Nate Schwartz

One of my favorite graphics & I had to make sure article wasn’t half bad either.

Stop pitching to Aaron Judge!!

I also want to mention @benclemens.bsky.social’s piece on the same topic from today too (blogs.fangraphs.com/when-should-...). Covers the IBBs much better than I do.

The Athletic app is testing my loyalty to the pod, full day-long recording would be impressive @grantbrisbee.bsky.social @sammillerbb.bsky.social
@bymccullough.bsky.social

can’t spell Hosting Pirates Marlins without Asher

Yeah there’s just such a gap in volume that makes the incentive to post here hard (though it all goes hand-in-hand)

wait you’re telling me almost everyone who played yesterday is off today?

Read them or don't, I can't tell you what to do but wanted to plug my work before the season kicks off today

Where does Lineup Strength Matter? | Pitcher List Sometimes it's okay to have holes in your lineup.

Finally, I wrote about lineup strength and what helps lineups produce runs (and is it ok to have holes).

pitcherlist.com/where-does-l...

Yoshinobu Yamamoto Can Succeed Without Elevating His Fastball | Pitcher List It's more about how the whole arsenal comes together.

This might've gotten me excommunicated from Pitcher List, but Yamamoto's low fastball is here to stay and I discussed why that can still be a good thing

pitcherlist.com/yoshinobu-ya...

What Causes a Home Run Problem? | Pitcher List Home runs have always been a fickle stat when it comes to pitchers, as it's often a matter of luck and not skill, so what drives HR/9?

Did some more research-heavy articles too: what drives home run rate for pitchers and looking at the issue on a pitch level.

pitcherlist.com/what-causes-...

Zebby Matthews is Our Next Favorite Command Freak | Pitcher List The rare case of a "bad" 6% walk rate.

I had fun writing about Zebby Matthews's ascension last year and how he succeeds this year once he cracks the Twins rotation

pitcherlist.com/zebby-matthe...

Juan Soto’s Approach is Not For Everyone | Pitcher List Juan Soto isn't always a player you want to emulate.

Took a look at Juan Soto's approach and contrasted it with Lars Nootbaar and Wyatt Langford. It's not easy to be the best.

pitcherlist.com/juan-sotos-a...

3 Pitch Mix Changes That Will Have an Impact in 2025 | Pitcher List Maximizing an arsenal is the name of the game these days.

Wrote about Logan Gilbert, Bryan Woo, and Ryan Pepiot's pitch mix changes aand how that sets them up for success this year

pitcherlist.com/3-pitch-mix-...

Happy Opening Day!

I'm going to try and continue posting here in-season, but I still end up on the other app more often than not.

Here's a thread on what I've been working on the last few weeks before the season starts🧵

A 🧵of what’s coming in 2025 at Pitcher List

1. PL Fantasy Baseball Pro Dashboard

- Beta launches April '25.
- 1.0 release 2026
- Sync all your leagues (ESPN, Yahoo, Fantrax, NFBC, CBS)
- Widgets & Projections curated for your team
- All PLV Apps
- One home for all your teams

Thank you!!

thank you!!

This is awesome, thank you Kyle for everything behind Process+ as I was simply the man to put pen to paper (or hand to keyboard, I’m not sure).

Humbled to be recognized like this in the industry and honestly I can’t believe it

The Case for Leaving the Starter In Quantifying the hidden costs of bullpen overexposure

MLB teams' increasing reliance on their bullpens is a manifestation of optimized pitching strategy. Starters' performance wanes as their pitch counts rise and batters get multiple looks at them. Relievers keep getting nastier every year. It's just smart baseball.

But what if it's not?

Spencer Schwellenbach is one of the most popular breakout picks for 2025. The #Braves SP posted a 3.35 ERA in 124 IP last year, and most projections systems like him in 2025.

He is the only pitcher (min 100 IP) to have 6 pitches with a 98 Stuff+ or more; there's no weak link.

If we could see ANY signs of life from Arenado about getting back to pull power and health, I think we could be in for a good season that maybe ends in a trade. He still has 25 HR potential and we'll see what Brant Brown has in store for the veteran

6/6

Projections systems are all over the place for Arenado in 2025 and rightfully so, we have no idea what were getting regardless of trade status.

A 107 almost assuredly gets him traded and an 89 potentially sees him losing his starting role.

5/6

The discipline and contact ability have stayed the same though, he has 90ish% zone-contact, below-average chase rate, but a low whiff rate.

Even comparing Process+ between '23 and '24 shows the only change is power, everything else is par for the course

4/6

He clearly hasn't been fully healthy and has tried to play through (shoulder, forearm, maybe elbow), but the last 2 years of bat speed data only shows a 0.7mph dropoff.

His ideal contact rate (barrel/solid/f&b) hasn't wavered significantly either, it's within '21-'23 range

3/6

Even though it's still well above-average, Nolan was elite at pulled fly balls (PFB) and it allowed him to tap into more power than his batted ball profile suggests (league average 90EV).

In 2024, his xSLG on PFB got halved from his 2021-2023 marks.

2/6

Arenado's bread and butter after he left Coors, pulling flyballs, was exceptional in his early years as a Cardinal. His 17% AirPull% was 98th percentile in 2021, but it's declined to 75th percentile in 2024.

1/6

Are you a #STLCards fan preparing to watch Nolan Arenado take the field with the birds on the bat across his chest until at least July 31st?

Are you also a Cardinal fan who would like to see him play well enough to get traded?

🧵on how Nolan makes the most of 2025:

my favorite super niche piece of media on my phone, relevant today

also, if they don’t win the World Series baseball is broken bc the team that spent the most didn’t win it all

I thought everyone told me there was no parity in baseball

The Orioles Need Grayson Rodriguez to Take a Step Forward | Pitcher List Baltimore might already have its ace.

First article of the year! I wrote about Grayson Rodriguez’s 2024 and how an improvement in 2025 is highly achievable. pitcherlist.com/the-orioles-...