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Dan Shafer

@danshafer.bsky.social

Founder of The Recombobulation Area. Political Editor, Civic Media. 18x Milwaukee Press Club award winner. Exhausted Dad. BUCKS FAN.

10,538 Followers  |  1,064 Following  |  1,107 Posts  |  Joined: 01.07.2023
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Posts by Dan Shafer (@danshafer.bsky.social)

A thing I strongly believe, but that was only obvious in retrospect, was that drive-time talk radio was the most valuable propaganda platform in history and a big reason we got into this mess we're in now was because conservatives dominated it in the 1990s and 2000s

27.02.2026 04:26 β€” πŸ‘ 2853    πŸ” 419    πŸ’¬ 118    πŸ“Œ 106

My take: This shows there is room for persuasion here for Democrats. People don't know where the party stands on this issue. Make a case *for* something. The numbers are even on your side.

27.02.2026 22:03 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Two revealing questions on deportations in the new Marquette poll:

If the question is just on for/against deportations, 64% are in favor.

But if you ask about deporting people who have been living and working in the U.S. with no criminal record? Only 41% favor deportation.

27.02.2026 22:03 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 3
Preview
Subscribe to The Recombobulation Area Dan Shafer's award-winning political opinion column and online publication on the discombobulating politics of Milwaukee and Wisconsin. The Recombobulation Area is part of the Civic Media network. Cli...

It's Friday. Subscribe to The Recombobulation Area.

Free subscribers only today, tho. Spend on a subscription next week. Go have a drink today. Enjoy yourself. www.therecombobulationarea.news/subscribe

27.02.2026 19:20 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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PODCAST: All politics is national in 2026 Charles Franklin of the Marquette University Law School Poll joins to discuss the latest results and why the old adage of "all politics is local" might no longer apply.

NEW: "It used to be that all politics was local. Now, all politics are national."

@pollsandvotes.bsky.social joined The Recombobulation Area to talk about the latest Marquette poll results.

Watch/listen here: www.therecombobulationarea.news/p/podcast-al...

27.02.2026 19:01 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Data center politics are shifting rapidly in Wisconsin.

In October, majorities were mildly opposed, similarly across political lines (a rarity). Just a few months later, it’s a 70-30 issue, with Democrats swinging hard against them and independents also saying costs outweigh benefits.

27.02.2026 15:08 β€” πŸ‘ 24    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

A testament to how right-wing the political media has gotten in Wisconsin that this has not jumped out as a top Marquette poll story.

27.02.2026 02:16 β€” πŸ‘ 73    πŸ” 15    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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Tom Tiffany is the only viable gubernatorial candidate for the GOP, he just got Trump’s endorsement, and yet more than 60% of Republican voters are undecided in the primary. Embarrassingly bad poll for him. www.therecombobulationarea.news/p/a-super-si...

27.02.2026 01:41 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 3
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A super-sized breakdown of the new Marquette poll of Wisconsin politics Topics for the Feb. 2026 poll include: the Wisconsin Supreme Court race, the Democratic primary for governor, Tom Tiffany, Trump's approval rating, data centers, immigration, and more.

The! Full! Breakdown! www.therecombobulationarea.news/p/a-super-si...

27.02.2026 01:39 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Cmon, I paywalled that!

26.02.2026 23:49 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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A super-sized breakdown of the new Marquette poll of Wisconsin politics Topics for the Feb. 2026 poll include: the Wisconsin Supreme Court race, the Democratic primary for governor, Tom Tiffany, Trump's approval rating, data centers, immigration, and more.

www.therecombobulationarea.news/p/a-super-si...

26.02.2026 23:34 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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I broke down the Democratic primary polling by region of the state. You'll have to subscribe for the full breakdown, but here's a sneak peek for just the city of Milwaukee.

26.02.2026 23:34 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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A super-sized breakdown of the new Marquette poll of Wisconsin politics Topics for the Feb. 2026 poll include: the Wisconsin Supreme Court race, the Democratic primary for governor, Tom Tiffany, Trump's approval rating, data centers, immigration, and more.

NEW: A deep dive and analysis of the new Marquette poll the likes of which you won't find anywhere else.

Breaking down polling on the SCOWIS race, the Democratic primary, a bad poll for Tom Tiffany, Trump's tumbling approval, data centers, ICE, more. www.therecombobulationarea.news/p/a-super-si...

26.02.2026 23:25 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I think people like individual Democrats like Evers and Baldwin, but are broadly down on the larger party. It's also a reflection of some internal dynamics. There are more Democrats who dislike the Democratic Party than there are Republicans who dislike the Republican Party.

26.02.2026 15:46 β€” πŸ‘ 21    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Soglin 9%, what a time

26.02.2026 04:31 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

downballot incumbency is gonna be a big factor in those Assembly races, where people like Todd Novak and Jessie Rodriguez tend to overperform. but there is a path to flip it, definitely.

26.02.2026 04:12 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Not an optimist about Dems chances in the Assembly and Senate then?

26.02.2026 04:05 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Bucks win! Never a doubt!

26.02.2026 03:22 β€” πŸ‘ 29    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Thoughts on this?

26.02.2026 03:09 β€” πŸ‘ 25    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 25    πŸ“Œ 2

Net favorability rating in the Marquette poll, ranked:

Evers: +2
Baldwin: 0
R. Johnson: -6
Vance: -6
Trump: -9
ICE: -11
Republican Party: -12
MAGA: -14
Democratic Party: -23

26.02.2026 03:00 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 3
Preview
Subscribe to The Recombobulation Area Dan Shafer's award-winning political opinion column and online publication on the discombobulating politics of Milwaukee and Wisconsin. The Recombobulation Area is part of the Civic Media network. Cli...

That's a wrap!

As I always do, I will be writing a deep-dive breakdown and analysis of the results at The Recombobulation Area.

Subscribe: www.therecombobulationarea.news/subscribe

26.02.2026 02:52 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Trump job approval:
- Net minus-10

This is a new low for his second term.

26.02.2026 02:52 β€” πŸ‘ 29    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Evers 400-year veto?

Was necessary for schools: 49%
Will mean tax increases: 50%

26.02.2026 02:52 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

Online sports betting?

Favor: 34%
Opposed: 64%

26.02.2026 02:52 β€” πŸ‘ 46    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 4

Inflation and the cost of living is still BY FAR the biggest issue.

26.02.2026 02:52 β€” πŸ‘ 21    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Deport immigrants in US illegally?
- Majority in favor

Deport immigrants in US illegally, including those with no criminal record?
- Majority opposed

26.02.2026 02:51 β€” πŸ‘ 43    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 13

Pretti shooting justified?

Justified: 36%
Not justified: 61%

Independents: 22% justified - 77% not justified

26.02.2026 02:51 β€” πŸ‘ 28    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Approve/disapprove of the way ICE is enforcing immigration laws:

Approve: 44%
Disapprove: 56%

Significant partisan gap, GOP in favor, Dems opposed.

Independents:
- Approve: 24%
- Disapprove: 76%

26.02.2026 02:51 β€” πŸ‘ 31    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

Data center costs?

-High water use: 52%
- AI is not something we should develop: 45%
- Drives up cost of electricity: 35%
- High use of electricity requires building new power plants: 31%
- Replace ag/rural land with large industrial buildings: 20%

26.02.2026 02:51 β€” πŸ‘ 29    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 5

Data center benefits?

Create new jobs for technical workers: 44%
Provide new tax revenue for local gov't: 35%
Construction jobs: 25%
Establish new industry: 21%
Help U.S. lead world in AI: 18%

26.02.2026 02:51 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1