Geoff Russell 🇦🇺

Stop the EU’s Ban on “Meaty” Words for Plant-Based Foods Sign now

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In conclusion, while junk food advertising bans are an obvious evidence based strategy if you are serious about tackling all manner of diseases, there is no evidence I know of that advertisers give a damn about the consequences of their work.

5. The ban on adverising tobacco worked to reduce smoking without requiring a ban on the activity. So that's good evidence that a ban on advertising can be effective.

6. So the ban is evidence based. 6/7

4. As Australian pig meat consumption has risen during the past 30 years, so has the number of early onset cases of bowel cancer. As Australian's have gotten richer, expensive meats (like salami) are more affordaable. 5/7

here's what happened to bowel cancer rates when Japan started to eat these meats ... 20,000 cases per year before growing to 150,000 cases per year after. 4/7

3. 15,000 Australians are diagnosed with bowel cancer each year, with 30% being dead within 5 years. How many of those are due to red and processed meat? Hard to say, but bowel cancer is unusual in countries eating little to no red and processed meat. Also ... 3/7

Meat and cancer | World Cancer Research Fund Find out how eating meat affects your risk of cancer, and explore evidence on how red and processed meat increase the risk of bowel cancer.

But the ban is obviously evidence based:

1. Advertising works. I presume AANA accepts this as a premise. If not, I'm sure they could provide "evidence" in the usual bullshit way that advertisers do.
2. Processed meat causes bowel cancer.
wcrf.org/preventing-c...
2/7

There was a recent panic among advertising bureaus about a ban on junk food ads set to come into force in July 1st in South Australia. An advertising lobby group (AANA) called for "evidence based" decisions; singling out ham as a poor struggling victim of the nanny state. 1/7

The nuclear waste panic is one of many ways to push up the price of nuclear power and drive mining the ocean for battery metals, or Indonesia for nickel. Or perhaps you don't understand how mind-numbingly complex a high penetration wind+solar+battery grid is. There is no net-zero without nuclear.

enough for you to handle the waste safely. Storing nuclear waste or anything else, for 500 years, is a pretty trivial problem. Of course if people don't know anything about radation, you can sell them any kind of snake oil about its risks and make a mint building a "gold plated" repository. 3/4

"But doesn't it stay dangerour for a 100,000 years?" The only warning required after 500 years, is "Don't ingest". There are 3 main kinds of radiation, alpha, beta and gamma, it is only the last that can harm you from a distance and after 500 years, the gammas have decayed .... 2/3

A friend sent me this from Germany. It looks like a normal, rather old, house, but it could be a high level nuclear waste storage building. Had you used this house to store a standard nucear waste storage cask in 1549, then by now the waste would be safe to handle. 1/3

The Iberian Blackout Hello, Darkness

Lastly, Spains nuclear fleet was only operating at half power. Some was offline because the market doesn't pay for "blackout prevention". Had all the nukes been running, there would have been no blackout because the inertia would have been much higher. 6/6

www.decouple.media/p/the-iberia...

If Spain installs synchronous condensers, you will know that the Spanish Prime Minister (just like his SA counterpart) simply lied in saying the blackout had nothing to do with renewables. 5/6

Automatic load shedding blacks out small areas to prevent a total collapse. You need a few seconds for these to kick in.
5. South Australia spent a couple of hundred million installing 4 synchronous condensers to lift the inertia. 4/6

4. In both cases. The low inertia due to the replacement of synchronous generation by wind and solar meant that the automatic load shedding processes didn't have time to function. 3/6

2. In SA, the interconnector to Victoria tripped (shutdown). In Spain the interconnector to France tripped (taking out an extra 2.5GW of power).

3. In both cases such events would have normally passed without notice. The Final SA report cited 3 previous similar events (larger). 2/6

The recent Spanish blackout and the 2016 South Australian blackout are remarkably similar (except for scale).

1. An event caused a loss of generation. In SA it was 456MW from storm damage to transmission towers. In Spain the precise cause is yet to be determined. 1/6

I'm looking forward to chatting with these legends of nuclear advocacy on Monday morning!

Australia's bitter partisan debate has drifted far from the point: cleaning up our energy system. Come along for a refreshing look at what this clean, reliable energy source can offer us.

9am AEST / 10am AEDT

Everyone seems to be framing Trump's freeze on federal grants as a Constitutional fight over powers of the purse & whether presidents can disregard Congressional appropriations. It is that. But also at stake is the fundamental validity of government contracts! I see much less discussion on this... 🧵

What a total mess. Successive Governments should have decarbonised the grid, but didn't. They pretended the duty was on individuals to decarbonise. Or perhaps I'm wrong. Maybe the problem is that politicians are all homeowners with a massive conflict of interest. 6/6

Governments will be helpless because the 65% of the population who are homeowners/buyers are a formidable and very selfish voting block. You can see this every time Governments try to ameliorate the impacts that big rooftop systems are having on the grid. 5/6

People will stop building utility scale wind and solar. Those that are left will have to increase prices to the remaining customers ... renters will get it in the neck as home owners look after themselves and get batteries. 4/6

As homeowners buy batteries, they will start doing the same thing to wind farms ... slowly eating away at their customer base.

The net result? 3/6

There biggest day was today (Friday), they output 400 MW over the middle of the day. The previous 6 days they were almost entirely locked out by rooftop solar. 2/6

A chart showing the proportions of electricity from various sources in South Australia during the past week. Rooftop solar has dominated this hot and sunny week, all but totally displacing utility scale solar.

Rooftop solar will kill any clean #energy transition. It's already happening in South Australia. Look at the chart. There are 735MW of solar farms in SA, but in only one of the last 7 sunny days have they sold much electricity. 1/n

www.blog.geoffrussell.com.au/post/doctors...

Doctors for the Environment Australia; cognitive immobility and time-shifting Doctors for the Environment are in the shrinking minority of people who are opposed to nuclear power. Why?

www.blog.geoffrussell.com.au/post/doctors...

Tom Gleeson and the triumph of greed When comedians celebrate greed and the audience laughs, you know you have a problem.

In what kind of country do comedians celebrate greed and the audience laughs? It's been a long time since Donald Horne called Australia the lucky country. If Horne were writing today he'd call us the greedy country.

www.blog.geoffrussell.com.au/post/tom-gle...

Eat the invaders: but which ones? Australians have been eating the invaders ever since white arrival; so exactly what does Tony Armstrong want to change?

Eat the invaders? But which ones? We invaders have been eating invaders ever since we arrived. If we had been eating native wildlife, it would be long gone.

www.blog.geoffrussell.com.au/post/eat-the...