Daniel Serwer's Avatar

Daniel Serwer

@peacefare.bsky.social

Prof Johns Hopkins SAIS, former VP @USIP and MinCounselor @StateDepartment. Blogging multiple international conflicts @ www.peacefare.net

189 Followers  |  124 Following  |  315 Posts  |  Joined: 15.11.2024  |  1.612

Latest posts by peacefare.bsky.social on Bluesky

Preview
Nearly 20 Percent Fewer International Students Traveled to the U.S. in August The data shows the steepest decline in August international student arrivals since the pandemic.

I’m only surprised that the 80% came.

06.10.2025 20:06 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
How do we get out of here? Only people can force the P5 leaders to undertake the way out of the catastrophic dead locks. Today’s perilous world crises do not allow for prolonging superpowers’ games through the UNSC.

How do we get out of here?

Only people can force the P5 leaders to undertake the way out of the catastrophic dead locks. Today’s perilous world crises do not allow for prolonging superpowers’ games through the UNSC.

02.10.2025 18:24 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Round peg won’t fit square hole A lot of people could get killed in a peace operation of this difficulty. The US President should not be responsible for it.

Round peg won’t fit square hole

A lot of people could get killed in a peace operation of this difficulty. The US President should not be responsible for it.

01.10.2025 16:40 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
We are going to unknown places Trump's America is a place where freedom of speech is in doubt, right-wing violence is now the government's responsibility, and friends can't rely on support. What more could go wrong?

We are going to unknown places

Trump's America is a place where freedom of speech is in doubt, right-wing violence is now the government's responsibility, and friends can't rely on support. What more could go wrong?

30.09.2025 20:26 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Will Hamas surrender, fight, or evaporate? The Trump Administration's 20-point peace plan for Gaza calls for the unconditional surrender, disarmament and political exclusion of Hamas. It leaves the Israeli Defense Force in place and in charge for the immediate future. It also envisions an eventual Arab and Muslim peacekeeping force as well as Palestinian police, all under the control of an international committee chaired by President Trump.

Will Hamas surrender, fight, or evaporate?

The Trump Administration's 20-point peace plan for Gaza calls for the unconditional surrender, disarmament and political exclusion of Hamas. It leaves the Israeli Defense Force in place and in charge for the immediate future. It also envisions an eventual…

30.09.2025 19:50 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

What could go wrong?

06.09.2025 00:34 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

tl;dr: Trump to Invade Venezuela

06.09.2025 00:34 — 👍 280    🔁 109    💬 46    📌 9
Preview
Why America can’t shake off inflation Our measure of entrenchment suggests its problem is the rich world’s worst

Our measure of entrenchment suggests its problem is the rich world’s worst

17.08.2025 16:31 — 👍 26    🔁 7    💬 1    📌 2
Video thumbnail

Constituent: You talked about abuses in the medicare and medicaid system and I found interesting that the president pardoned someone that defrauded the medicaid system for $1.3 billion

26.08.2025 01:08 — 👍 35091    🔁 11071    💬 712    📌 463
Post image

Nats/Mets:

21.08.2025 22:16 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
How experts prevail They can and sometimes do, provided they organize well and rely on expertise to develop norms in response to social pressure.

How experts prevail

They can and sometimes do, provided they organize well and rely on expertise to develop norms in response to social pressure.

21.08.2025 13:06 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
The protests are real, but Vucic is too Serbian President Vucic faces serious protests, but a political alternative is lacking and he has Russian and Chinese backing. He won't yield easily.

The protests are real, but Vucic is too

Serbian President Vucic faces serious protests, but a political alternative is lacking and he has Russian and Chinese backing. He won't yield easily.

20.08.2025 20:35 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Trump is never getting the Nobel Prize The Europeans don't have a great record responding to aggression from the east, but let's hope this time will be different.

Trump is never getting the Nobel Prize

The Europeans don't have a great record responding to aggression from the east, but let's hope this time will be different.

20.08.2025 19:45 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

The CDC shooting didn’t even really register in the news and the details are absolutely insane

17.08.2025 15:56 — 👍 5243    🔁 2053    💬 69    📌 43
Post image 16.08.2025 22:53 — 👍 11341    🔁 3063    💬 256    📌 112
Ukraine: Putin 3, Trump 0 It is high time that Republicans tell Trump they will impose the needed sanctions and arms sales if he is unwilling to do so.

