Europe Elects

Italy, SWG poll:

FdI-ECR: 30%
PD-S&D: 22%
M5S-LEFT: 12%
FI-EPP: 8%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
LEGA-PfE: 7%
FN-ESN: 4% (+1)
Azione-RE: 3% (-1)
IV-RE: 2%
+E-RE: 2% (+1)
NM-EPP: 1%

+/- vs. 18-23 February 2026

Fieldwork: 25 February - 02 March 2026
Sample size: 1,200

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

Italy, YouTrend poll:

FdI-ECR: 29%
PD-S&D: 22%
M5S-LEFT: 12%
FI-EPP: 8% (-1)
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
LEGA-PfE: 6%
Azione-RE: 4%
FN-ESN: 4%
+E-RE: 2%
IV-RE: 2%
NM-EPP: 1%

+/- vs. 17-18 February 2026

Fieldwork: 24-25 February 2026
Sample size: 809

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

UK (GB): GPEW and SGP (GREENS-G/EFA) have reached 21% in today's YouGov poll. That is the highest that the two green parties have ever polled together in national parliament polling since being founded in 1990.

➤ http://europeelects.eu/uk

UK (GB), YouGov poll:

REFORM~NI: 23% (-1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 21% (+4)
LAB-S&D: 16% (-2)
CON~ECR: 16% (-2)
LDEM-RE: 14%

+/- vs. 22-23 February 2026

Fieldwork: 01-02 March 2026
Sample size: 2,073

➤ europeelects.eu/uk

Spain, Sigma Dos poll:

PP-EPP: 32%
PSOE-S&D: 26%
VOX-PfE: 18%
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 8%
Podemos-LEFT: 4% (-1)
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1%
EAJ PNV-RE: 1%
Junts-NI: 1%
BNG-G/EFA: 1%
CC-RE: 0%
...

+/- vs. 26-30 January 2026

Fieldwork: 23-27 February 2026
Sample size: 1,969

➤ europeelects.eu/spain

Finland: centre-left SDP-S&D leads our national parliament polling average with 25%.

The government of centre-right Kok.-EPP, national-conservative PS-ECR, liberal SFP-RE and centre-right KD-EPP jointly polls at 38%, down from 49% in 2023.

See more: https://europeelects.eu/finland/

Italy, Ipsos poll:

FdI-ECR: 28% (-1)
PD-S&D: 21% (-1)
M5S-LEFT: 13%
FI-EPP: 8% (-1)
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 7% (+1)
LEGA-PfE: 6% (-2)
FN-ESN: 4%
Azione-RE: 3% (+1)
IV-RE: 2%
+E-RE: 2% (+1)
NM-EPP: 1%

+/- vs. 26-29 January 2026

Fieldwork: 23-26 February 2026
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

Denmark, Voxmeter poll:

A-S&D: 22%
F-G/EFA: 13% (+1)
I-EPP: 12% (+1)
V-RE: 9% (-2)
Æ-ECR: 9%
M-RE: 7% (-1)
Ø-LEFT: 7% (+1)
O-PfE: 7% (+2)
C-EPP: 6% (-1)
B-RE: 4% (-1)
...

+/- vs. 16-22 February 2026

Fieldwork: 23 February - 01 March 2026
Sample size: 1,003

➤ europeelects.eu/denmark

Italy, Termometro Politico poll:

FdI-ECR: 30%
PD-S&D: 22%
M5S-LEFT: 12%
FI-EPP: 8%
LEGA-PfE: 8%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 6%
FN-ESN: 3% (-1)
Azione-RE: 3%
IV-RE: 2%
+E-RE: 2%
DSP~NI: 1%
NM-EPP: 1%

+/- vs. 17-19 February 2026

Fieldwork: 25-26 February 2026
Sample size: 2,800

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

Italy, Eumetra poll:

FdI-ECR: 30%
PD-S&D: 22%
M5S-LEFT: 12%
FI-EPP: 9%
LEGA-PfE: 7%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 6% (-1)
Azione-RE: 3%
FN-ESN: 3%
IV-RE: 2%
+E-RE: 2% (+1)
NM-EPP: 1%

+/- vs. 17-18 February 2026

Fieldwork: 24-25 February 2026
Sample size: 800

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

Denmark, Epinion poll:

