Awful, but proof of how much GOTV and enthusiasm generally matters if this holds throughout the night. FWIW, so many in my circle who are usually decently politically aware entirely missed these locals being on, whereas I feel like Reform has been hyping up their voterbase for them.
02.05.2025 00:54 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Chart comparing demographic breakdowns from YouGov polls in April 2021 and April 2025.
The polling backdrop of the local elections - i.e., how they've shifted since these seats were last fought.
As in the GE last year, the Tories' collapse is more proportional than uniform - they've lost more where they were stronger - meaning their losses will be more severe.
27.04.2025 07:09 — 👍 22 🔁 6 💬 4 📌 3
I believe certain French political scientists saw this coming when they came up with theories of 'Insécurité culturelle' (Cultural Insecurity) especially when it comes to a certain already self-denigrating / precarious white working class voterbase.
08.04.2025 22:11 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
18.03.2025 23:19 — 👍 15 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Guilty on 'wedded to STV' charge, and I think I'll die on that hill. Having Ireland (including even NI elections) across the water probably helps, haha.
For all the people who put it down as 'too complicated', I honestly think most in practice will find the 'just rank your options' mechanics easy.
17.03.2025 13:42 — 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
The flaw in the Lord Ashcroft poll is it undersamples (after weighting) the least Reform-friendly parts of the seat by 21pts. And oversamples the most by 20pts.
The Gowy villages & Helsby make up 22% of the seat's electorate. But only... 1% of the poll's sample.
Detail 👉 BRITAINELECTS.COM
15.03.2025 10:20 — 👍 60 🔁 15 💬 3 📌 3
And the final DGA award for feature film director goes to…….. Sean Baker for ANORA!!!
09.02.2025 05:03 — 👍 70 🔁 4 💬 4 📌 12
Finished a game of #Civ7 in the Antiquity Age. A lot of fun, but Initial thoughts:
The UI needs work: a lot of work
Civilopedia isn’t really helpful or properly interactive
I actually got stuck trying to make a trade route because I forgot how they work now (I legit thought the UI was bugged)
06.02.2025 04:30 — 👍 26 🔁 2 💬 6 📌 1
The crosstabs are certainly fascinating! Shoutout to Reform having the lowest Libertarian support in spite of seemingly having the loudest libertarian ideologues. I suspect this comes from the sheer discrepancy between it's leaders/wealthier supporters and the actual working class base's interests.
11.12.2024 17:34 — 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
Redirecting...
china finally playing their big cards- we'll see if it goes anywhere
www.facebook.com/share/p/1Aev...
18.11.2024 13:30 — 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
Not gonna pretend otherwise, outright jealous my brother got to graduate at the Barbican last week, haha! Still, congrats to him!
13.11.2024 01:46 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Bulgaria, national parliament election:
Preliminary final result
GERB/SDS-EPP: 26.4% (+1.7)
PP/DB-RE|EPP: 14.2 % (-0.1)
V-ESN: 13.4% (-0.4)
DPS/NN-RE: 11.9% (new)
BSPOL-S&D|LEFT: 7.6% (+0.5)
APS-RE: 7.5% (new)
ITN-ECR: 6.8% (+0.8)
...
+/- vs. June 2024 election
➤ europeelects.eu/bulgaria/
29.10.2024 00:39 — 👍 7 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 2
One of many examples of how distinct a niche Reform is, and why Tory leaders pivoting to Reform voters is such a bad idea for their future.
05.09.2024 04:48 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
The brilliant artist Alphonse Mucha (who also has a great little museum in Prague) was commisioned for that distinctive art-nouvuae panel in 1931, which is very much in his style. Such a wonderful spot!
08.09.2023 14:06 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
In the absence of anything better for my first post here, why not a cool shot or took I took from the Neon Museum in Warsaw (tbh, I think any shot from there will look cool).
08.09.2023 02:23 — 👍 8 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