Ukraine: Putin 3, Trump 0

It is high time that Republicans tell Trump they will impose the needed sanctions and arms sales if he is unwilling to do so.

17.08.2025 16:12 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

In authoritarian crackdowns, it’s important to randomly ensnare some people whom one would think would be safe, so that everyone is at least a little bit afraid that something could happen to them. The regime scales up its power of intimidation over a much larger group than those directly affected.

13.08.2025 11:29 — 👍 4759    🔁 1921    💬 120    📌 64

For the record, our division commander BANNED things called “presence patrols” in Iraq.

“If you don’t have a specific task & purpose, your ‘presence’ doesn’t do anything.”

National Guard stating they are now doing presence patrols in DC.

A complete waste of soldier’s time & effort.

13.08.2025 01:06 — 👍 24485    🔁 7193    💬 931    📌 296
peacefare.net - peace through understanding peacefare.net peace through understanding

peacefare.net has awakened from a month's vacation, prompted by Dusan Janjic:

13.08.2025 16:48 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Preventing structural destabilization of Serbia Political and social crises, coupled with growing security instability, have come to dominate everyday life in Serbia.

Preventing structural destabilization of Serbia

Political and social crises, coupled with growing security instability, have come to dominate everyday life in Serbia.

13.08.2025 16:45 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
Explainer: Gaza Humanitarian Aid – Myths and Facts - J Street Larry Garber picks apart common myths regarding humanitarian aid in Gaza, demonstrating that the best solution is to immediately surge aid into the Strip.

Larry Garber knows the facts: jstreet.org/explainer-ga...

12.08.2025 23:50 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Video thumbnail

BBC News: Do you think you were a witness to war crimes?

American veteran who worked at Gaza Humanitarian Foundation aid distribution center: Without question I witnessed war crimes.

28.07.2025 01:58 — 👍 5576    🔁 2023    💬 33    📌 67

They are going to be looking at your personal data while hiding the public data from the public: thehill.com/regulation/c...

12.08.2025 19:20 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Video thumbnail

I hadn’t seen this 2019 video of @stephencolbert.bsky.social singing with Oscar the Grouch until today, and man oh man, was it just the hopeful reminder I needed. 💞

19.07.2025 18:00 — 👍 1673    🔁 467    💬 47    📌 31
Double your public broadcasting donation It's by now obvious that our democracy is at risk. Keeping a space free of lies is going to be vital to preserving it.

Double your public broadcasting donation

It's by now obvious that our democracy is at risk. Keeping a space free of lies is going to be vital to preserving it.

18.07.2025 17:07 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
The Ukraine war isn’t going well for anyone The war isn't going well for anyone. But Russia's small gains on the battlefield are generating to big risks at home.

The Ukraine war isn’t going well for anyone

The war isn't going well for anyone. But Russia's small gains on the battlefield are generating to big risks at home.

18.07.2025 15:47 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Don’t be fooled The key to sanctions is to end Russian use of a "ghost fleet" to export oil and to end transshipment of goods to Russia from Europe and the US through former Soviet republics. 

Don’t be fooled

The key to sanctions is to end Russian use of a "ghost fleet" to export oil and to end transshipment of goods to Russia from Europe and the US through former Soviet republics. 

16.07.2025 15:57 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Trump’s head fake on Russia Trump is not serious about hardening the approach to Russia. It's a head fake. Don't be fooled.

Trump’s head fake on Russia

Trump is not serious about hardening the approach to Russia. It's a head fake. Don't be fooled.

16.07.2025 14:38 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
America’s better angels reside in Kosovo The time has come for the army commanders in Serbia and Kosovo to meet and exchange views and data. That might even hasten the day of mutual recognition.

America’s better angels reside in Kosovo

The time has come for the army commanders in Serbia and Kosovo to meet and exchange views and data. That might even hasten the day of mutual recognition.

15.07.2025 18:45 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Let us hope it is not too late So far, we have failed to truly "learn the lessons" of Srebrenica. Let us hope it is not too late.

Let us hope it is not too late

So far, we have failed to truly "learn the lessons" of Srebrenica. Let us hope it is not too late.

15.07.2025 15:56 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

@peacefare is following 20 prominent accounts