Marc Debus

Das ist genial! 😂

Jobtitel-Generator Edition "Öffentlicher Dienst in Deutschland": jbreuer.shinyapps.io/amtstitel_ge...

Cover page of the article. "Affective States: Cultural and Affective Polarization in a Multilevel-Multiparty System" by Dylan Paltra, Marius Sältzer and Christian Stecker. "Affective Polarization—the growing mutual dislike among partisan groups—has been identified as a major concern in democracies. Although both economic and cultural ideological divides contribute to ideological polarization, their affective consequences can differ. This paper argues that cultural polarization becomes especially consequential when mobilized by far-right parties. Using data from 116 elections in Germany’s 16 states (1990-2023), we combine more than 550 state-level manifestos with more than 150,000 survey responses to examine how party polarization translates into voter affect. Our analyses show that both economic and cultural polarization increase affective divides, but cultural disagreements fuel hostility only in the presence of the Alternative for Germany (AfD). Acting as a cultural entrepreneur, the AfD amplifies the emotional impact of cultural divisions such as immigration, employing affective rhetoric and provoking strong rejection from other parties and voters. These findings highlight the catalytic role of far-right parties in transforming ideological competition into affective polarization."

🚨Publication Alert!
My first first-author publication with @msaeltzer.bsky.social and @pluggedchris.bsky.social is out in @polbehavior.bsky.social, which began as my bachelor's thesis. We study how party polarization shapes affective polarization—with a particularly important role of the AfD. (1/7)🧵

❗️ Do., 27. Nov., 18:00 CET
Online-Vortrag von Politikwissenschaftler Marc Debus
@marcdebus.bsky.social zum Thema Parteienwettbewerb

Veranstalter: Landeszentrale für politische Bildung Baden-Württemberg.
#ltwbw
Anmeldung erforderlich!
👉 www.uni-mannheim.de/news/wahl-we...

Handbook on Coalition Politics ‘This volume brilliantly synthesizes the entire coalition lifecycle, integrates cutting-edge computational methods with game theory, and explores intra-party dynamics with unprecedented depth. A must-...

Here is the correct link to the book: www.e-elgar.com/shop/gbp/han...

@hannaeback.bsky.social, @roycecarroll.bsky.social, Ulrich Sieberer, @mariathurk.bsky.social, Alejandro Ecker, Lanny W. Martin, @theresmatthiess.bsky.social, @svenjakrauss.bsky.social and @thomasmmeyer.bsky.social for their great contributions to the handbook! /6

Daniel Diermeier, Tong Li, Garrett Glasgow, Matt Golder, @sonagolder.bsky.social, Mariyana Angelova,
@janschwalbach.bsky.social, @sopro.bsky.social , @fortunato.bsky.social, @ibenskasr.bsky.social, @josezuritat.bsky.social, @fabioellger.bsky.social, @heikekluever.bsky.social, /5

Thanks to Michael Laver, Eric Linhart, @indridi.bsky.social, Lucy Goodhart, Anna Bassi, Scott de Marchi, Georg Vanberg, Roni Lehrer, Andrea Ceron, @silviadecadri.bsky.social, Johan Hellström, Jonas Lindahl, @martingross.bsky.social, José Antonio Cheibub, @thiagonsilva.bsky.social, /4

from their creation to their dissolution, examining the challenges and opportunities they present in modern democracies. Moreover, the chapters provide an overview of the most recent methods and data for analyzing coalition politics. /3

The handbook provides an overview of the developments in classical and recent theoretical approaches in the analysis of coalition politics. Furthermore, the contributions in the handbook explore how coalition governments function, /2

Interested in the theory and empirics of multi-party governments? Thomas Bräuninger and I edited a Handbook on Coalition Politics with Edward Elgar Publishing: lnkd.in/eis8Yc2y /1

Politisches Spektrum: Die große Sehnsucht nach der Mitte Unser interaktives Tool zur politischen Mitte hat großes Interesse hervorgerufen – und wird leidenschaftlich diskutiert. Sieben Erkenntnisse

"Gehören Sie zur politischen Mitte?", fragte die @zeit.de und löste mit ihrem Tool eine hitzige Debatte aus.
@marcdebus.bsky.social ordnet das Tool und die zugrundeliegenden Daten der @gles.bsky.social ein.

Lesenswerter Beitrag von @cendt.de und @jalenz.bsky.social !

👉 www.zeit.de/politik/deut...

