Thomas Herndon's Avatar

Thomas Herndon

@thomasherndon.bsky.social

Associate Professor of Economics, John Jay College, CUNY. Bass player for Light Sweet Crude and Minaxi. All thoughts my own.

142 Followers  |  161 Following  |  8 Posts  |  Joined: 09.05.2025  |  1.986

Latest posts by thomasherndon.bsky.social on Bluesky

Line plot showing average daily ICE removals in 2025. The title of the plot is "Trump is deporting more than 1,000 people every day"

Line plot showing average daily ICE removals in 2025. The title of the plot is "Trump is deporting more than 1,000 people every day"

New ICE deportation data just dropped: on average ICE deported 1100 people every day last month, a huge escalation

Although less than half the pace needed for Trump's goal of one million annual deportations, Congress gave them their funding, and we should expect this rate to rise

08.07.2025 03:03 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 21    ๐Ÿ” 15    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

A global minimum tax on the ultrarich could change planetary politics. Right now South Africa, Chile, France, and Spain are pushing for it

08.07.2025 01:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4642    ๐Ÿ” 1148    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 75    ๐Ÿ“Œ 70

At the same time, my chinese family has never considered me fully chinese. Shoot, even my mom is losing full chinese status among my uncles for marrying two white guys and not visiting HK enough, even though they all moved to the US at the same time!

07.07.2025 07:17 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This dynamic often has nothing to do with what your actual physical/cultural bg either (bc racial cats arenโ€™t real fixed โ€œessencesโ€). For example, growing up in TX, I was called โ€œchankmanโ€ for years by the white folk, even though the Herndons had been in US and TX longer than those calling me slurs.

07.07.2025 07:17 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Absolutely. One often missed aspect of bi/multi racial identity is we usually donโ€™t fit into the categories that make us up. Iโ€™m 1/2 chinese, 1/2 white, checked both boxes on my apps, but have never been considered chinese or white by those communities, and donโ€™t consider myself that either.

07.07.2025 07:17 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Yeah I help kids fill out their demographic information for, like, PSAT tests and when Latino is not a race because thatโ€™s separate question and kids are like what do I put I just gotta say I donโ€™t know man, vibe it out I guess.

04.07.2025 18:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 213    ๐Ÿ” 26    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Reporters are responsible for doing their own fact checking. This is true for most non magazine newsrooms. They killed the copy desk in 2017. The only part that gets external fact checking is NYT magazine. Also, interestingly books.

04.07.2025 11:11 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 467    ๐Ÿ” 95    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 9    ๐Ÿ“Œ 13

Something beautiful about Miami-Dade is โ€œwhat are you/where are you fromโ€ is the usual first order of business.

Alongside vast Latino diversity are Black, African, and/or West Indian heritages, too, ranging from Black Americans โ€œfrom hereโ€ to Bahamians, Haitians, Dominicans, Jamaicans and Cubans.

04.07.2025 18:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 68    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

"how is it that someone could fail to realize that 'African-American' here does not necessarily refer to an American person from Africa, and that 'African' also does not necessarily refer to a person from Africa?"

no idea man, the world's a strange place

04.07.2025 11:44 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 927    ๐Ÿ” 51    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 18    ๐Ÿ“Œ 6

maybe more obvious to me as a child of immigrants socialized around other such people but categories here are not even used consistently by people who were socialized here - possibly because they don't actually make sense. it's quite possible that people from elsewhere just actually don't understand

04.07.2025 11:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 896    ๐Ÿ” 51    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5    ๐Ÿ“Œ 6

I would guess that 17 year olds in Uganda and South Africa could probably tell you about as much about the nuances of US demographic categorizations as 17 year olds in the US could tell you about social categories in Uganda or South Africa and it's weird that people apparently think otherwise

04.07.2025 11:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2500    ๐Ÿ” 240    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 37    ๐Ÿ“Œ 15

just saying: if you didn't grow up crafting a default answer to "what are you/where are you from?" with some version of "what do you mean?" you may want to consult people who did about what's going on here

04.07.2025 17:17 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 947    ๐Ÿ” 95    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 21    ๐Ÿ“Œ 24

bring back shame

19.06.2025 12:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1303    ๐Ÿ” 123    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 32    ๐Ÿ“Œ 8
Preview
Economists Support Zohran Mamdaniโ€™s Plan for New York City Zohran Mamdaniโ€™s mayoral platform is a practical blueprint to tackle some of New York Cityโ€™s most pressing problems.