A-S&D: 22% (+1)
F-G/EFA: 14%
I-EPP: 10%
V-RE: 9%
O-PfE: 8%
Æ-ECR: 8%
C-EPP: 7% (+1)
Ø-LEFT: 7%
M-RE: 6%
B-RE: 4%
Å→G/EFA: 3%
H-*: 3%

+/- vs. 27 Februay 2026

Fieldwork: 27 February - 01 March 2026
Sample size: 1,957

➤ europeelects.eu/denmark

Bulgaria, CAR poll:

Scenario: New political project of ex-President Rumen Radev

Radev's party-*: 34%
GERB-SDS-EPP: 19%
PP-DB-RE|EPP: 13%
DPS-NN-NI: 10%
V-ESN: 8%
BSPOL-S&D|LEFT: 4%
MECh-*: 4%
ITN-ECR: 1%
...

Fieldwork: 17-24 February 2026
Sample size: 1010

➤ europeelects.eu/bulgaria

Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 26% (+1)
AfD-ESN: 25%
SPD-S&D: 16%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11%
LINKE-LEFT: 10% (-1)
FDP-RE: 3% (-1)
BSW-NI: 3% (-1)

+/- vs. 20-23 February 2026

Fieldwork: 23-27 February 2026
Sample size: 1203

➤ europeelects.eu/germany

Austria, INSA poll:

FPÖ-PfE: 38% (+1)
ÖVP-EPP: 19% (-1)
SPÖ-S&D: 19% (-1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 9%
NEOS-RE: 7% (-1)
KPÖ-LEFT: 3%

+/- vs. 12-14 January 2026

Fieldwork: 23-25 February 2026
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/austria

Austria, Market-Lazersfeld Gesellschaft poll:

FPÖ-PfE: 36% (-1)
ÖVP-EPP: 22% (+2)
SPÖ-S&D: 16% (-1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 10% (+1)
NEOS-RE: 9% (+1)
KPÖ-LEFT: 3% (-1)

+/- vs. 16-17 February 2026

Fieldwork: 23-24 February 2026
Sample size: 2,000

➤ europeelects.eu/austria

UK (GB), Find Out Now poll:

REFORM~NI: 26% (-2)
CON~ECR: 18% (+2)
GREENS-G/EFA: 18%
LAB-S&D: 15% (-1)
LDEM-RE: 12% (+2)
SNP-G/EFA: 3%
PC-G/EFA: 1% (-1)

+/- vs. 18 February 2026

Fieldwork: 25 February 2026
Sample size: 2,442

➤ europeelects.eu/uk

Croatia, Ipsos poll:

HDZ-EPP: 33%
SDP-S&D: 23% (-1)
Možemo!-G/EFA: 12%
Most-ECR: 8% (+1)
DP~ECR: 3%
HSU-*: 3% (n.a.)
MSR NL~ECR: 3%
HS-ECR: 2% (n.a.)
IDS-RE: 2% (n.a.)
DOMiNO-ECR: 2% (n.a.)
...

+/- vs. 03-19 January 2026

Fieldwork: 01-19 February 2026
Sample size: 989

➤ europeelects.eu/croatia

UK, Opinium poll:

REFORM~NI: 30% (-1)
LAB-S&D: 18% (-5)
CON~ECR: 18% (+2)
GREENS-G/EFA: 13%
LDEM-RE: 12% (+2)

+/- vs. 4-6 February 2026

Fieldwork: 25-27 February 2026
Sample size: 2,050

➤ europeelects.eu/uk

Denmark, Verian poll:

A-S&D: 22% (-1)
F-G/EFA: 14% (+1)
I-EPP: 11% (+1)
V-RE: 9% (-2)
Æ-ECR: 8% (-1)
O-PfE: 7%
C-EPP: 7%
Ø-LEFT: 7% (-1)
M-RE: 7% (+2)
B-RE: 5% (+1)
...

