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Lawrence Vulis

@lvulis.bsky.social

Climate Data Scientist working on natural hazards and climate risk in the property sector. Interested in the science of water, climate, cities, and landscapes, also dogs. Opinions are solely my own.

6,556 Followers  |  2,121 Following  |  4,380 Posts  |  Joined: 07.09.2023
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Posts by Lawrence Vulis (@lvulis.bsky.social)

TIL that
- "state of the art" is a noun, so we compare to the state of the art
- "state-of-the-art" is an adjective, so we can write about the state-of-the-art model on, say, edge-detection or thresholding or binarization.

04.03.2026 21:02 β€” πŸ‘ 17    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1

the feeling I'm getting using Claude at work is that if you're a good engineer with deep knowledge of the codebase, it can make you a lot more productive. if you're a mediocre engineer with surface level knowledge of the codebase, it can also make you a lot more productive, which is BAD.

04.03.2026 17:24 β€” πŸ‘ 384    πŸ” 40    πŸ’¬ 25    πŸ“Œ 14

New outlook doesn't load calendar invites and opens old Outlook. Amazing.

04.03.2026 17:15 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Pinned post for a reason!

04.03.2026 15:57 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
a timeline-cleansing image of a little white dog enjoying the sun outdoors, lounging in her li'l outdoor bed

a timeline-cleansing image of a little white dog enjoying the sun outdoors, lounging in her li'l outdoor bed

dogs are infinitely wiser than us in this way: they require no special instruction to sit and do nothing for 5 minutes and be restored

04.03.2026 15:53 β€” πŸ‘ 59    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0
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Satellite analysis of Novorossiysk naval base shows probable damage to six Russian warships: frigates Admiral Essen and Admiral Makarov, minesweepers Valentin Pikul and Ivan Golubets, corvettes Kasimov and Yeysk, and a Project 12700 minesweeper. #Ukraine

04.03.2026 11:37 β€” πŸ‘ 602    πŸ” 95    πŸ’¬ 21    πŸ“Œ 12
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Good morning with good news: Europe will install 135 GW of new wind from 2026-2030. increasing total wind capacity 44%.

European wind rises to ~439 GW in 2030 from 304 GW in 2025!

19.2 GW was built in 2025.

Chart below is EU only, which installs 112 GW.

windeurope.org/data/product... #energysky

04.03.2026 13:07 β€” πŸ‘ 24    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Could've this been directed at Cyprus and went east to west, crossing Turkish territory?

04.03.2026 12:56 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Blueprint style illustration of a factory with two chimneys, drawn in white lines on a dark blue grid background. The drawing includes measurement markings and dimensions around the building. The title β€œMade in Europe” appears at the top, with β€œScale 1:200, dimensions indicative” at the bottom left and the European Commission logo at the bottom right.

Blueprint style illustration of a factory with two chimneys, drawn in white lines on a dark blue grid background. The drawing includes measurement markings and dimensions around the building. The title β€œMade in Europe” appears at the top, with β€œScale 1:200, dimensions indicative” at the bottom left and the European Commission logo at the bottom right.

Strong industry. Strong jobs. Strong Europe.

Today, we adopt the Industrial Accelerator Act to boost demand for low-carbon and European-made products in strategic sectors.

It will also simplify permits, and set conditions for foreign investments.

More: link.europa.eu/w8wPgG

04.03.2026 12:45 β€” πŸ‘ 115    πŸ” 22    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 3
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China’s 450km/h bullet train is the fastest ever built Dart between Beijing and Shanghai in under four hours, with airline-like business class comfort.

China is testing a train that will go 280mph, making it the fastest conventional train in the world.

The US can't get its shit together to build a single new line.

04.03.2026 03:58 β€” πŸ‘ 610    πŸ” 158    πŸ’¬ 34    πŸ“Œ 21
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LNG is quietly leaving the Atlantic basin.

The Spark Signals netback chart shows just how violently the economics have flipped in the last 48 hours.

A halt in Qatari LNG production and a surge in Asian spot prices has blown out the JKM premium, sending FOB arbitrage signals sharply higher.

04.03.2026 02:16 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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China plans 15 new ultra‑high voltage transmission lines by 2030 ChinaΒ plans to commissionΒ 15 new ultra-high voltage (UHV)Β transmission linesΒ betweenΒ 2026 and 2030, according toΒ China’s grid operator State GridΒ (China’s Central Broadcasting Network, 28/02/2026).

China plans 15 new ultra‑high voltage transmission lines by 2030 #EnergySky

04.03.2026 10:00 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Does someone here know whether there is a trend in the amount and frequency of Sahara sand blowing over Europe?

@wmo-global.bsky.social @meteoschweiz.ch @knmi.nl @meteofrance.com @esa.int @moreorloess.bsky.social

04.03.2026 12:19 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0
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This week on Zero, I speak with Jason Bordoff, director of the Center on Global Energy Policy at Columbia University. Jason served on the National Security Council, under President Obama, and always has his pulse on the big energy and climate questions. Listen: omny.fm/shows/zero/w...

04.03.2026 12:12 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Many State Flood Maps Are Not Up to Date. Connecticut Is Trying to Fix That A new tool offers the public detailed estimates of their flood exposure, but some worry risk disclosure will impact home values.

In troubled times, it's always calming to go back to the basics: How hard flood-mapping is.
From @leslieatlarge.bsky.social and @mrgopal.bsky.social
πŸŽπŸ”— www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...

