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Sam Hoppen

@samhoppen.bsky.social

NFL Data Scientist πŸ“Š| Fmr FantasyPros, Betsperts | #GoPackGo | Opinions are my own Substack: https://samhoppen.substack.com/

2,069 Followers  |  196 Following  |  461 Posts  |  Joined: 13.07.2023
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Posts by Sam Hoppen (@samhoppen.bsky.social)

I randomly just got really excited about the idea of the Colts signing Malik Willis. Think they have the cap space to do it and feel like it’d be a rather simple shift of the Jones offense from last year. Plus, pairing him with JT would keep the floor of the run game very high.

01.03.2026 02:40 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Walked into a cafe and someone (whom I don't know) gave me a head nod with a "Hey coach, how's it going?" so it's nice to know that I at least give off that vibe

25.02.2026 16:30 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The only reason I can think of is, "I don't want to attach myself to this defense" as a reason.

24.02.2026 18:05 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

.....then why didn't he call plays last year?

24.02.2026 18:02 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
AFC West Offseason Preview Previewing the offseason for all the teams in the AFC West

AFC West ($): samhoppen.substack.com/p/afc-west-o...
AFC East ($): samhoppen.substack.com/p/afc-east-o...
AFC North ($): samhoppen.substack.com/p/afc-north-...
AFC South ($): samhoppen.substack.com/p/afc-south-...

21.02.2026 17:02 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
NFC West Offseason Preview Previewing the offseason for all the teams in the NFC West

NFC West ($): samhoppen.substack.com/p/nfc-west-o...
NFC East ($): samhoppen.substack.com/p/nfc-east-o...
NFC North (FREE): samhoppen.substack.com/p/nfc-north-...
NFC South ($): samhoppen.substack.com/p/nfc-south-...

21.02.2026 17:02 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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ICYMI, yesterday I wrapped on my offseason preview series! I went through every division sharing these dashboards and touching on each team's offseason priorities, potential cap casualties, and team needs! You can find them all on my Substack at the links below!

21.02.2026 17:02 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Who thought this jersey combo was a good idea?

20.02.2026 20:13 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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2026 NFL Draft QB prospects completion percentage over expectation by how far they threw the football down the field. Capped at 40 yards because its wonky after that. Yes that is Cole Payton and NDSU you are seeingπŸ‘€

20.02.2026 14:41 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 4
Preview
NFC West Offseason Preview Previewing the offseason for all the teams in the NFC West

Link to read: open.substack.com/pub/samhoppe...

20.02.2026 14:27 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The last of my offseason previews is here, wrapping things with the NFC West! I cover:
🐦 Arizona thinking about the long-term future
🟑 How San Fran is equipped to restock to compete
🐏 Why the Rams are set up for this year and beyond
πŸ† Seattle replenishing their depth

πŸ”—β€΅οΈ

20.02.2026 14:27 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

For those who care, I just pushed an update to my play callers dataset with all 2025 games as well as my assumptions for who will call plays for each team in 2026. Shout if you see any potential errors!

github.com/samhoppen/NF...

19.02.2026 17:05 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

WHAT A MOVE TO GET THE GOAL πŸ₯‡πŸ₯‡πŸ₯‡

19.02.2026 20:56 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

For those who care, I just pushed an update to my play callers dataset with all 2025 games as well as my assumptions for who will call plays for each team in 2026. Shout if you see any potential errors!

github.com/samhoppen/NF...

19.02.2026 17:05 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

A good first move for the Chiefs, but they're still $11m over the cap even with this move. Gonna take more work not only to be cap compliant but also make space to sign some free agents.

18.02.2026 15:23 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
https://samhoppen.substack.com/p/afc-east-offseason-preview?r=418ht

Link to read: t.co/tzQZIHBR1L

18.02.2026 14:14 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Back with another offseason preview, this one for the AFC East! I cover:
✈️ The Jets kicking off their rebuild
🐬 How the Dolphins navigate their QB decision
🦬 The limited resources Buffalo has to work with
🟦 What the Patriots can do to build off of their 2025 season

πŸ”—β€΅οΈ

18.02.2026 14:14 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

More and more people seeing the light on Andrew Berry

17.02.2026 18:31 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Ohhh this looks cool. Can't wait to read!

13.02.2026 17:22 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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My NFC East offseason preview is LIVE! I cover:
πŸ”΅ What the can Giants do with their minimal resources
πŸ‘΄ Where the Commanders need to get younger
⭐️ A defensive offseason for the Cowboys
πŸ¦… What Philly needs to do to keep their championship window open

πŸ”—: samhoppen.substack.com/p/nfc-east-o...

12.02.2026 14:53 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

yeah this song is a banger

12.02.2026 15:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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My NFC East offseason preview is LIVE! I cover:
πŸ”΅ What the can Giants do with their minimal resources
πŸ‘΄ Where the Commanders need to get younger
⭐️ A defensive offseason for the Cowboys
πŸ¦… What Philly needs to do to keep their championship window open

πŸ”—: samhoppen.substack.com/p/nfc-east-o...

12.02.2026 14:53 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The offseason officially started yesterday, but I've already previewed 5 divisions in my offseason preview series. Each one includes dashboards, overviews, cap casualties, and team needs! You can subscribe to my Substack to get each of them delivered to your inbox! πŸ”—β€΅οΈ

10.02.2026 14:54 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

NFC South ($): samhoppen.substack.com/p/nfc-south-...
AFC South ($): samhoppen.substack.com/p/afc-south-...
AFC North ($): samhoppen.substack.com/p/afc-south-...
NFC North (FREE): samhoppen.substack.com/p/nfc-north-...
AFC West ($): samhoppen.substack.com/p/afc-west-o...

Sub: samhoppen.substack.com

10.02.2026 14:54 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image Post image Post image Post image

The offseason officially started yesterday, but I've already previewed 5 divisions in my offseason preview series. Each one includes dashboards, overviews, cap casualties, and team needs! You can subscribe to my Substack to get each of them delivered to your inbox! πŸ”—β€΅οΈ

10.02.2026 14:54 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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According to Trumedia, Drake Maye had the 6th-worst EPA/dropback in a Super Bowl since 2000.

Mike Macdonald masterclass.

09.02.2026 03:27 β€” πŸ‘ 26    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Kicking a PAT lmaoooooo come on Vrabel

09.02.2026 02:39 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks for coming out, Patriots

09.02.2026 02:28 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The Seahawks defense is playing incredibly, but Maye is just straight up missing some throws, too. Timing was disrupted early and he hasn’t been the same.

09.02.2026 02:13 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

If this is the Coach of the Year game, then one side is winning right now and it ain't the guy who actually got the award ijs

09.02.2026 02:02 β€” πŸ‘ 834    πŸ” 51    πŸ’¬ 32    πŸ“Œ 2