That was definitely a major component. But as someone with a small library on my bookshelf on insurgencies and counterinsurgencies, the amount of support the NeoCons had from academia once they made the case is wild. Didn't work, but by god they planned! This is just "war... and vibes"
04.03.2026 02:19 —
👍 0
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
I hate that I can relate to this in any way.
04.03.2026 00:57 —
👍 2
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
Yeah, that shit was planned with the brightest and best of the NeoCon minds. In the words of Mike Tyson, everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth. But there was definitely a LOT of (poor) planning for the GWOT.
04.03.2026 00:56 —
👍 6
🔁 0
💬 1
📌 0
No "redemption arc" for anyone from either party that tries *now* to stop what's happening. But I might hate them less if they do all they can to stop it now. If people like Massey and Tillis survive this moment, we'll deal with them later. But for now, let them throw wrenches.
04.03.2026 00:48 —
👍 2
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
Right there with you. So many politicians could have at least pumped the brakes on where we are earlier. But now that they know how bad it can get, if they try to slam on the brakes after not seeing it sooner, I welcome it. No love for Tillis, Massey or MTG. But throw wrenches in gears everywhere.
04.03.2026 00:44 —
👍 3
🔁 1
💬 2
📌 0
And Russia, China, Iran, and the British MI6.
04.03.2026 00:34 —
👍 5
🔁 2
💬 0
📌 0
He's not even a good troll. He's just looking to create controversy and get attention. Just shallow behavior because he feels small and wants attention. Pathetic. I can't respect him as an academic or as an internet troll.
04.03.2026 00:21 —
👍 1
🔁 1
💬 0
📌 0
I am absolutely an old school internet troll with decades of experience, even though I don't use this account to do it. But this particular kind of trolling that targets important societal institutions and practices? Nah. Screw this guy and his pro-AI BS.
04.03.2026 00:18 —
👍 1
🔁 1
💬 0
📌 0
Makes sense considering he was so focused in the article about calling out "BlueSkyism" in agreement with Nate Silver.
But he'll get a like from "Groyper1488" on Twitter for talking shit about BlueSky and maybe that's important to further academic publishing in his opinion.
04.03.2026 00:13 —
👍 0
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
I'm fully capable of hating people without letting it consume my mental health or "give them power over me". And it can be a hate that burns like a thousand suns. My secret is keeping it balanced with the love I have for people that are hated by the people I hate. Indifference is my only fear.
03.03.2026 23:41 —
👍 5
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
This is the way.
03.03.2026 23:35 —
👍 2
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
I researched extremism groups for years, including all the awful videos they post. I'm hardened to what the worst people on earth and there is NO WAY you could make me watch that.
03.03.2026 23:32 —
👍 1
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
...on the ceiling, pink Champagne on ice.
03.03.2026 23:25 —
👍 0
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
I mean, it's not that far to Cairo, right? Just catch an Uber from Tel Aviv!
03.03.2026 20:32 —
👍 1
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
I couldn't catch that break. And then it set below the trees and wasn't about to drive to a hill with a tripod in my bathrobe.
Glad you got a shot!!
03.03.2026 11:41 —
👍 1
🔁 0
💬 1
📌 0
As a prepubescent kid expecting that I would die in a nuclear exchange or be raptured to Heaven at any moment (grew up VERY Evangelical)... Probably not great for my development, and I might still be unpacking that shit in my mid 40s. 😭
03.03.2026 01:38 —
👍 0
🔁 0
💬 1
📌 0
Only a few replies and they are all more clever or witty than anything I can come up with.
So I'll just say "good luck" in your attempt to discern strategic (or even tactical) goals from this.
03.03.2026 01:33 —
👍 1
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
Oh, absolutely. I just think Putin is a lot smarter than Trump and can think about second and third order consequences in a much more rational manner. Trump can't even think about direct consequences of his actions.
03.03.2026 01:25 —
👍 1
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
I mean, that's totally fair. If we had a full Cold War nuclear exchange, folks in Australia weren't making it out alive either! I just got the benefit of knowing that being close to a US SAC base with nukes on it that my end would be very instant. It wasn't the fallout I worried about! 😂
03.03.2026 01:23 —
👍 1
🔁 0
💬 2
📌 0
I'm mostly just joking, but but like half the companies on earth were started by a half joke and an idea.
03.03.2026 01:21 —
👍 0
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
I might possibly see a scenario where Putin decided on a tactical nuke if a push further than Ukraine went poorly, but even that stretches the imagination. Trump using a tactical nuke? I wish we lived in a world where that was unthinkable like it was a few years ago.
03.03.2026 01:08 —
👍 2
🔁 0
💬 1
📌 0
Yup. China isn't really a threat unless they get a nuke hitting their soil. And then it's just strikes to cripple military ability. They don't have the nukes or the desire to kill civilians in Houston or Minneapolis or even LA. We're now the loose cannon.
03.03.2026 01:06 —
👍 2
🔁 0
💬 2
📌 0
Know any supply chain research folks that can help us get in contact with the plant in China that makes those? We might get rich! 😂
03.03.2026 01:02 —
👍 0
🔁 0
💬 1
📌 0
We all know what some kiloton bombs did in Japan in 1945. The level of death and destruction.
Knowing what bombs at many megatons are capable of still messes with me. And yeah, glad bombs like the Mk17 and B-41 don't exist any more!!!
03.03.2026 01:00 —
👍 2
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
My granddad had no idea that I was autistically hyperfocused on his descriptions of nuclear weapon function and effects. And what it would do to my brain even after he died. But even before, I grew up as a little kid knowing that living close to Carswell was death if nukes launched in the 80s.
03.03.2026 00:56 —
👍 1
🔁 0
💬 2
📌 0
LOL, fair, the "vaporizing" isn't the best word choice. Small comfort to those that aren't in the few hundred meters from impact that die of a 5psi blast wave and the hellfire that spreads even further.
03.03.2026 00:53 —
👍 1
🔁 0
💬 1
📌 0
Oh god yeah. That's how the scary Muslim terrorists that couldn't get actual nukes were going to attack us AT ANY MOMENT!!!!!
At least according to our fearmongering politicians.
03.03.2026 00:48 —
👍 2
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
But that acute threat of nuclear holocaust wasn't as sharp after the Cold War. Because it felt like a "Capitalist" Russia and the US were less likely to start throwing nukes. And that was probably true to some degree. And even China isn't a threat that the USSR/Russia is for ending it all.
03.03.2026 00:46 —
👍 1
🔁 0
💬 1
📌 0
Absolutely agree there. The fall of the USSR didn't just erase a thousand missiles pointed at us, and we still have ours pointed at them (and China and probably a lot of other places). I think just the need for demonizing the USSR went away and the "fear them" shifted to Islam with the public.
03.03.2026 00:44 —
👍 2
🔁 0
💬 2
📌 0
But yeah, I didn't do the math, and it's a lot more 500lb conventional bombs than I suggested.
Not vaporizing cities, but definitely small parts of a large city. And shit like fallout and radiation poisoning.
03.03.2026 00:23 —
👍 1
🔁 0
💬 1
📌 0