New post: Can AI Replace Social Science Researchers? (No. No it can't. Come on, now.)
davekarpf.beehiiv.com/p/can-ai-rep...
@aehudson.bsky.social
Political scientist | Assessing democracy @internationalidea.bsky.social | Author of The Veil of Participation (CUP) http://bit.ly/3jHUfYt | π¨π¦ in πΈπͺ | Posting in a personal capacity.
New post: Can AI Replace Social Science Researchers? (No. No it can't. Come on, now.)
davekarpf.beehiiv.com/p/can-ai-rep...
He's saying we're not going to participate in offensive actions against Iran, but might need to defend our allies.
Chill, people.
When protests go viral, democracy goes digital. Democracy Assessment Intern Bjorn Carlson sits down with Bulgarian activists Malena Malcheva and Valeria Berkova to unpack how Gen Z is turning social media into a tool for democratic participation. Read more: bit.ly/49XpxTB
26.01.2026 12:15 β π 1 π 2 π¬ 0 π 0
How can democratic systems be designed to remain resilient in an era of rapid political, technological, and social change?
At #IICDEM2026, International IDEA's experts presented Strategic Foresight as a key tool for anticipating Democracy in 2050. @gibajaalberto.bsky.social @aehudson.bsky.social
Democracy that Delivers - Our #DemocracyAssessment experts @aehudson.bsky.social and Atsuko Hirakawa, and Director for Asia & The Pacific @leenarikkila.bsky.social examine the practical performance of democratic institutions in delivering tangible outcomes for citizens. #IICDEM2026
21.01.2026 09:54 β π 2 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0
New symposium issue of Comparative Constitutional Studies: βAfter the Referendumβ. Includes analysis of referendum failures in Ireland (by me), Australia, Chile, and Taiwan, alongside other great papers and book discussion. Open access for a limited time!
www.elgaronline.com/view/journal...
#IDEACouncil convened forβ―aβ―session chaired by Swiss Ambassador to Sweden Adrian Junker.
The Council reviewed highlights of the #IDEA30Years anniversary and approved a Strategy update along with the Programme and Budget for 2026.
We look forward to continued cooperation to advance #democracy.
Thank you to representatives from @internationalidea.bsky.social @idos-research.bsky.social @norad.no & the Advisory Council of International Affairs of the Netherlands for joining us and sharing your perspectives!
05.12.2025 10:43 β π 3 π 4 π¬ 0 π 1"...in Times of Crisis" is the go to panel title around here, regardless of topic. One of the panelists must claim that something is "a wake-up call" and that something else is "not a panacea". An audience member will ask something about the "global south" and everyone will politely ignore them.
26.11.2025 10:30 β π 11 π 2 π¬ 2 π 0The new Comparative Constitutions Project website is now live! Developed by yours truly. We're also releasing version 5.0 of our Constitutional Chronology and Constitutional Characteristics datasets, updated through 2023. Explore and download: comparativeconstitutionsproject.org
20.11.2025 16:34 β π 16 π 6 π¬ 2 π 0If you'd like to read a better account of the separation of powersβunderstood as a political architecture rather than a legalistic doctrineβcheck out @trivesbell.bsky.social's wonderful new book.
20.11.2025 16:58 β π 8 π 5 π¬ 0 π 0
Today is the release date for my new book The Constitution of Conflict, published by @univpressofkansas.bsky.social! The book argues that the separation of powers is better understood as a political architecture than a judicially-enforced legal doctrine.
www.amazon.com/Constitution...
π Between 15-17 Oct, @internationalidea.bsky.social & BIRN Albania hosted βThe Future of Democracy in the Western Balkansβ foresight workshop in Albania, marking our renewed focus on the region. We explored possible scenarios for #democracy through 2040 and the key factors that may shape its future.
21.10.2025 07:27 β π 2 π 2 π¬ 1 π 0
Migrant Electoral Rights Dataset (1960-2020)
π Link to dataset: hdl.handle.net/1814/93661
π Link to codebook: cadmus.eui.eu/server/api/c...
πΌ Link to 400 page documentation: cadmus.eui.eu/server/api/c...
It was great to be back at Forum2000 this year. There were interesting speeches from MarΓa Corina Machado, Salome Zourabichvili, and Petr Pavel. Notably absent from most of the discussions, however, were the small matters of the dramatic degradation of US democracy and climate change.