I generally correct people when they call me an economist but I also sign stuff like this when people insist I "count". So what do people think, have I done enough econ writing to accept the label economist even though I have no such credential?

www.thenation.com/article/econ...

20.06.2025 15:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 321    ๐Ÿ” 69    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 31    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
โ€œ[Cornett] then described his anger at illegal immigration, telling the detective that he was โ€˜pissedโ€™ about undocumented migrants receiving welfare funds, phones and health insurance, and that he had โ€˜driven around before with the same thought,'โ€ court documents state. โ€œ[He] later asked the detective whether he could be โ€˜charged for [his] thoughts,โ€™ and went on to explain that he fantasized about flying an Apache helicopter gunship to the border and firing on undocumented migrants traveling into the United States in order โ€˜to deterโ€™ other undocumented migrants from attempting to cross the border.โ€

Cornettโ€™s housemates also told detectives that he was โ€œkind of obsessedโ€ with cable news stories about undocumented immigrants entering the United States.

Notably, neither victim was identified as an undocumented immigrant within court documents.

โ€œ[Cornett] then described his anger at illegal immigration, telling the detective that he was โ€˜pissedโ€™ about undocumented migrants receiving welfare funds, phones and health insurance, and that he had โ€˜driven around before with the same thought,'โ€ court documents state. โ€œ[He] later asked the detective whether he could be โ€˜charged for [his] thoughts,โ€™ and went on to explain that he fantasized about flying an Apache helicopter gunship to the border and firing on undocumented migrants traveling into the United States in order โ€˜to deterโ€™ other undocumented migrants from attempting to cross the border.โ€ Cornettโ€™s housemates also told detectives that he was โ€œkind of obsessedโ€ with cable news stories about undocumented immigrants entering the United States. Notably, neither victim was identified as an undocumented immigrant within court documents.

A Virginia guy hunted a Latino man, cornered him, questioned him, and then shot him and his friend, because he assumed the guy was an undocumented immigrant. He was radicalized by Fox News etc. and, of course, Trump. www.wric.com/news/local-n...

20.06.2025 14:44 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2946    ๐Ÿ” 1389    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 51    ๐Ÿ“Œ 240

historians is it good when the robe Nobles are able to buy the positions and honors typically reserved for the sword Nobles?

18.06.2025 12:45 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6417    ๐Ÿ” 1622    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 184    ๐Ÿ“Œ 69

Let them buy into an enlisted rank and immediately get berated by an NCO with several TBIs then assigned to dig latrines until their shovels get tired

18.06.2025 13:44 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 55    ๐Ÿ” 7    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

america is for old people

18.06.2025 13:49 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 32    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Post image

Anyone have any ideas where I should submit this paper? I tried Journal of Applied Econometrics, no dice.

arxiv.org/pdf/2405.20604

18.06.2025 12:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 24    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 9    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Zohran standing in front of a TV control room

Zohran standing in front of a TV control room

About to join @jenpsaki.msnbc.com live on @msnbc.com

06.06.2025 01:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1664    ๐Ÿ” 111    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 42    ๐Ÿ“Œ 8
SEIU California President David Huerta Injured, Detained at ICE
Raid in Los Angeles
Los Angeles - David Huerta, President of SEIU California and SEIU- United Service Workers West was injured and detained at an ICE raid in Los Angeles today while exercising his First Amendment right to observe and document law enforcement activity.
Tia Orr, Executive Director of SEIU California, made the following statement:
"SEIU California members call for the immediate release of our President, David Huerta, who was injured and detained at the site of one of today's ICE raids in Los Angeles. He is now receiving medical attention while in custody.
"We are proud of President Huerta's righteous participation as a community observer, in keeping with his long history of advocating for immigrant workers and with the highest values of our movement: standing up to injustice, regardless of personal risk or the power of those perpetrating it.
"We call for an end to the cruel, destructive, and indiscriminate ICE raids that are tearing apart our communities, disrupting our economy, and hurting all working people. Immigrant workers are essential to our society: feeding our nation, caring for our elders, cleaning our workplaces, and building our homes."

