Newsletter: Democratic lawmakers sound corruption alarms while crypto PACs gear up for the midterms
www.citationneeded.news/issue-93/
@patdel.bsky.social
Clearly a shit poster past his prime such as myself is very cool and wise and deserves a ton of respect and deference. This is a parody account. All posts are non-actionable parody.
Newsletter: Democratic lawmakers sound corruption alarms while crypto PACs gear up for the midterms
www.citationneeded.news/issue-93/
I just want to say...Fork Rice! We all know rice...fork it so hard! Serve rice too! Make sure to serve it early and often! Put it in the freezer so you can fork it later! Put it in a pressure cooker. Count and inventory, take pictures of every individual grain of rice, for fun, post them online.
03.10.2025 18:22 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0lol... it's down due to DoS, because tens of thousands of people had the same thought (though let's be honest, it could have been just 10 people had the same thought and that brought it down).
30.09.2025 19:58 โ ๐ 5 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0ok kids not addicted, yet parents need to limit their time on themโฆbecause they are pacifying and addictive, got it.
27.09.2025 19:46 โ ๐ 3 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0A screenshot of a CBS News Morning story about the vandalism. It shows a picture of the graffiti that says, "Somali MuslimโThis Warning Is No Joke".
This week our campaign office was vandalized with an Islamophobic threat. We will not be deterred by hate speech. The people of Minneapolis are demanding change. I'll continue fighting for it. We're still going to win this election! Donate today to help: secure.actblue.com/donate/omar_...
25.09.2025 15:10 โ ๐ 63 ๐ 28 ๐ฌ 2 ๐ 2Prediction Markets today in two images. github.com/openpredicti... #PredictionMarkets
25.09.2025 16:48 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0Newsletter: I spoke to experts across financial regulation, gambling, and election law about prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. They claim to be trading platforms, they look like gambling sites, and the rules donโt fit.
www.citationneeded.news/prediction-m...
People who are spend a lot of time being concerned about the masculinity crisis should be very concerned with how integrated sports betting is into the actual TV broadcasts now. FOX is just straight up talking about FanDuel and parlays and itโs going to lead a lot of people to ruin.
07.09.2025 16:56 โ ๐ 493 ๐ 79 ๐ฌ 26 ๐ 19hmm that doesnโt seem to make mathematical sense since the global population will increase by 2 billion people. For any discrete set of basic facts, say 6 facts, if you pick two random people on earth, the chance that they agree on all six will go up because there will be a larger base population.
25.09.2025 00:21 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0We made it to 100 stars on SocialPredict! github.com/openpredicti...
#OpenSource #OSS
Thank you to everyone who has contributed and supported!
Here's to pushing forward the future of forecasting :)
Obligatory
23.09.2025 12:52 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0Acetaminophen... looking through the White House's links that they provided, none of the links support the conclusion, "may cause," but rather, "possible risk factor." Notable from one of the linked studies is that acetaminophen usage increases with age and parental age is already a known factor.
23.09.2025 12:52 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0I'm curious if anyone on bluesky #math #science or whatever other communities are out there might have some ideas.
16.09.2025 18:24 โ ๐ 2 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0One solution that has been proposed is to use a, "time lock," which could be a way to go, e.g. don't give the position until an amount of time has passed, however the problem with that is, different markets move at different speeds in the real world.
16.09.2025 18:24 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0Mathematically, I know there must be a better way. Basically the downside of this design is that even if you come in with a huge bet in a low volume market, you get zero position to start out with, which is confusing to new users.
16.09.2025 18:23 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0My rational for this design was to not reward those coming in and placing a bet at the end of a low volume market just to carve out a position for themselves with a tiny bet, to immediately sell out and steal an opposing side's position.
16.09.2025 18:22 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0I along with @osinttechnical.bsky.social and others have developed an open source prediction market from scratch. Here is the math behind how positions get calculated. I designed in a couple principles in the math. 1. Earlier bets always take precedence. 2. Artificial lock on placing a bet last.
16.09.2025 18:21 โ ๐ 4 ๐ 1 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 1We have entered an age of incredibly online terrorism. The way this is being covered by the vast majority of mainstream and independent news sources and bloggers is wrong. This one gets it right. www.tabletmag.com/sections/new...
14.09.2025 22:12 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0If you saw the Charlie Kirk video and were horrified by blood spurting out everywhere, I urge you to close your eyes and visualize the same type of thing happening to the 515 children at public and private elementary school since 2001, because I assure you it did, you just didn't have a video of it.
14.09.2025 17:02 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0Infuriated Despondency! By James Akin, 1805. Showing newspaper publisher Edmund Blunt who, mad at James Akin, threw a cast iron pot at James Akin, who ducked, the pot hit a passerby. This is essentially the state of mainstream media in the US in 2025.
14.09.2025 16:53 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0He says, โI didnโt know him well at all,โ and predicates with, โI feel,โ and uses stereotyping logic after saying, โI donโt want to make this about me.โ Seems pretty clear from purely just watching the video itโs pure speculation while being conscious that itโs speculation and adds nothing.
13.09.2025 14:41 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0Also I think Bluesky is very millennial coded so a lot of these memes which meant one thing in 2015 may mean something different to someone who is 22 years old now because that was half their life ago. If you donโt constantly keep up with the latest memes news you get thrown in the skibidi toilet.
12.09.2025 23:42 โ ๐ 10 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0Similar feeling I get passing by the graveyard for another friend of mine who died at 21. I got to live my life. They did not. Thereโs nothing I can do to bring them back, even for a moment. There is no positive message to be extracted from any of this.
06.09.2025 16:54 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0At the start of summer I visited the grave of a friend who passed away at 17. Still there, just as I remember it on the day of his funeral 25 years ago, except now his fatherโs grave was next to it. Thereโs a dispassionate finality to the march of time that a childโs death reveals.
06.09.2025 16:50 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0Both sets of events can contribute to one and the same psychological shock. Psychology be complex.
01.09.2025 16:26 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0"Emergency Alert Cancelled" - wails my phone, with a life-or-death terrifying howl, never having notified me that there was an alert in the first place, mere days after a school shooting four blocks away, while my wife and kids are out and about. ๐ Keep doing what you're doing. Great job.
31.08.2025 18:37 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0Clearly this has everything to do with straw man voter and not, โIโm clearly fine, wonโt drop out mid election and anoint a candidate who never even participated in a single primary in her life, double pinky swear ceasefire for realzies this time,โ Biden.
07.08.2025 22:37 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0You forgot to say, โbreaking characterโ
26.07.2025 02:29 โ ๐ 4 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0Are you ready to unlock your happiest self AS AN ENTREPRENEUR? Clearly, these people have no idea what entrepreneurship (I.e. self imprisonment) is. ๐ซข
22.07.2025 23:04 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0