GEO-POWER-EU

📣 Happening tomorrow!
Join us on 7 Oct at 15:00 CET on Zoom to discuss Serbian 🇷🇸 public opinion on the EU 🇪🇺, #migration, #security & more. 👉 shorturl.at/U0bWZ

📢 In an interview with Vijesti, Dr. Tena Prelec shares insights from #GEOPOWEREU on corrosive capital, EU integration, and public trust.

Read here 👉 shorturl.at/skvNj

📣How do Serbians view the 🇪🇺, #migration, #security & global actors?
Join us on 7 Oct for the online presentation of 🇷🇸 findings from the 2025 #GEOPOWEREU Public Opinion Survey📊
🗓️Tuesday, 7 Oct | 15:00 CET
📍Online (Zoom)
🔗Info & Participation: shorturl.at/U0bWZ

D2.1 I Discerning the perceptual gap between the EU policies and the countries’ expectations and needs - Geo Power New GEO-POWER-EU Deliverable: Discerning the perceptual gap between the EU policies and the countries’ expectations and needs The GEO-POWER-EU project has released a new timely report on the elite per...

Without credibility & predictability, enlargement risks losing its transformative power. The stakes? Not just #EU membership, but Europe’s stability & #security.
Read the full report here: shorturl.at/Nexwh
4/4

The study shows conditionality is losing bite. 🇪🇺 elites say candidates lack reform commitment. In 🇦🇱🇧🇦🇽🇰🇲🇪🇲🇰🇷🇸, many point to double standards & politicization. For 🇺🇦🇲🇩, security now overshadows it, while 🇬🇪 sees it as key for reforms but fears unpredictability. 3/4

The findings show a perceptual gap: 🇪🇺elites see enlargement as part of values & integration. Many in🇦🇱🇲🇰🇲🇪 frame it as modernization & democratization, while 🇽🇰 stresses recognition, 🇷🇸🇧🇦are more skeptical. For 🇺🇦🇲🇩 it’s about security, while🇬🇪 focuses on anchoring reforms 2/4

Featured Image: Forum for International Cultural Relations, edeos

📢 New GEOPOWEREU study: “Discerning the perceptual gap between EU policies & countries’ expectations”
Based on 109 elite interviews across 🇪🇺🇦🇱🇧🇦🇽🇰🇲🇪🇲🇰🇷🇸🇺🇦🇲🇩🇬🇪 it explores how enlargement is perceived, whether its credibility is at risk & how it could be restored 🔗
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Featured image: National Public Radio (NPR)

Don’t miss #GEOPOWEREU partner @dpcglobal.bsky.social’s new piece “Sharpie #Geopolitics in a Time of Complexity”—on how #Trump 2.0’s transactional “deal-making” lens flattens complex conflicts into real-estate logic & “land swaps”
🔗 bit.ly/3KrCj3B

Featured image: Foundation for Defence Democracies

How does illicit finance fuel Russia's 🇷🇺 power projection?
Dr. @tenaprelec.bsky.social’s (@cas-see-uniri.bsky.social) new co-authored article unpacks how illicit financial flows shape Moscow’s foreign policy.
Read it here: bit.ly/46Db3GT

The findings emphasise that Europe’s credibility depends on practical cooperation delivering real results, sustained investment in the defence base & a closer alignment between security, enlargement & the 🇪🇺's broader global role.

Read the full report here👉 bit.ly/4mjb48I

Featured image: Creator: FREDERICK FLORIN | Credit: AFP/Getty Images

The study shows the EU🇪🇺 balancing many demands: defend territory from military threats, protect citizens from cyber and hybrid attacks, stabilize its neighbourhood, and build a stronger #defence industry. Together, these tasks show the scale of change now underway.

Featured image: Radio Free Europe

Featured Image: Europa.eu

Featured image: Politico.eu

Europe’s security order is under heavy strain. Russia’s 🇷🇺 war on #Ukraine🇺🇦 , doubts about #USA🇺🇸 commitment, and China's🇨🇳 rising influence are forcing the #EU🇪🇺 to rethink its role.

The report argues Europe cannot stay passive; it needs the capacity to act.

Featured Image: The European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR)

How can Europe strengthen its defence cooperation amid rising geopolitical challenges?

📣Our new report explores the EU’s evolving roles as well as the hurdles and opportunities for credible security and defence action.

We have many more interesting insights waiting for you, explore the full survey here 👉 bit.ly/4nslHa9

External Actors

- 🇷🇺 seen as a threat to European peace by 54%;
- 🇨🇳 seen as a threat by 28%;
- 🇹🇷 is largely seen as a partner, with only 13% viewing it as a threat.

🇪🇺 EU & NATO

Support for 🇪🇺 membership is strong:
- 94% in 🇦🇱 & 🇽🇰, 84% in 🇺🇦
- However in 🇷🇸 only 40%
NATO is backed by 63% overall, but in 🇷🇸 85% oppose.

Across the region, citizens point to 3 main future concerns:

- Corruption 35% overall: highest 67% in 🇧🇦 and 55% in 🇦🇱;
- Skilled workers leaving 27% overall: highest 56% in 🇲🇰, 41% in 🇽🇰;
- Unemployment 20% overall: highest 44% in 🇽🇰, 33% in 🇲🇪.

📢 Did you have time to read our newly released #GEOPOWEREU survey report?

We asked 9,011 citizens across 🇦🇱🇧🇦🇽🇰🇲🇪🇲🇰🇷🇸🇺🇦🇲🇩🇬🇪 about trust in global powers, EU & NATO, migration, media & politics.

Here are some key takeaways ⤵️

The report is organised into 5 thematic chapters and 9 national overviews, offering insights into how societies in the two regions perceive international actors and their countries’ strategic choices. Read it here 👉 bit.ly/4nslHa9

Citizens’ views were collected on:
-Trust in the 🇪🇺, 🇺🇸, 🇷🇺, 🇨🇳, 🇹🇷
-Security & foreign policy
-Migration
-Information sources
-Political orientations

The EU-funded #GEOPOWEREU survey (June 2025) was led by @cas-see-uniri.bsky.social with fieldwork by Newton & Indago. It covers 9 countries in the Western Balkans and Eastern Neighbourhood.

Featured Image: Reuters/European Commission

📢 How do citizens in the Western Balkans & Associated Trio see global actors, their partners, and their own future?The #GEOPOWEREU project shares fresh results from a Public Opinion Survey across 🇦🇱🇧🇦🇽🇰🇲🇪🇲🇰🇷🇸🇺🇦🇲🇩🇬🇪
A short🧵⤵️

🔹#Türkiye 🇹🇷 overtaking USA 🇺🇸 as the main military equipment supplier
🔹EU 🇪🇺 & USA 🇺🇸 civil society support remains strong, but Türkiye 🇹🇷 maintains a steady influence in the civic landscape
📈 For more regional insights, access the full database: 🔗shorturl.at/jaN2H

🔹#Kosovo’s imports remain dominated by EU 🇪🇺 member states, but Türkiye 🇹🇷 has steadily increased its commercial footprint since 2016
🔹#EU 🇪🇺 and #USA 🇺🇸 continue to be the main providers of development assistance, reaffirming their central role in Kosovo’s reconstruction

📣New from the #GEOPOWEREU Database Insights Series: A closer look at Kosovo 🇽🇰
A dynamic blend of security realignment and steady Western support is reshaping Kosovo’s external engagements.
Here are some key insights: 👇🏼

🔹Arms imports are inconsistent, clearly shaped by political timing.
🔹In soft power, EU 🇪🇺 & USA 🇺🇸 remain dominant scholarship providers, though🇷🇺 and 🇨🇳 are increasing their presence.
Interested in finding more? Visit our database here🔗 shorturl.at/jaN2H 4/4

Key findings:
🔹Diplomatic outreach with Russia 🇷🇺 is shrinking, even as Belgrade maintains formal ties.
🔹Trade numbers reveal a strong economic partnership with the EU 🇪🇺, though diversification remains limited. 3/4

Serbia's🇷🇸 foreign policy aims to balance ties with the #EuropeanUnion, #US, #Russia & #China. But data reveals growing imbalances behind the narrative. 2/4

📣 The #GEOPOWEREU Interdependence Database (geo-power.eu/research-out...) reveals some insightful trends about Serbia 🇷🇸.
Let’s take a quick look together🧵 1/4

Featured image: EWB

Why does data matter for 🇧🇦’s EU path?
In his new #GEOPOWEREU blog, Omar Memišević explores 🇧🇦’s data collection challenges and how our Interdependence Database offers a foundation for better analysis and decision-making.
Read: shorturl.at/Thuc2
Database: shorturl.at/jaN2H