SEIU California President David Huerta Injured, Detained at ICE Raid in Los Angeles Los Angeles - David Huerta, President of SEIU California and SEIU- United Service Workers West was injured and detained at an ICE raid in Los Angeles today while exercising his First Amendment right to observe and document law enforcement activity. Tia Orr, Executive Director of SEIU California, made the following statement: "SEIU California members call for the immediate release of our President, David Huerta, who was injured and detained at the site of one of today's ICE raids in Los Angeles. He is now receiving medical attention while in custody. "We are proud of President Huerta's righteous participation as a community observer, in keeping with his long history of advocating for immigrant workers and with the highest values of our movement: standing up to injustice, regardless of personal risk or the power of those perpetrating it. "We call for an end to the cruel, destructive, and indiscriminate ICE raids that are tearing apart our communities, disrupting our economy, and hurting all working people. Immigrant workers are essential to our society: feeding our nation, caring for our elders, cleaning our workplaces, and building our homes."

BREAKING

The President of Californiaโ€™s largest union has been detained during an ICE raid.

06.06.2025 22:32 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 16941    ๐Ÿ” 7637    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 623    ๐Ÿ“Œ 620
MEWFY | Ambient Post-Punk | A Short Film on Overconsumption | Minaxi
YouTube video by Minaxi MEWFY | Ambient Post-Punk | A Short Film on Overconsumption | Minaxi

My band Minaxi just released a new video today titled My Eyes Will Find You (link below)! I really like how the bass came out on this one - especially in the melodic interlude, and the fuzzy outro, where I get to play kinda a lead melody. Check it out! www.youtube.com/watch?v=ls3g...

06.06.2025 19:41 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This is 10-12 tenure-track assistant professorsโ€™ salaries at many places. A whole academic programโ€™s worth of money, pissed away, In Times of Austerity, on rent-a-cops going after students who dared speak. Nobody behind this should have a career.

06.06.2025 17:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1333    ๐Ÿ” 409    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 10    ๐Ÿ“Œ 11
Post image

EXTREMELY BAD NEWS for economic research, per former BLS Commissioner @ericagroshen.bsky.social on LinkedIn.

BLS is suspending access to its restricted data "for the forseeable future." Applies to projects through the Federal Statistical Research Data Centers & onsite projects with BLS.
#EconSky

06.06.2025 18:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 973    ๐Ÿ” 502    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 32    ๐Ÿ“Œ 69

here's the clip

04.06.2025 23:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3546    ๐Ÿ” 760    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 52    ๐Ÿ“Œ 126

the fact that the democrats are feeding republicans tacos that democrats paid for is such a clear picture of the dynamics in this stupid country

03.06.2025 16:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 47    ๐Ÿ” 8    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
"Leftists have no credibility whatsoever. They also lack morals, values, integrity, or decency. I say this based on their own actions which define them way better than the lies they tell about themselves. If they were better people then they would not have helped elect fascists like Trump."

"Leftists have no credibility whatsoever. They also lack morals, values, integrity, or decency. I say this based on their own actions which define them way better than the lies they tell about themselves. If they were better people then they would not have helped elect fascists like Trump."

Tiresome that libs continually insist we leftists are irrelevant so they can ignore us *and also* blame us for their electoral losses. More generally: the fact that libs won internal power struggles means they own the consequences. America, the world, is as it is after you governed, not us. Own it.

03.06.2025 16:55 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 291    ๐Ÿ” 59    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 12    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

Why tf are ICE dressed like this, is it a terror tactic? Is it that their primary basis of social support / recruitment is grown men with excessive CoD nostalgia?

03.06.2025 17:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 73    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 6    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Hey look, @thomasherndon.bsky.social has finally made it over from the other place! Everybody should follow him.

03.06.2025 14:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

03.06.2025 13:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@thomasherndon is following 20 prominent accounts