Ilya Spivak's Avatar

Ilya Spivak

@ilyaspivak.bsky.social

Head of Global Macro @ tastylive

226 Followers  |  42 Following  |  228 Posts  |  Joined: 06.02.2024  |  1.7082

Latest posts by ilyaspivak.bsky.social on Bluesky

Stock Market Rebound Fails to Hold: Is This the New Normal? US stocks fell to a two-week low as a soggy rebound failed to hold. Is β€œrisk off” the new normal for markets?

A stock market rebound failed to get off the ground, with prices sinking to a two-week low after just one day on the upside.

Why did the upswing fizzle, and what's coming next?

#StockMarket #Dollar #GoldRate #InterestRates #Macro #FederalReserve #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

07.11.2025 10:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Stocks and Bitcoin Sink, US Dollar Soars: What's Going On Here? Stocks and bitcoin sank while the US dollar soared as the unraveling of risk appetite after last week's Fed shock hit fever pitch.

Stocks and bitcoin sank while the US dollar soared as the unraveling of risk appetite after last week's Fed shock hit fever pitch. What's next?

#StockMarket #Dollar #Bitcoin #FederalReserve #Powell #Macro #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

05.11.2025 04:00 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Macro Week Ahead: Is the Stock Market Still Broken After Fed Shock? Fed Chair Powell spooked stocks with a forceful push against rate cut speculation last week. Since then, a listless market is looking for direction.

Is the stock market still broken after the shocking pushback on interest rate cut expectations from Fed Chair Jerome Powell?

#StockMarket #FederalReserve #Fed #Powell #Dollar #Macro #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

04.11.2025 02:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Stocks After Fed Shock: Do Markets Still Care About Tech and China?
YouTube video by tastylive Stocks After Fed Shock: Do Markets Still Care About Tech and China?

Stocks fell, looking past big tech earnings and easing US-China tensions, after a forceful Fed Chair Powell shocked the markets. Has speculative appetite finally broken?

#StockMarket #techstocks #Earnings #FederalReserve #Fed #Powell #Macro #Trading #EconSky

youtu.be/964K0Xv9Ip4

31.10.2025 00:00 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Did the Fed Just Break the Stock Market? Powell Goes on Offense Did the Fed do lasting damage to stock markets with Chair Powell talking down rate cut bets?

Did Fed Chair Powell just break the stock market rally? He surprised traders with new guidance, and they did not like it one bit. What happened, and what does it mean from here?

#FOMC #FederalReserve #Fed #Powell #StockMarket #Dollar #Macro #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

30.10.2025 08:40 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Stock Markets and the Fed: Nothing to Gain, Everything to Lose? Do stock markets have anything left to gain from another all-but-certain Fed rate cut?

As stock markets face the Fed again with a rate cut all but assured, is there nothing left for them to gain from that result, and maybe everything to lose thereafter?

#FOMC #StockMarket #FederalReserve #Fed #Dollar #InterestRates #Macro #trading #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

29.10.2025 03:14 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Are Stocks Too Optimistic About China, Tech Earnings, and the Fed? Is the stock market too optimistic about China, tech sector earnings, and the Fed? Wall Street is setting record highs and the key question seems to be "what could go even more right?"

Are stock markets too optimistic about China, earnings, and the Fed? Wall Street is setting record highs, and the question now seems to be "what could go even MORE right?"

#StockMarket #FederalReserve #Fed #USChina #FOMC #Dollar #Earnings #Macro #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

28.10.2025 02:44 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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US CPI Preview: Will Hot Inflation Data Spook the Stock Market? A long-awaited update of US CPI inflation data may send the markets scrambling to revise Fed rate cut bets.

Major US economic data has been off the menu for weeks amid the government shutdown. Traders now wait with bated breath ahead of a special look at CPI inflation trends.

#CPI #inflation #Dollar #stocks #market #Macro #tradingstrategy #InterestRates #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

24.10.2025 02:49 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Stocks Stop, Gold Drops: What's Really Moving Markets? Stocks stopped rising after prices came back within striking distance of record highs while gold dropped, suffering its biggest one day loss in five years.

Stocks hit a wall after prices came back within striking distance of October's highs while gold sank, suffering its biggest one day loss in five years. What's driving markets?

#StockMarket #GoldRate #XAUUSD #Dollar #Macro #tradingstrategy #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

22.10.2025 08:53 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Stocks and Gold Prices Back on Offense: Will the Rebound Last? Stocks roared back to life alongside gold prices with tech earnings and US inflation data due. Was this really the dip to buy, or will the markets struggle to continue higher?

