Micah Warren's Avatar

Micah Warren

@micah541.bsky.social

Math professor. Crypto skeptic. I wrote the textbook about the game theory of Bitcoin. Bluesky is the worse social media space, except of course, all the other ones

1,695 Followers  |  891 Following  |  2,233 Posts  |  Joined: 18.11.2024
Posts Following

Posts by Micah Warren (@micah541.bsky.social)

Preview
Statement from Dario Amodei on our discussions with the Department of War A statement from our CEO on national security uses of AI

This rules.

26.02.2026 23:11 — 👍 115    🔁 10    💬 10    📌 1

The left needs to step up its signaling game and make it clear that we will do more than just do this whole smug "we told you he was going to do this OMG I'm just so exasperated" thing. This is genuine blood of patriots and tyrants territory.

26.02.2026 18:01 — 👍 6    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 0

I just did not have this White House doing PSYOP in my bingo card

25.02.2026 18:51 — 👍 1    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 0
Simons Laufer Mathematical Sciences Institute (SLMath) Independent non-profit mathematical sciences research institute founded in 1982 in Berkeley, CA, home of collaborative research programs and public outreach.

AI haters gonna hate, but this is a thing

www.slmath.org/axiom/411

25.02.2026 18:22 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Not in foreseeable future. There are many miners would get low cost (sometimes negative cost for short periods) energy and they have already paid for ASICs. They may be losing money long term in interest on the equipment, but by that time difficulty will adjust way downward

24.02.2026 23:07 — 👍 5    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 0

Yes and because some miners have near zero marginal cost, they will continue to produce blocks. Difficulty will adjust to the pace at which they are producing blocks.

24.02.2026 22:16 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

So only the profitable folks continue to mine, and it keeps going.

24.02.2026 18:54 — 👍 4    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 0

Guys. The difficulty adjusts automatically. That how the thing works.

24.02.2026 18:51 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Sorry to be that guy but you do all know that the difficulty adjusts automatically, right?

24.02.2026 18:48 — 👍 4    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Post image

What the jestermaxxers don't know is that there is only a supremum

21.02.2026 23:32 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0

%100

21.02.2026 22:11 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Post image Post image 21.02.2026 17:48 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Predicting now that a certain segment of Bluesky is going to predictably lose their minds over the fact that prediction markets are going to be useful , and try to gaslight like they deny that LLMs are use useful tools.

Of course prediction markets will be tools of some horrible people.

20.02.2026 17:06 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

The problem remains that the media more or less has to give their audience what their audience wants. And you're lying if you haven't thought about 2028 and who might the viable candidates be and the only place to really check that against reality is Polymarket.

20.02.2026 16:58 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Watching crypto, AI, etc develop over the last decade according to the perversions of neoliberalism the whole thing feels prescient - like how about the story when they reinvented the phone call because iooksmaxing AI avatars lacked authenticity?

20.02.2026 16:53 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

So much easier for billionaires to select their candidates before the primary stage by getting the media to cover the "clearly the consensus front runner"

20.02.2026 16:29 — 👍 4    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I hope there's a picture. There's gotta be a picture

20.02.2026 16:24 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Funny, I saw a couple weeks ago somebody apologizing for having read it and saying that well actually it was pretty good

I read it and really enjoyed it.

19.02.2026 22:59 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Substack haters weren't wrong

19.02.2026 18:32 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

This is a really weird take

18.02.2026 23:56 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

It makes sense if you endow Biden with magical fascist powers

18.02.2026 22:12 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

The gaslighting - being told my actual experience was fake

18.02.2026 18:29 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

How do we shift critical mass toward sanity? Will is 100%

18.02.2026 16:43 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

"I want my politicians to have never had entertained conversations with folks I disagree with" is peak

18.02.2026 16:15 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

More entertaining to just watch it play out in real time. Maybe even the place some side bets on it.

18.02.2026 06:17 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Now do Elements.

Joking please don't

18.02.2026 06:11 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Ok but Fox News is going to have to layoff massive troves of dedicated Jasmine Crockett reporters, not sure if the economy can absorb that

18.02.2026 06:07 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

Ascendant

17.02.2026 22:26 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

OK, I'm very curious as to what you're doing. Hope you can describe it sometime.

17.02.2026 18:09 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

OG frame-moggers

17.02.2026 17:45 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0