Sam Hoppen

Here's a look at how some of the top offensive free agents signed so far rank within their position in terms of APY (not all guarantees have been reported yet):

So far in free agency we've seen 5 of the top 9 center contracts by APY doled out. Incredible week for the position.

Saints were 24th in the league in 12 personnel last year. Betting Kellen Moore wants to get into more of the heavy-TE packages this year.

The Andrews extension was perplexing at the time and now it's even more confusing knowing they could've kept Likely, who is six years younger, at just a slightly higher cost.

If it keeps the Chiefs from drafting Love in the top 10, then by all means go for it

Chicago's list of needs has gotten a little longer since the start of the offseason, but they're now becoming more well-equipped to fill those needs especially with four top-90 draft picks.

Remember, Brandon Beane was promoted

Told my wife that I wrote this article and how many times I watched the 40 and she replied with, "My god, I married such a nerd"

In this article, I also used Carnell Tate's controversial hand-timed 40s to show how big of an impact it could have on projecting draft position if those were used over his NFL-registered time.

Why do scouts still hand time combine drills? An investigation into the pitfalls and modeling impacts of using hand-timed measurements

Link to read (FREE): open.substack.com/pub/samhoppe...

Why do scouts still hand time combine drills?

I watched Kenyon Sadiq's 40-yard dash 47 times to get a sense of his true range of outcomes. Then, I wrote about why teams might still use hand times, what pitfalls they have, and the potential impact on modeling for teams.

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I randomly just got really excited about the idea of the Colts signing Malik Willis. Think they have the cap space to do it and feel like it’d be a rather simple shift of the Jones offense from last year. Plus, pairing him with JT would keep the floor of the run game very high.

Walked into a cafe and someone (whom I don't know) gave me a head nod with a "Hey coach, how's it going?" so it's nice to know that I at least give off that vibe

The only reason I can think of is, "I don't want to attach myself to this defense" as a reason.

.....then why didn't he call plays last year?

AFC West Offseason Preview Previewing the offseason for all the teams in the AFC West

AFC West ($): samhoppen.substack.com/p/afc-west-o...
AFC East ($): samhoppen.substack.com/p/afc-east-o...
AFC North ($): samhoppen.substack.com/p/afc-north-...
AFC South ($): samhoppen.substack.com/p/afc-south-...

NFC West Offseason Preview Previewing the offseason for all the teams in the NFC West

NFC West ($): samhoppen.substack.com/p/nfc-west-o...
NFC East ($): samhoppen.substack.com/p/nfc-east-o...
NFC North (FREE): samhoppen.substack.com/p/nfc-north-...
NFC South ($): samhoppen.substack.com/p/nfc-south-...

ICYMI, yesterday I wrapped on my offseason preview series! I went through every division sharing these dashboards and touching on each team's offseason priorities, potential cap casualties, and team needs! You can find them all on my Substack at the links below!

Who thought this jersey combo was a good idea?

2026 NFL Draft QB prospects completion percentage over expectation by how far they threw the football down the field. Capped at 40 yards because its wonky after that. Yes that is Cole Payton and NDSU you are seeing👀

NFC West Offseason Preview Previewing the offseason for all the teams in the NFC West

Link to read: open.substack.com/pub/samhoppe...

The last of my offseason previews is here, wrapping things with the NFC West! I cover:
🐦 Arizona thinking about the long-term future
🟡 How San Fran is equipped to restock to compete
🐏 Why the Rams are set up for this year and beyond
🏆 Seattle replenishing their depth

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For those who care, I just pushed an update to my play callers dataset with all 2025 games as well as my assumptions for who will call plays for each team in 2026. Shout if you see any potential errors!

github.com/samhoppen/NF...

WHAT A MOVE TO GET THE GOAL 🥇🥇🥇

For those who care, I just pushed an update to my play callers dataset with all 2025 games as well as my assumptions for who will call plays for each team in 2026. Shout if you see any potential errors!

github.com/samhoppen/NF...

A good first move for the Chiefs, but they're still $11m over the cap even with this move. Gonna take more work not only to be cap compliant but also make space to sign some free agents.

Link to read: t.co/tzQZIHBR1L

Back with another offseason preview, this one for the AFC East! I cover:
✈️ The Jets kicking off their rebuild
🐬 How the Dolphins navigate their QB decision
🦬 The limited resources Buffalo has to work with
🟦 What the Patriots can do to build off of their 2025 season

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More and more people seeing the light on Andrew Berry

Ohhh this looks cool. Can't wait to read!