Werner Krause's Avatar

Werner Krause

@krausewe.bsky.social

Political Scientist @unipotsdam.bsky.social - Comparative Politics, Political Parties & Voting Behavior - Quantitative Methods & R Prev. Uni Vienna, Humboldt Uni & WZB Berlin https://krausewe.github.io

2,424 Followers  |  974 Following  |  61 Posts  |  Joined: 21.09.2023  |  1.8308

Latest posts by krausewe.bsky.social on Bluesky

๐ŸšจJob News: Postdoc positions in LSE Government Department ๐Ÿšจ

Apply to work with the brilliant and wonderful Carl Muller-Crepon @carlmc.bsky.social on his BORDERS ERC project at LSE @lsegovernment.bsky.social

jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...

06.12.2025 08:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 31    ๐Ÿ” 30    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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๐Ÿ“ข๐Ÿ“ข Happy to announce a new update to the PPEG database!

The data now covers

- > 3.000 parties
- 1.100 parliamentary elections
- 402 presidential elections
- 2.044 cabinets

across 73 countries (1945 - 2025, Oct 31).

All info: ppeg.wzb.eu

We hope that data is helpful to the community!

03.12.2025 13:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 92    ๐Ÿ” 32    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

Congrats! ๐ŸŽ‰๐ŸŽ‰๐ŸŽ‰

03.12.2025 18:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This is definitely something on our to do list (but also quite some work).

Maybe @paulbederke.bsky.social can say more about the future maintenance of partyfacts?

03.12.2025 15:33 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Thanks for the shoutout! If you or your students encounter any issues/errors/problems, we are happy about feedback!

03.12.2025 15:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Dataverse Link: dataverse.harvard.edu/dataverse/ppeg

03.12.2025 13:17 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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๐Ÿ“ข๐Ÿ“ข Happy to announce a new update to the PPEG database!

The data now covers

- > 3.000 parties
- 1.100 parliamentary elections
- 402 presidential elections
- 2.044 cabinets

across 73 countries (1945 - 2025, Oct 31).

All info: ppeg.wzb.eu

We hope that data is helpful to the community!

03.12.2025 13:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 92    ๐Ÿ” 32    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

Join us! Die Abteilung fรผr Innenpolitik & Politische Soziologie sucht zum 01.04. eine*n neue*n Kollegin*en. Wir bieten: volle Promotionsstelle (EG13) fรผr drei Jahre (Verlรคngerung um 3 Jahre mรถglich), flexible Arbeitszeitregelungen, kollegiales & forschungsstarkes Team. Mehr Informationen hier๐Ÿ‘‡

02.12.2025 14:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 25    ๐Ÿ” 27    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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AI is powered by Wikipedia, the worldโ€™s greatest online knowledge resource. For 25 years, editors around the world have shaped the knowledge that shapes the future. #Wikipedia25

01.12.2025 19:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 178    ๐Ÿ” 35    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5    ๐Ÿ“Œ 4

The chapter with @gailmcelroy.bsky.social analyses issue salience and positions.

Housing and health were among the most salient issues for nearly all parties. Interestingly, immigration barely featured in the manifestos.

Chapter: hdl.handle.net/10197/29172
Book: link.springer.com/book/10.1007...

01.12.2025 12:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 13    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Research Associate (Postdoc) Political Science ยง 28 Subsection 2 HmbHG

We're looking for a colleague (postdoc) ๐Ÿ“ข @politikuhh.bsky.social
3+3 years
Doing your own research while teaching 2.5 courses per semester
Research agenda with links to our team (democracy, digital politics, political competition/behaviour)
DL ๐Ÿ—“๏ธ 05/01
stellen.uni-hamburg.de/jobposting/6...

01.12.2025 08:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 40    ๐Ÿ” 57    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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A critique of our (w/ @bertous.bsky.social) paper โ€œInstrumentally inclusiveโ€ has just been published.

Our response is under review (see below on process) but we feel obliged to share our draft for balance since the comment has been released without the response.

osf.io/rn6h3/files/...

29.11.2025 15:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 107    ๐Ÿ” 37    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 5
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Shoah (1/2) - Die ganze Doku | ARTE Elf Jahre reiste Claude Lanzmann durch Europa und sprach mit Zeitzeugen des Holocaust - Opfern und Tรคtern. Entstanden ist ein eindringlicher Dokumentarfilm (1985), der bis heute als wichtigste Auseina...

Bis Mai kann man รผbrigens noch die komplette Doku "Shoah" (ca 9h) von Claude Lanzmann in der ARTE Mediathek ansehen:

www.arte.tv/de/videos/01...

