The war in the Middle East is driving up inflation expectations and is expected to push the pace of rising prices further away from the Fed's policy target, potentially delaying plans to cut interest rates further
www.spglobal.com/market-intel...
The war in the Middle East is driving up inflation expectations and is expected to push the pace of rising prices further away from the Fed's policy target, potentially delaying plans to cut interest rates further
www.spglobal.com/market-intel...
Equal weight continues to beat the S&P 500 as mega cap leadership fades. Is dispersion a positive for US equities?
"The trades, particularly in large-cap tech, became very crowded and disproportionately dictated market direction"
www.spglobal.com/market-intel...
#Mag7 $NVDA $MSFT $AAPL $GOOGL $META
Institutions slow selling as funds curb buying after frenzied end of 2025 www.spglobal.com/market-intel...
23.02.2026 15:50 — 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
"Even if GDP is moderating, as long as growth remains positive and the labor market is relatively firm, the Fed does not feel pressured to ease. In that sense, the data don't eliminate cuts from the outlook, but they do justify pushing them further out." www.spglobal.com/market-intel...
23.02.2026 15:48 — 👍 5 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 1
Restaurant inflation stays hot, forcing shift in American dining
"The math is difficult. Restaurant operators face an enormous number of costs that are going up ... and at the same time, they face a consumer that is very stressed."
www.spglobal.com/market-intel...
Trump advisor and Fed chair also-ran Hassett wants researchers behind NY Fed paper that reached a conclusion on tariffs that runs against the political views of the administration "disciplined" for their work. Here's the paper: www.reuters.com/world/us/ny-...
18.02.2026 14:17 — 👍 14 🔁 12 💬 2 📌 1
US dollar's global safe-haven standing is slipping
"Less political surprises and uncertainty would be helpful" says Rabobank's Jane Foley
www.spglobal.com/market-intel...
"The job market has slowed and unemployment has increased modestly, but it hasn't deteriorated enough to discourage workers into giving up their job search entirely" says @danielzhao.bsky.social
www.spglobal.com/market-intel...
'Prime-age' Americans in workforce rise to 25-year high as jobs picture darkens
"I think we are still feeling the echoes of the rapid labor market recovery post-2020, which drew people into the labor market" said @prestonmui.bsky.social www.spglobal.com/market-intel...
How much will the US labor market need to weaken for the Fed to cut rates again?
5% unemployment?
Mass layoffs?
"Any indications that employers are increasingly leaning into trimming their payrolls would be a red flag that would be tough for the Fed to ignore."
www.spglobal.com/market-intel...
Good point. I think this season has clearly shown they need to do something, I just don’t think this is the move (I was really wrong about Rudy so I’d love to admit I’m wrong here too)
04.02.2026 16:45 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0Sure, but is the possibility of 5 good seasons from a superstar worth pretty much gutting what the wolves have built over the past 5 seasons? Seems like the risk is way too high
04.02.2026 16:39 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0Going all in on Giannis, selling the core of the franchise for a slim chance at a championship this season, is such a panic move that will certainly not work and that’s why it’ll probably happen
04.02.2026 16:26 — 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0
For markets reporters, Howard was indispensable. www.wsj.com/finance/inve...
03.02.2026 16:37 — 👍 3 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0
Government shutdown may complicate Fed's interest rate plans
"Another government shutdown may toss the Fed back into the wilderness as the absence of clear data complicates monetary policy planning"
www.spglobal.com/market-intel...
"I think the Fed takes a pass at this meeting and markets keep their focus elsewhere for now. The policy rate is around neutral today, and the economy isn't demanding a change in policy." www.spglobal.com/market-intel...
26.01.2026 15:01 — 👍 5 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 1
US IPOs log gradual recovery in 2025, yet still lag recent boom
"It's well below what we see in a healthy IPO market"
www.spglobal.com/market-intel...
US food prices are rising at a pace faster than broader inflation, souring economic expectations and skewing consumers' views of the domestic economy
"I think there is a disconnect between official inflation numbers and the perception of inflation"
www.spglobal.com/market-intel...
“The breakeven rate for the labor market has been revised significantly lower by several sources, dropping to tens of thousands of jobs each month from hundreds of thousands just two years ago.”
www.spglobal.com/market-intel...
"If you have a job and you're not looking for work, you're fine. But if you're unemployed, if you're on the sidelines, it's a much more difficult labor market than in previous years." @samrkuhn.bsky.social
www.spglobal.com/market-intel...
Is this the year for a small caps breakout?
www.spglobal.com/market-intel...
Job openings, pace of hiring decline as US labor market cools further
Employers "aren't at all confident that hiring will lead to profit," says @aaronsojourner.org "They're reluctant to commit to new payroll expenses, so they've reduced job openings over the year."
www.spglobal.com/market-intel...
UMich consumer sentiment (current conditions) at 50.4 is a new all-time low -- going back to data from the 1970s.
19.12.2025 15:04 — 👍 1296 🔁 388 💬 47 📌 79
Labor hoarding at least for now:
"Usually, employers turn to cutting hours before resorting to layoffs as laying off workers is more difficult than temporarily cutting hours in the hopes of business rebounding," says @danielzhao.bsky.social
www.spglobal.com/market-intel...
The number of Americans working part-time jobs for economic reasons has surged to the highest level since early 2021, indicating that employers may be delaying an inevitable wave of layoffs
www.spglobal.com/market-intel...
w/ @danielzhao.bsky.social @aaronsojourner.org @prestonmui.bsky.social
"While it’s too soon to declare that we’re in a recession, the data are at least pre-recessionary: that is, the numbers are weak enough that we should be seriously worried that a recession is coming"
- @pkrugman.bsky.social on yesterday's jobs report
US large caps are on track for their third consecutive year of well above average returns: after price returns of 24% in 2023 and 23% in 2024, the S&P 500 is up 15.6% YTD vs. an average calendar year return of 9.2% since the index’s inception
- S&P Dow Jones Indices
With rising expectations of a market reversal, institutions withdrew a net $43.40B from the stock market. Of that total, a net $22.03B... was sold during the third week of November, when the S&P 500 fell nearly 2%, its largest weekly loss of the month
www.spglobal.com/market-intel...
The pause in the Fed's rate cutting cycle has pushed the struggling US dollar into a "range-bound, directionless phase" "Neither strongly bearish nor bullish," says Daniel Hathorn w/ @capitalcom.bsky.social
www.spglobal.com/market-intel...
The constant tone changes in that show were so wild. Some scenes were hilarious and then it was so intense it was frightening. Genuinely weird done well
13.12.2025 03:11 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0