03.03.2026 15:52 β€” πŸ‘ 16    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2

In terms of severity:

Strait of Hormuz closure (temporary, reversable)

<

Strait closure-forced upstream shut-ins (can be reversed, but gets tricky)

<

Iranian attacks on GCC infrastructure/facilities (everything can be repaired, but attacks can require far longer work)

03.03.2026 14:15 β€” πŸ‘ 65    πŸ” 17    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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As Iran Crisis Upends Oil and Gas, Clean Energy Gets Complicated Higher fossil fuel prices could make green alternatives more attractive, but harder to deploy.

Rising oil prices may make clean energy more attractive, but higher inflation and interest would make it less competitive

03.03.2026 14:16 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Huge amount of nat gas and oil infrastructure taking physical hits this week.

03.03.2026 12:19 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Hidden Markov modelling of spatio-temporal dynamics of measles in 1750–1850 Finland Real world spatio-temporal datasets, and phenomena related to them, are often challenging to visualise or gain a general overview of. In order to summarise information encompassed in such data, we ...

Hidden Markov modelling of spatio-temporal dynamics of measles in 1750–1850 Finland www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

03.03.2026 12:14 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Gasoline futures are up $0.55/gallon since Thursday morning:

03.03.2026 11:36 β€” πŸ‘ 70    πŸ” 23    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 8

Personal news update: I'm delighted to announce that as of today, I am an actual Bluesky employee! I'll be working to welcome indie media and local govt to Bskyβ€”and supporting those already here.

I'll always want to hear your thoughts on how we can make Bsky the sort of social media we all want!

02.03.2026 22:10 β€” πŸ‘ 6831    πŸ” 584    πŸ’¬ 549    πŸ“Œ 84

#climaterisk

02.03.2026 19:50 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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In California, About the Only Way to Get a House Is to Inherit One Nearly one out of every five property transfers last year was made through inheritance, a record for the state and double the national share.

Nearly one-in-five property transfers in California last year were inherited β€” a record number. Heirs in California used to have even more benefits by also inheriting their parents' low property tax bills until our 2018 investigation led to changes www.wsj.com/economy/hous...

02.03.2026 17:13 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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Downscaling daily solar radiation in the Canary Islands with GAM Researcher in climate science at MBG-CSIC

πŸ†• BLOG POST
There’s so much more to spatial downscaling today than classic LM or kriging. In my new blog post, I show how flexible and powerful GAMs can be for this task. #rstats #dataviz

➑️ dominicroye.github.io/blog/canary-...

02.03.2026 16:31 β€” πŸ‘ 34    πŸ” 16    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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CPI and PPI translations into PCE suggest core prices in January rose around 0.43%, give or take.

That would be the highest month-over-month reading since February (which was +0.448%) and annualizes to 5.3%.

It corresponds to a 3.1% y/y rate, the highest since March 2024, up from 2.6% in April.

02.03.2026 14:54 β€” πŸ‘ 319    πŸ” 100    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 17
Chart of ISM prices paid index for past 10y

Chart of ISM prices paid index for past 10y

ISM New Orders Index for past 10y

ISM New Orders Index for past 10y

ISM Prices Paid highest since June 2022 in February. Other components less remarkable, New Orders remain firm but overall index falls a bit. 10y UST yields reversing almost all of their declines from Thursday/Friday last week, at session highs +10 bps

02.03.2026 15:02 β€” πŸ‘ 35    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 3
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Can We Refill the Great Salt Lake? The Great Salt Lake has dropped 22 feet since the 1980s. Water leasing reform and cloud seeding innovation may help restore it.

Interesting, if oddly written, summary of the nascent efforts to refill Utah's Great Salt Lake before Salt Lake City gets overwhelmed by the toxic dust on its floor.

02.03.2026 14:22 β€” πŸ‘ 22    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1
Screenshot of a spreadsheet that shows the data reported in the post.

Screenshot of a spreadsheet that shows the data reported in the post.

US electricity generation changes, 2024 ➑️ 2025:

Coal: ⬆️ 67 TWh (13%)
Oil: ⬆️ 2 TWh (19%)
Gas: ⬇️ 41 TWh (-4%)
Nuclear: no change
Hydro: ⬆️ 6 TWh (3%)
Other renewables: ⬆️ 13 TWh (11%)
Total: ⬆️ 47 TWh (2%)

Big story is coal generation rising A LOT (67 TWh, 5x renewable growth), mostly displacing gas.

02.03.2026 14:17 β€” πŸ‘ 49    πŸ” 19    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 8
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India expected to install about 42.5 GW of new solar capacity in 2026 India installed around 37.8 GW of solar capacity in 2025, according to JKM Research. This comprised about 28.6 GW of new utility-scale solar, a 54.6% increase from 2024, and 7.9 GW of rooftop solar, u...

India Solar Deployment Jumps Again!

Its 2026 solar deployment will be five times the 2023 deployment and ~70% more than the 2024 total!

2026: 42.5 GW
2025: 37.8 GW
2024: 25.2 GW
2023: 8.3 GW

India is a global solar leader!

www.pv-magazine.com/2026/02/27/i...
#energysky

02.03.2026 14:06 β€” πŸ‘ 24    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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My latest for Energy Flux:

πŸ’₯ Iran: US Energy Dominance laid bare πŸ’₯

Trump’s war of choice is a bonanza for US LNG exporters, and a catastrophe for everyone else

Check it out πŸ‘‰ www.energyflux.news/iran-war-us...

02.03.2026 12:02 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0