27.11.2025 09:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 292    ๐Ÿ” 136    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 4
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European progressives must tackle housing crisis to beat far right, say researchers Centre left can win broad support by addressing soaring house prices and rents, according to data analysis

For the Guardian, @jonhenley.bsky.social reports on our new research briefs on the politics of housing. Current policies too often treat housing as an asset. Housing as a social right has nearly disappeared from the agenda of even progressive parties.

www.theguardian.com/world/2025/n...

27.11.2025 09:17 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 64    ๐Ÿ” 23    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Next update coming soon! ๐Ÿ˜‰

But for obvious reasons, this project is not always at the top of my to-do list.

24.11.2025 20:32 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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๐ŸŽ‰ Kicking off the Zweitstimme.org Workshop!

Weโ€™re looking forward to two days discussing new work on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behaviour.

Todayโ€™s sessions:
๐Ÿ‘‰ Panel I โ€“ Elites
๐Ÿ‘‰ Panel II โ€“ Participation
๐Ÿ‘‰ Panel III โ€“ Party Strategies

Huge thanks to @hertieschool.bsky.social for hosting us!

20.11.2025 15:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 22    ๐Ÿ” 8    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 6

โ— Reminder โ—
Apply now for our Visiting Fellowships!
๐Ÿ“† Deadline: 28 November!
Please share widely ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ™‚

17.11.2025 09:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Excited to present ongoing work from my @dfg.de project "Powerful Polls" @uni-muenster.de on Wednesday (w/ @christinagahn.bsky.social).

Say hello if you are in Mรผnster!

Thanks for the invite & the fabulous organization @danbischof.bsky.social, @elenaleuschner.bsky.social & @mwegemann.bsky.social.

17.11.2025 08:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 14    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
BJPolS abstract discussing the impact of anti-immigration sentiment on regional demographic changes and its economic implications, focusing on the German labor market and residential choices in the context of the Global Socio-Economic Panel (GSOEP) study.

BJPolS abstract discussing the impact of anti-immigration sentiment on regional demographic changes and its economic implications, focusing on the German labor market and residential choices in the context of the Global Socio-Economic Panel (GSOEP) study.

NEW -

Regional Labor Markets, Residential Mobility, and Anti-Immigration Sentiment - https://cup.org/3XiB6yD

- @denis-cohen.bsky.social & @sergipardos.bsky.social

#OpenAccess

10.11.2025 12:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 10    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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๐Ÿ“„ New WP version out - full overhaul!

The Politics of Evidence Selection (w/ @jesperasring.bsky.social )

Comments welcome!

๐Ÿ”— osf.io/preprints/so...

06.11.2025 15:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 52    ๐Ÿ” 18    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellowships in Politics - Nuffield College Oxford University

We have just published the call for the Nuffield Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellowships in Politics. These are 3-year fully-funded postdocs that will allow you to focus on your research in a great academic environment. (And with excellent food)

www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/the-college/...

06.11.2025 13:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 78    ๐Ÿ” 68    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 4
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(S+) CDU/CSU und SPD im Streit: Zusammenarbeit mit AfD und Le Pen spaltet EU Das EU-Mitte-Bรผndnis aus Konservativen, Liberalen und Sozialdemokraten scheint an einer Richtlinie zu zerbrechen. Ist die Europรคische Union bald nicht mehr handlungsfรคhig?

@spiegel.de berichtet รผber den Streit um das Lieferkettengesetz in der EU, bei dem die EVP eine mรถgliche Abstimmungsmehrheit mit den RechtsauรŸen-Fraktionen nicht ausschlieรŸt.

U.a. mit einer Einschรคtzung von mir zu den Gefahren einer fehlenden Einigung im Mitte-Lager.

www.spiegel.de/politik/deut...

06.11.2025 12:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Vicente Valentim: "Angela Merkel lag richtig" Haben Menschen frรผher rechter gedacht, als sie gewรคhlt haben? Der Forscher Vicente Valentim sagt, dass wir eine Ursache fรผr den Erfolg extrem rechter Parteien รผbersehen.

Haben Menschen frรผher rechter gedacht, als sie gewรคhlt haben? Der Forscher Vicente Valentim sagt, dass wir eine Ursache fรผr den Erfolg extrem rechter Parteien รผbersehen.

05.11.2025 14:33 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 44    ๐Ÿ” 15    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
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(S+) CDU/CSU und SPD im Streit: Zusammenarbeit mit AfD und Le Pen spaltet EU Das EU-Mitte-Bรผndnis aus Konservativen, Liberalen und Sozialdemokraten scheint an einer Richtlinie zu zerbrechen. Ist die Europรคische Union bald nicht mehr handlungsfรคhig?