+/- vs. 28 January 2026 - 03 February 2026

Fieldwork: 26-27 February 2026
Sample size: 1,829

➤ europeelects.eu/denmark

Italy, EMG poll:

FdI-ECR: 27%
PD-S&D: 21% (-1)
M5S-LEFT: 12%
FI-EPP: 9%
LEGA-PfE: 8%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 6%
Azione-RE: 3%
IV-RE: 3%
FN-ESN: 2%
+E-RE: 2%
PLD-RE: 2%
DSP~NI: 2%
NM-EPP: 2%

+/- vs. 05-18 February 2026

Fieldwork: 23-24 February 2026
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/italy

UK (Scotland), YouGov poll:

Independence referendum

No: 54% (+1)
Yes: 46% (-1)

+/- vs. 8-14 January 2026

Fieldwork: 11-18 February 2026
Sample size: 1,517

➤ europeelects.eu/uk

Germany, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 26%
AfD-ESN: 24%
SPD-S&D: 15%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12% (-1)
LINKE-LEFT: 11% (+1)

+/- vs. 02-05 February 2026

Fieldwork: 24-26 February 2026
Sample size: 1262

➤ europeelects.eu/germany

Slovakia, AKO poll:

PS-RE: 21% (-2)
Smer-NI: 16% (-1)
S-EPP: 9% (+1)
Hlas-NI: 9%
Republika-ESN: 9% (+2)
SaS-ECR: 8%
KDH-EPP: 7%
D-EPP: 6%
SNS~PfE: 5%
MA-EPP: 5% (+1)
SR~PfE: 3% (+1)
...

+/- vs. 13-20 January 2026

Fieldwork: 10-19 February 2026
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/slovakia

France, Cluster17 poll:

Lyon mayoral election

Aulas (LR/HOR/RE/MoDem-EPP|RE): 42%
Doucet (LÉ/PS/PCF-G/EFA|S&D|LEFT): 31%
Belouassa-Cherifi (LFI-LEFT): 9%
Dupalais (RN-PfE): 9%
Képénékian (DVC~RE): 4%
...

Fieldwork: 16-19 February 2026
Sample size: 793

➤ europeelects.eu/france

Denmark, Epinion poll:

A-S&D: 21% (-1)
F-G/EFA: 14% (+1)
I-EPP: 10% (-1)
V-RE: 9% (-1)
Æ-ECR: 8% (-1)
O-PfE: 8% (+1)
Ø-LEFT: 7%
C-EPP: 6% (-1)
M-RE: 6% (+1)
B-RE: 4% (-1)
Å→G/EFA: 3% (+1)
...

+/- vs. 21-28 January 2026

Fieldwork: 26 February 2026
Sample size: 1,576

➤ europeelects.eu/denmark

Denmark, Epinion poll:

A-S&D: 21% (-1)
F-G/EFA: 14% (+1)
I-EPP: 10% (-1)
V-RE: 9% (-1)
Æ-ECR: 8% (-1)
O-PfE: 8% (+1)
Ø-LEFT: 7%
C-EPP: 6% (-1)
M-RE: 6% (+1)
B-RE: 4% (-1)
Å→G/EFA: 3% (+1)
...

+/- vs. 21-28 January 2026

Fieldwork: 26 February 2026
Sample size: 2,012

➤ europeelects.eu/denmark

European Union, European Elects projection:

European Parliament seat projection

Centre-right-EPP: 173 (-1)
Centre-left-S&D: 127 (+1)
Right-wing-PfE: 100 (-1)
National-conservative-ECR: 83 (-3)
...

+/- vs. January 2026

Fieldwork: February 2026

➤ europeelects.eu/european-union

European Union, European Elects projection:

European Parliament election

Centre-right (EPP): 22%
Centre-left (S&D): 17%
Right-wing (PfE): 11% (-1)
National-conservative (ECR): 11%
Left-wing (LEFT): 10%
...

+/- vs. January 2026

Fieldwork: February 2026

➤ europeelects.eu/european-union

UK, Gorton and Denton, national parliament by-election:

The vote share for Keir Starmer's governing Labour Party (LAB-S&D) fell to 25.4%, half its 2024 result. That is the party's worst result in the constituency or any of its predecessor constituencies since 1935.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk

UK, Gorton and Denton, national parliament by-election:

With 40.6% of the vote, GPEW-G/EFA achieved its best ever result in the constituency or its predecessors. This is also the first time the party has ever won a national parliament by-election.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk