Igor Grossmann, PhD's Avatar

Igor Grossmann, PhD

@igi.bsky.social

Professor of psychology. Study culture and societal change, wisdom, good judgment (and lack thereof), forecasting, and new methods. Forecasting Collaborative founder | ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Psych Inquiry Editor. igorgrossmann.com OnWisdompodcast.com

2,013 Followers  |  2,538 Following  |  276 Posts  |  Joined: 03.08.2023  |  1.8919

Latest posts by igi.bsky.social on Bluesky

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On Wisdom Podcast: The Wisdom Turing Test (Episode 66) Thank you for participating in the Wisdom Turing Test. Please answer the two questions below. To listen again to the responses, you can review the episode here: https://onwisdompodcast.fireside.fm/6...

Next, guess the AI guest and who is wiser here. We will discuss it the next episode: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

27.10.2025 21:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The Wisdom Turing Test - Part One What happens when we ask our own fantastic listeners โ€” and AI โ€” what it means to live wisely? In this episode, Igor and Charles hand the mic to members of the On Wisdom audience to hear their answers ...

Ever heard of the #Wisdom #TuringTest? I thought of creating one for the new #OnWisdom #postcast episode. This is a special episode & I want your help. Tune in: onwisdompodcast.fireside.fm/66

27.10.2025 21:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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"Deconstructing wisdom: Why we keep getting it wrong" by Dr. Igor Grossmann zoom lecture

Curious for more? Attend my free public (online) talk on wisdom at the University of Chicago tomorrow: wisdomcenter.uchicago.edu/news/wisdom-...

27.10.2025 14:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
APA PsycNet

or an empirical piece on #network models and cross-temporal analyses, in JEP: General: psycnet.apa.org/record/2026-...

27.10.2025 14:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Wisdom in time: Advancing dynamic models of wisdom, intellectual humility, open-mindedness, and perspective-taking Dynamic theories of wisdom emphasise that metacognitive attributesโ€”intellectual humility, open-mindedness, and perspective-takingโ€”evolve through lifeโ€™s challenges and are crucial for individual and...

To learn more about latest work on the #science of #wisdom, check out the new European Review of Social Psychology - incl. tutorial for advancing theory building via #formal modelling. www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1...

27.10.2025 14:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Research can feel like shouting into the void. Iโ€™m deeply grateful that Emma Buchtel, Xu Jingya, & Betul Turel built on our โ€œwise reasoningโ€ work to tackle cultural diversity. They presented a large-scale study proposal at the 2025
@psychscience.bsky.social Global Summit. #culturaldiversity

27.10.2025 14:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Excited to visit colleagues Department of Psychology, University of Copenhagen - first time in Copenhagen! - to talk about (mis)#measurement, and (mis)#construal of #wisdom, incl. #intellectual #humility, #empathy/#perspective-taking, and #openmindedness to diverse viewpoints.

19.10.2025 21:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Most people 'go it alone' to make tough decisions - Archynetys Share this Article You are free to share this article under the Attribution 4.0 International license.โ€ฆ

When faced with tough decisions, people across the globe prefer making their own decisions rather than accepting advice or information from elsewhere, according to a study from TWCF #ListeningAndLearningInAPolarizedWorld grantee @igi.bsky.social at @uwaterloo.ca

๐Ÿ”— Read more: bit.ly/49aB0Ad/

17.10.2025 19:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

i would have loved to stop by- Coimbra is one of my favourite places! Alas, I have to leave on Sunday. But I am happy to engage virtually!

17.10.2025 17:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

If you are @ #SESP2025 in Lisbon and have bold, controversial ideas about psychology/social sciences OR if you want to know more about the process in #Psychological #Inquiry - one of our premier theory journals, please don't be shy - I am around & would love to meet you.

17.10.2025 07:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

If your at SESP, check out our symposium on intellectual humility on Saturday!

16.10.2025 10:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

And a meta-question: now that SESP crosses the Atlantic โ€” will it sound a bit less U.S.-centric? Or will it all just become "AIcology?"
#IntellectualHumility #SocialPsychology #Metascience

15.10.2025 22:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Featuring work by Larissa Knรถchelmann, Lucas Kรถhler, Nadine Knab, David Schieferdecker, Jule Specht, Maksim Rudnev, Ana Lucia Rodriguez de la Rosa, Nicholas Christakis, Cory Clark, & Philip Tetlock.

15.10.2025 22:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This yearโ€™s SESP is broader: culture, morality, resource scarcity, and intellectual humility, not just US-centric narratives. Our symposium builds directly on this:
#Political #polarization โ†’ #IH in rural #Honduras โ†’ #forecasting tournaments testing whether openness improves predictive accuracy.