Stocks launched a forceful rebound, storming back toward record highs set this month. Was this really the dip to buy, or will markets struggle to keep going?

#StockMarket #Dollar #GoldRate #InterestRates #GoldRate #Macro #tradingstrategy #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

21.10.2025 02:41 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Is the Stock Market Broken? "Buy the Dip" They Said... | Macro Money
YouTube video by tastylive trending Is the Stock Market Broken? "Buy the Dip" They Said... | Macro Money

"Buy the dip" has been the best way to trade the stock market for over six months. Is it finally over?

#StockMarket #BuyTheDip #Dollar #Macro #tradingstrategy #TradeWar #Tariffs #FederalReserve #Fed #EconSky

youtu.be/bPTV_vJ0dPg

16.10.2025 03:20 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Is the Stock Market Finally Ready for Regime Change? Stocks ran out of steam on the way back from another painful selloff. What’s holding them back?

The stock market ran out of steam as it tried to fight back after another painful selloff. What's really holding it back?

#StockMarket #stocks #stockmarketcrash #Fed #Powellspeech #TradeWar #Macro #trading #China #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

15.10.2025 06:27 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Stock Market Meltdown: Is it Already Over or Just Getting Started? Stock markets melted down amid US-China trade war escalation, then seesawed sharply higher. Is the selloff already over or just starting?

Stock markets melted down amid US-China trade war escalation, then seesawed sharply higher. Is the selloff already over or just starting?

#stockmarketcrash #StockMarket #stocks #Dollar #GoldPrice #Crudeoil #Powell #Fed #Macro #trading #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

14.10.2025 02:41 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Stocks and Gold Prices Surging: Don't Blame the Dollar or the Fed Whatever is driving stocks and gold prices to record highs, the Fed and the US dollar are not it.

Stocks and gold prices are roaring higher. With no economic data amid the US government shutdown and no Fed bombshells in the headlines, is "risk on" trading back on autopilot?

#StockMarket #stocks #GoldPrice #Xau #FederalReserve #Fed #Macro #Dollar #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

09.10.2025 08:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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FOMC Minutes Preview: Does the Fed Know Where It's Leading Markets? Stocks fell as bonds, gold, and the US dollar rose in seemingly β€œrisk off” trade. September FOMC meeting minutes may keep the markets in defense mode.

Stocks dropped before September's FOMC meeting minutes hit the wires as Fed officials sent mixed signals about what comes next.

#FederalReserve #Fed #FOMC #StockMarket #stocks #dollars #Macro #trading #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

08.10.2025 09:49 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Macro Week Ahead: FOMC Meeting Minutes, US Consumer Confidence Data Stocks eyeing September FOMC meeting minutes and US consumer confidence data as traders yearn for Fed rate cuts amid the US government shutdown.

Is the US government shutdown secretly good for stocks because the disruption in economic data means markets don't have to see news challenging Fed rate cut bets?

#StockMarket #stocks #government #shutdown #Dollar #FederalReserve #FED #Macro #Trading #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

07.10.2025 08:51 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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US Government Shutdown and Jobs Data: Why Are Stock Markets Happy? Stock markets rose despite a US government shutdown as fiscal pressure and soggy economic news stocked Fed rate cut bets. US jobs data is on focus from here.

Stocks rose even as a budget impasse in Washington, DC triggered a US government shutdown. Why, and what's next?

#StockMarket #stocks #govermentshutdown #Shutdown2025 #USD #Jobs #Fed #InterestRates #Macro #Trading #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

02.10.2025 01:38 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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US Jobs Report, ISM Data, Eurozone CPI Inflation: Macro Week Ahead US payrolls data is in focus as stock markets wrestle with rate cut speculation. ISM surveys will track the Fed tradeoff between US employment and inflation.

The Fed tied rate cuts to worries about US jobs.

Now, stocks and the dollar hang in the balance as the markets prepare for US labor data to test the central bank's resolve.

#StockMarket #stocks #Dollar #FederalReserve #Fed #JobsData #Macro #trading #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

30.09.2025 02:50 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Ha! "Not allowed"? That's not what the economic data clearly shows.

30.09.2025 02:50 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Stocks and Gold Prices Down, US Dollar Up: Trend Change at Last? Stocks and gold prices turned lower as Treasury yields and the US dollar rose. PMI data helped justify Fed rate cuts, but for the wrong reasons. Chair Powell expects tariff impact on inflation to fade...

Stocks are falling alongside gold prices while the US dollar is back on offense against major currencies.

Are the markets finally ready for a trend change?

#StockMarket #stocks #GoldPrice #XAUUSD #dollar_index #Macro #Trading #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

25.09.2025 06:23 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Ha! πŸ˜†

25.09.2025 06:23 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I agree the tariffs are a major headwind, the severity of which will be revealed over time

25.09.2025 06:22 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Macro Week Ahead: Global PMI Update, US PCE Inflation Data Wall Street found a way to celebrate despite a less dovish FOMC than expected. S&P Global PMI data and US PCE inflation figures take center stage from here.

The stock market pushed up to another record high after the Fed cut rates despite rising inflation.

What can possibly go wrong?

#StockMarket #Stocks #FederalReserve #FED #PMI #economy #pce #Inflation #Dollar #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

23.09.2025 01:57 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Stock Markets After Fed Rate Cut: Does This Make Any Sense? Stock markets found a way to cheer despite a Fed that was less dovish than expected. Wall Street now seems content to let the economy β€œrun hot”, at least for now.

Stocks found a way higher despite markets getting less than they wanted from the Fed on rate cuts.

How does this make sense, and where do we go from here?

#StockMarket #stocks #FED #FederalReserve #FOMC #interestrates #Macro #trading #Dollar #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

19.09.2025 02:17 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Fed Rate Cut: What Did Stock Markets Really Think? The Fed’s steering FOMC committee delivered a rate cut, as expected. Markets disliked hearing hawkish-flavored guidance, but seesawing stocks cloud what’s next.

What did the markets really think after a Fed rate cut arrived as expected? Price action across US stocks, bonds, gold, and the US dollar may hint at what's next.

#StockMarket #stocks #Dollar #FederalReserve #FED #FOMC #FOMCMeeting #Macro #Trading #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

18.09.2025 02:43 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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FOMC Preview: Can the Fed Still Surprise the Markets? Stocks, bonds, gold prices, and the US dollar are geared up for Fed rate cuts. With this month’s move already priced in, new FOMC forecasts are in focus.

US stocks hit a record high as the traders geared up for a widely expected Fed rate cut.

With the policy move already priced in, is the market reaction done already?

#StockMarket #Stocks #Dollar #FOMC #FED #FederalReserve #Macro #trading #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

17.09.2025 02:10 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Macro Week Ahead: Are Stocks Ready for What the Fed Does Next? Will the Fed finally give the markets what they want this week? Traders will likely focus on what the FOMC sees after this month's widely expected rate cut.

Will the Fed finally give markets what they want this week? Traders will probably look past a widely expected rate cut to focus on what comes next.

#StockMarket #stocks #dollars #FED #fedmeeting #FOMC #Macro #trading #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

16.09.2025 01:53 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Stocks at Record Highs: Will Consumers Ruin Rate Cuts for the Markets? Stocks cheered as US CPI data passed smoothly, assuring traders that a Fed rate cut will arrive this month. Now, consumer confidence data may challenge how dovish the FOMC can be.

Stocks surged after US CPI inflation data passed without upsetting Fed rate cut expectations. US consumer confidence data will now test the rally's strength.

#stocks #StockMarkets #CPI #Inflation #UofM #FederalReserve #Macro #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

12.09.2025 07:02 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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US CPI Preview: Stocks and the Dollar Brace for US Inflation Data Stocks and the US dollar seesawed as soft US PPI data fails to inspire traders. All eyes now turn to US CPI as markets weigh what the Fed will do next.

Stocks struggled to make good on soft US PPI data as CPI looms ahead.

If a Fed rate cut this month is already a given, what do the markets have to fear?

#StockMarket #stocks #CPI #InterestRates #Inflation #FederalReserve #Macro #Trading #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

11.09.2025 02:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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US PPI: Can Stocks Hold Up as Tariff Inflation Pressure Builds? Stocks anxiously wait for US inflation data to inform Fed rate expectations. PPI data may sour sentiment if tariffs make wholesale inflation spike again.

Can stocks hold up near record highs if inflation spikes again, driving an even bigger wedge between ultra-dovish markets and a cautious Fed?

Next up: US PPI data.

#StockMarket #Stocks #Dollar #Inflation #PPI #Macro #Trading #FederalReserve #FED #EconSky

www.tastylive.com/news-insight...

10.09.2025 02:14 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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