025 02:14 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Unlike mass surveillance systems or β€œpre-crime” units, our model doesn’t monitor individuals or use personal data. It analyzes environmental and behavioral patterns drawn from open-source incident data to identify where conditions for violence are statistically forming β€” not who will commit it.

11.10.2025 02:14 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

You raise a valid point β€” much of today’s AI is profit-driven, designed to serve corporate or political interests rather than public safety or human rights. That’s one of the biggest reasons I built SentinelForecast360 independently.

11.10.2025 02:14 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

6️⃣ Closing Question: If AI can detect patterns that signal risk before tragedy strikes, should we not use it to save lives?

11.10.2025 01:18 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

5️⃣ This shows that while AI may not β€œthink” like humans, it can reveal patterns invisible to us, giving communities and law enforcement actionable foresight.

11.10.2025 01:18 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

4️⃣ In 2025, SentinelForecast360 identified April and August as the highest-risk months for mass shootings in Los Angelesβ€”and eight tracked incidents confirmed the forecast, achieving 76 percent predictive accuracy.

11.10.2025 01:18 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

3️⃣ At the Lewiston Institute, we challenged that assumption. Our AI system, SentinelForecast360, doesn’t try to predict human intentβ€”it analyzes historical incidents, environmental conditions, and temporal patterns to forecast risk.

11.10.2025 01:18 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

2️⃣ Deutsch says: β€œa mere AI is incapable of having any such ideas, because the capacity for considering them has been designed out of its constitution.”

11.10.2025 01:18 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

1️⃣ Can AI Predict Mass Shootings?

David Deutsch, in Possible Minds: 25 Ways of Looking at AI, argues that AI lacks the creativity to predict complex human behaviors such as mass shootings.

Source: [Popular Mechanics](www.popularmechanics.com/technology/s...)

11.10.2025 01:18 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Trump didn’t win the Nobel Peace Prize, so now Republicans want Congress to just hand him one.
You know, like how toddlers get a sticker for trying their best.

www.mediaite.com/media/tv/huh...

10.10.2025 16:35 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

It'll be messy!

09.10.2025 23:26 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

🚨 From Trump’s Nobel Peace Prize nomination:

The man who 'ended 8 wars' β€” yet declared one on Americans β€” might soon start new wars in Canada, Mexico, or Greenland...

But not Norway. I mean, it’s not like you rigged the Peace Prize… right!?

πŸ€” What happens if he doesn’t win?

09.10.2025 23:03 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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Amazon says it had nothing to do with 250 Maine ballots in one of its boxes Law enforcement, including the FBI, is investigating the incident.

1️⃣ The Maine 'Amazon Ballot Box' Incident β€” What’s Really Going On?

A Newburgh, Maine woman allegedly received 250 absentee ballots in an Amazon box β€” the same day Ellsworth reported 250 missing.
Coincidence? Maybe not.
#Maine #Elections

wgme.com/news/local/a...

09.10.2025 18:25 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1