15.10.2025 22:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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2 years ago I was critical of our fieldโ€™s โ€œbig intervention mindset:" pre-post studies, no prediction, no generalizability, zero modeling of temporal change. Since then: work on When Expert Predictions Fail , ecological fallacies in claims about โ€œchange,โ€ and formal modeling tutorials.

15.10.2025 22:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Back in Portugal ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น for #SESP2025 โ€” and for the first time, #SESP itself is happening in Europe (Lisbon).

This Saturday, 3:45โ€“4:45 PM โ†’ Room Milรฃo

Chairing a symposium on #intellectual #humility in the #wild: #polarization, rural disputes, and #forecasting #societal #progress.

15.10.2025 22:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

When science gets misrepresented, trust in science goes down. Good for @jespinosa.bsky.social to call out #misinformation, esp. given how contentious this topic is!

04.10.2025 21:07 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Influence of early life adversity and breed on aggression and fear in dogs - Scientific Reports Scientific Reports - Influence of early life adversity and breed on aggression and fear in dogs

๐Ÿ“ฃ New publication alert! In a large, diverse sample, #CompanionDogs with a history of trauma before 6 months were seen as more fearful and/or aggressive than trauma-free dogs or those with trauma later on in life
๐Ÿงช #CanineScience #DogBehaviour #EarlyLifeAdversity doi.org/10.1038/s415...

02.10.2025 20:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 13    ๐Ÿ” 8    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Get more from Hidden Brain on Patreon Insights that help you understand your world -- and yourself

Science of #wisdom made it to the @hiddenbrain.bsky.social ! humbled to share some insights w @shankarvedantam.bsky.social and his team - www.patreon.com/HiddenBrain. Wisdom does not have a simple story and isn't a story of a single person. I hope you like it.

18.09.2025 12:47 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

thank you!๐Ÿค“

15.09.2025 21:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The Reasonable, the Rational, and the Good: On Folk Theories of Deliberative Judgment Abstract. Judgment is often described in terms of an intuitive (System 1) versus deliberative (System 2) dichotomy, yet sound deliberation itself can take more than one form. Building on philosophical...

Our paper โ€œThe Reasonable, the Rational, and the Goodโ€ is finally out in Open Mind ๐ŸŽ‰It spent over a year under review at another placeโ€”positive reviews + R&Rโ€”before getting rejected. Publishing is slow & messy. If youโ€™re going through it, youโ€™re not alone. direct.mit.edu/opmi/article...

13.09.2025 14:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Can I Give You Some Advice? Can I Give You Some Advice? Iโ€™d tell you not to read this article, but youโ€™d probably ignore me and simply decide for yourself.

Our recent work (which came out in Proceedings B doi.org/10.1098/rspb...) featured in @nautil.us. Can I Give You Some Advice? nautil.us/can-i-give-y...

12.09.2025 14:51 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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People Use Intuition To Make Important Decisions Rather Than Advice: Study People from diverse cultures and regions often make difficult decisions by relying on their intuition.

Our recent work featured in @Forbes ! www.forbes.com/sites/anurad...

29.08.2025 18:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
APA PsycNet

6/ Takeaway:
Adversity โ‰  guaranteed growth.
But distancing in tough times can help.
And complex thought is not merely a dispositional trait you have: itโ€™s a process you do.

๐Ÿ“„ JEP:G: doi.org/10.1037/xge0...

๐Ÿ“„ ERSP: doi.org/10.1080/1046...

25.08.2025 16:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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5/ Our companion ERSP review shows why the field got stuck: Too many studies confuse between-person differences (โ€œwise vs. less wiseโ€) with within-person change (โ€œhow to become wiserโ€). www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1...
Classic ecological fallacy.

25.08.2025 16:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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4/ Instead: Wisdom = a dynamic network of #intellectualhumility, #perspective-taking, #compromise, & recognition of #change.
It ebbs and flows with context.
#NetworkScience

25.08.2025 16:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

3/ Why does this matter for psychology?
Because we also tested 3 core assumptions about development of complex thought:
โŒ Not a single trait
โŒ Not cross-situationally stable
โŒ Not the same between vs. within people
#PsychScience

25.08.2025 16:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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2/ We now decided to use more mature dynamic modelling systems to look at factors that may promote #within-person #growth What did predict wiser reasoning months later?
๐Ÿ‘‰ Self-distancing: stepping back, taking an outsiderโ€™s view.
Not social support. Not โ€œfinding meaning.โ€
#SelfDistancing

25.08.2025 16:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

1/ Many theories promise โ€œpost-traumatic growth.โ€
But in a year-long study our group did, adversity alone did not boost wisdom; there were no automatic gains. journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
#ResilienceScience

25.08.2025 16:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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๐Ÿšจ New paper out in JEP: General! psycnet.apa.org/record/2026-...
Does adversity make us wiser?
Spoiler: Not by default.

25.08.2025 16:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 11    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@igi is following 20 prominent accounts