Interested in the sociodemographic background, policy preferences, attitudes and campaign strategies of candidates for the 2025 Bundestag election? The @gles.bsky.social Candidate Study 2025 is now available (doi.org/10.4232/5.ZA... @gesis.org) and includes CCS Module IV
@ccs-project.bsky.social 👇

Danke, liebe Kathrin!

Vielen Dank, Alexander.

Danke Dir, liebe Claudia!

Danke, Armin!

If you have new research, let us know or just submit here: www.editorialmanager.com/povs/default...

Looking forward to working with @martingross.bsky.social, @evahausteiner.bsky.social, Oliver Hidalgo, Anna Holzscheiter, @nilssteiner.bsky.social, Colette Vogeler and @manesweisskircher.bsky.social in the editorial board. 2/3

Happy to serve as the editor-in-chief of the Politische Vierteljahresschrift/German Political Science Quarterly (PVS/GPSQ) link.springer.com/journal/11615 @dvpw.bsky.social from January 2026 onwards. Thanks to Eric Linhart for his great work in the last six years! 1/3

Ich habe mit der Magdeburger Volksstimme über eine doppelte Gefahr für die CDU nach der Landtagswahl gesprochen: "Mord" in blau-schwarzer Koalition oder "Selbstmord" in einer überdehnten Anti-AfD-Koalition mit Einigungszwang. Etwas Empirie im thread...

Abstract for the article: How does right-wing terrorism affect electoral support for populist radical right parties (PRRPs)? Recent research has produced contrary answers to this question. We argue that only high-intensity attacks, whose motives and targets mirror PRRPs’ nativist agenda, are likely to generate a media backlash that dampens electoral support for PRRPs. We test this argument by combining high-frequency survey and social media data with a natural and survey experimental design. We find that right-wing terror reduced support for the radical right party Alternative für Deutschland after one of the most intense nativist attacks in recent German history. An analysis of all ninety-eight fatal right-wing attacks in Germany between 1990 and 2020 supports our argument. Our findings contribute to an understanding of how political violence triggers partisan detachment and have important implications for media responsibility in the aftermath of terrorist attacks.

🚨 New article out!

“Right-Wing Terror, Media Backlash, and Voting Preferences for the Far Right” in @bjpols.bsky.social

👉 doi.org/10.1017/S000...

We (Alex De Juan, @juvoss.bsky.social & I) examine how right-wing attacks shape support for the far-right in Germany.

Short summary thread below 👇

BJPolS abstract describing the introduction of a global database called PtP, which contains detailed individual-level data on political, occupational, and social backgrounds from 144,789 cabinet members across 141 countries between 1966 and 2021. The text highlights the database's relevance to researchers in various fields including political and social sciences.

NEW -

Paths to Power: A New Dataset on the Social Profile of Governments - https://cup.org/47i6oKQ

- @jacobnyrup.bsky.social, @chknutsen.bsky.social, @peterla.bsky.social & Ina Lyftingsmo Kristiansen

#OpenAccess

For my DFG-funded project “German Sexual Identity and Election Study” and my ERC-funded project “VisibleQueers”, I am looking for three student assistants (m/f/d) to provide dedicated support and active collaboration.

Please share!

www.mzes.uni-mannheim.de/en/three-stu...

Und die Anzahl der ungültigen Stimmen ist leicht auf 339 Stimmen angewachsen.

Inkl 337 ungültige Stimmen.

OB-Stichwahl Siegen... 10 Stimmen Differenz... bei 29705 abgegebenen Stimmen

🗳️ Tag 1 der AK-Wahlen-Tagung @ FU Berlin

💡Hervorragende Präsentationen und intensive Diskussionen zu aktuellen Themen der Wahl- und Einstellungsforschung

🤝 Viele Gelegenheiten zum Networking

📝 Wir freuen uns auf den zweiten Tag mit weiteren spannenden Einblicken!

#Wahlforschung #AKWahlen

Abstract of the research article "The sound of party competition: how applause reflects unity, disagreement, and the electoral cycle in parliaments" by Andreas Küpfer, Jochen Müller and Christian Stecker. Published online first in West European Politics.

Figure 1, displaying the occurences of different types of reactions in the German Bundestag between 1976 and 2020.

Figure 3, displaying the heatmap of predicted applause per 1000 words based on a Poission regression model.

Figure 5, displaying expected applause for interaction terms government and opposition.

💥Online first:

"The sound of party competition: how applause reflects unity, disagreement, and the electoral cycle in parliaments"

by @ankuepfer.bsky.social @jocmuel.bsky.social & @pluggedchris.bsky.social

doi.org/10.1080/0140...

Ein paar Einschätzungen von mir zur aktuellen Lage der Koalition aus Union und SPD 👇