15.10.2025 08:58 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
We celebrate the decision of the @nobelpeacecenter.bsky.social Committee to award the 2025 #NobelPeacePrize to Venezuelan democracy champion Maria Corina Machado.
It is a timely recognition of the essential relationship between #democracy and #peace.
www.idea.int/news/stateme...
we at the IDEA democracy assessment team have written an explainer on 'democratic resilience': what it means, where it came from, and what it needs to mean if we're to have a democratic future. hope you give it a read!
www.idea.int/blog/democra...
If a party narrowly wins an election and then implements a very good (or bad) agenda, how should we evaluate democracy in that country? Measures of democratic performance will certainly be affected, but is that enough of the story? I have some thoughts on the matter. www.idea.int/blog/line-go...
03.10.2025 10:40 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Every few months now I re-read this "Who Goes Nazi?" piece from 1941 and am blown away by how it captures the people we are dealing with 80 years later.
harpers.org/archive/1941...
π€ Curious about our new open access dataset on migrant electoral rights?
Join us for the webinar to get an overview. π
At a time like this, we really need more from journalism than this mealy-mouthed non-statement.
Also amazing that this came out the same day as Secretary Hegseth stated his opposition to 'stupid rules of engagement'.
How exciting! Congratulations! I can't wait to read it.
22.09.2025 09:10 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Book Cover with title (constitutional change under autocracy), author (Anna Fruhstorfer), and publisher (Oxford University Press).
First page of proof with book title, author, and publisher
Something I have been working on is starting to feel real, the proofs of Constitutional Change under Autocracy have arrived. I could not be more excited! Publication is expected in early 2026.
22.09.2025 08:29 β π 18 π 3 π¬ 3 π 0
Yesterday, @internationalidea.bsky.social launched its Global State of Democracy 2025 Report: #DemocracyOnTheMove.
The #GSoD2025 report focuses on the intersection between #migration and #democracy.
(Re)Watch the live recording of the event β‘οΈ youtube.com/live/fom0bzA...
#DemocracyForAll
You can find the report here: interactive.idea.int/gsod-2025
I'd be glad to hear what you think about it.
Rather than scrolling past the data visualizations, I would invite you to take a couple of minutes and see what mousing over a segment, or clicking on a field can reveal. You might uncover something new!
15.09.2025 14:55 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0We've tried to do something better than the 'grey literature' standard with the GSoD report this year. We worked with some amazing designers to produce an interactive online report that enables the reader to see what's behind the summary data in the graphs.
15.09.2025 14:55 β π 0 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0As you've likely heard, today is the International Day of Democracy. A good day to read a report about the Global State of Democracy? I know that can seem like a herculean labour one would rather walk past.
15.09.2025 14:55 β π 3 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0Great to see @globalcit.bsky.socialβs Rainer BaubΓΆck at the launch of the @internationalidea.bsky.social Global State of Democracy Report 2025. Emphasising the important implications of out-of-country voting in times of democratic recession both in migrant origin countries and destination countries.
11.09.2025 15:34 β π 6 π 6 π¬ 1 π 0The expansion of voting rights beyond territory and citizenship marks a major democratic development of the last fifty years. Migrant suffrage has been mostly studied from a state-centric perspective. But the rights that migrants hold emerge from specific combinations of the country of residence and the country of citizenship. From this migrant-centric perspective, what is the diagnosis of the spread and status of global migrant suffrage? We present franchise constellations as a migrant-centric framework for studying voting rights. Drawing on the most comprehensive dataset on migrant electoral rights, combined with novel data on nationality-specific restrictions, we compute almost 1.3 million dyad-year observations based on 172 countries between 1960 and 2020. Using migrant stock data, we find that at least 74 million migrants remained completely disenfranchised in 2020. Bilateral and multilateral efforts emerge as a fruitful path for addressing global migrant disenfranchisement.
β‘οΈππ New Working Paper
with @sumpierrez.bsky.social and Rainer BaubΓΆck
Work on migrant voting rights often has a state-centric perspective. We propose *migrant franchise constellations* as a migrant-centric approach.
A π§΅ with our argument and new data! π³οΈ
preprints.apsanet.org/engage/apsa/...