@spiegel.de berichtet รผber den Streit um das Lieferkettengesetz in der EU, bei dem die EVP eine mรถgliche Abstimmungsmehrheit mit den RechtsauรŸen-Fraktionen nicht ausschlieรŸt.

U.a. mit einer Einschรคtzung von mir zu den Gefahren einer fehlenden Einigung im Mitte-Lager.

www.spiegel.de/politik/deut...

06.11.2025 12:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

With the official prognosis giving one additional seat to PVV and one to FvD compared to the ext poll, the narrative should really not be that the Netherlands/Jetten has beaten the radical right. The far right bloc remains remarkably stable.

30.10.2025 07:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 397    ๐Ÿ” 159    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 6    ๐Ÿ“Œ 11
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๐ŸšจNew paper out in @jeppjournal.bsky.social: doi.org/10.1080/1350...

@manuelwagner.bsky.social & I re-conceptualize class representation to take into account social mobility between classes and variation in how individuals enter politics.

29.10.2025 09:55 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 105    ๐Ÿ” 49    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Abstract for the article: How does right-wing terrorism affect electoral support for populist radical right parties (PRRPs)? Recent research has produced contrary answers to this question. We argue that only high-intensity attacks, whose motives and targets mirror PRRPsโ€™ nativist agenda, are likely to generate a media backlash that dampens electoral support for PRRPs. We test this argument by combining high-frequency survey and social media data with a natural and survey experimental design. We find that right-wing terror reduced support for the radical right party Alternative fรผr Deutschland after one of the most intense nativist attacks in recent German history. An analysis of all ninety-eight fatal right-wing attacks in Germany between 1990 and 2020 supports our argument. Our findings contribute to an understanding of how political violence triggers partisan detachment and have important implications for media responsibility in the aftermath of terrorist attacks.

Abstract for the article: How does right-wing terrorism affect electoral support for populist radical right parties (PRRPs)? Recent research has produced contrary answers to this question. We argue that only high-intensity attacks, whose motives and targets mirror PRRPsโ€™ nativist agenda, are likely to generate a media backlash that dampens electoral support for PRRPs. We test this argument by combining high-frequency survey and social media data with a natural and survey experimental design. We find that right-wing terror reduced support for the radical right party Alternative fรผr Deutschland after one of the most intense nativist attacks in recent German history. An analysis of all ninety-eight fatal right-wing attacks in Germany between 1990 and 2020 supports our argument. Our findings contribute to an understanding of how political violence triggers partisan detachment and have important implications for media responsibility in the aftermath of terrorist attacks.

๐Ÿšจ New article out!

โ€œRight-Wing Terror, Media Backlash, and Voting Preferences for the Far Rightโ€ in @bjpols.bsky.social

๐Ÿ‘‰ doi.org/10.1017/S000...

We (Alex De Juan, @juvoss.bsky.social & I) examine how right-wing attacks shape support for the far-right in Germany.

Short summary thread below ๐Ÿ‘‡

22.10.2025 15:14 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 115    ๐Ÿ” 47    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 4
1 in 10 Dutch citizens are likely to ask AI for election advice. This is why they shouldn't | AlgoSoc

As a scholar I rarely offer electoral guidance. But today I do:

DO NOT USE AI CHATBOTS AS YOUR VOTE ADVICE APPLICATION AHEAD OF (THE DUTCH) ELECTIONS

Full of errors, bias and lack of transparency.

@ernesto-deleon.com @favstats.eu @theoaraujo.bsky.social and๐Ÿ™‹unpack why

algosoc.org/results/1-in...

29.10.2025 07:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 118    ๐Ÿ” 54    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
BJPolS abstract from a research paper discussing a machine learning approach to analyze political discourses on climate change among OECD, European, and South American countries.

BJPolS abstract from a research paper discussing a machine learning approach to analyze political discourses on climate change among OECD, European, and South American countries.

NEW -

Policlim: A Dataset of Climate Change Discourse in the Political Manifestos of Forty-Five Countries from 1990 to 2022 - https://cup.org/43zzLHc

- @marysanford.bsky.social, Silvia Pianta, @nicolasschmid.bsky.social & Giorgio Musto

#OpenAccess

23.10.2025 09:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 14    ๐Ÿ” 7    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Very excited to spend four weeks as an academic visitor @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social, @ox.ac.uk, continuing research on political parties, voters, and elections.

Drop me a message if you wanna meet for a coffee!

16.10.2025 07:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 28    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@krausewe is following 20 prominent accounts