Avery Tomasco

I tend to use it more for explainers (supercells, hail, winter weather, etc) but still like to break it out for other weather events. I agree that 2D info is less palatable in the 3D space, but still helps get a few more eyeballs to pay attention ahead of hazardous weather IMO

Fresh augmented reality update on our overnight storm chance.

Severe weather = bad. Flood threat = ...Good? Yeah, good if we all stay smart.

Preliminary timing of events, subject to change once storms have formed and we get a better idea of their progress

Ain't nothin' like last week, but keep your eyes peeled for severe storms LATE tonight (after midnight) primarily to the northwest of Austin.

Level 2/5 risk for hail, winds, and a quick tornado. Slow-moving storms could also produce flash flooding

Great forecast, great result. I won't have to hand out any more of these water bottles this week, thank tha lord

Most importantly, similar rain totals occurred over the Lake Travis watershed. A combined 5,600 CFS (about 1.2 million gallons per minute) is flowing downstream as we speak.

This should get LT to rise by a couple of feet at least. We'll see in a few days

SWEET SWEET VICTORY

2.31" in Austin yesterday was the biggest one-day rain total in more than a year

No sorry I got logged out for a while but finally got this back up and running.

I've sinned and will atone with new updates here I promise

Plan your afternoon/evening travels around the storms. The last place you want to be in a hailstorm is in your car, stuck in traffic.

Yes Jason, 30-50% chances the last two days inherently meant most wouldn't get storms. Today was always expected to be the main storm chance

The third and final day of severe weather this week is poised to be the most widespread & significant.

Level 3 out of 5 risk in Austin for the first time in nearly a year. Storms quickly turn severe after 12 PM today with very large hail, damaging winds, and an isolated tornado possible

WEATHER ALERT DAY - Severe storms are likely for more of us Thursday afternoon->evening.

Level 1 out of 5 risk for now, but I think that will change. Very energetic atmosphere will fuel a very large hail + damaging wind gust threat 4 PM -> 10 PM tonight

Similar story on Thursday afternoon and evening, but the potential is there for an MCS (mesoscale convective system) to roll through.

Friday is the peak of this week's storm chances courtesy of a "cold" front dropping in. Some strong/severe storms not out of the question

Storm chances are back on the menu, but the first course is... questionable.

Classic conditional setup on Wednesday afternoon/evening. If updrafts can pop through the cap, a few intense storms could drop big hail & gusty winds. If the cap holds, nothing burger.

I climbed up a spider-infested ladder to get to the top of a beached boat dock for this shot. Plz make it worth my while

A project months in the making finally hits the airwaves TONIGHT on CBS Austin.

"Where's our Water?" focusses on our water troubles as our climate changes and our population booms. It airs at 6:30 PM with a full townhall featuring local leaders streaming online at 7 PM

A necessary ingredient for better storm chances comes with an unfortunate side effect: Mosquito population boom for the next ~6 months.

The swamp is rolling in which will keep morning/evening temperatures firmly in swarmin' territory. Apologies in advance

No major changes to our weekend storm plan.

🔹Saturday: Just a 30% chance for rain/storms, and severe weather is unlikely
🔹Sunday: 12-7 AM storms in the Hill Country with hail/wind threat. If they hold together, could be stormy near Austin between 7-11 AM

Long story short, it won't be a washout of an Easter Sunday. Morning plans could be pushed inside, but there should be plenty of dry time in the afternoon.

Windy through Friday, stormy by Sunday?

Not for everyone, but it's our best chance in a LONG time. NW Texas storms will make a run at the Hill Country late Saturday night with some hail/wind in tow.

What's left of those storms could run into I-35 before lunchtime Sunday. 50% chance overall

Another melancholy cold front day in Central Texas.

Spike in temps ahead of it, briefly closer to average in its wake, and not a drop of rain along the way. I'm tired of this, grandpa

NO WHAMMIES NO WHAMMIES NO WHAMMIES

HYPED UP WEATHER PATTERN SHIFT POSTS COMING YOUR WAY SOON

Did some data digging and the results are nausea-inducing.

Since the start of 2022, only 9 months (!!!) have produced above-average rain in Austin.

That's a 29" deficit, nearly a full year's worth of rain. It's worse in the Hill Country where the deficit is 30-40"

Happy cold front day I guess.

It'll help a *little* with lower humidity and highs in the 80s Friday and Saturday, but today, it's public enemy #1. Compressional heating ahead of it pushes highs to the 90s, and stale air will accumulate ozone through early this evening. AIR QUALITY ALERT in effect

Just kidding we love him and he's perfect

HI I'M BACK

And everything is still terrible. My 6 week old son may be offered to the rain gods sooner rather than later

Crabapple Fire in Gillespie County giving some terrifying sunset vibes in Bee Cave. @averytomascowx.bsky.social

Screen cap of meteorologist Avery Tomasco social media post: "Have not seen a wildfire setup like this for Central Texas in many years. Folks, this is as bad as it gets tomorrow. Howling winds, extreme drought, dormant fuels following extreme cold in late February... Be extremely vigilant and mindful of anything that could spark a fire"

Heads up, central Texas. Extreme fire danger tomorrow.

Not sure if OP @averytomascowx.bsky.social was planning to post this here as well, so I'm passing it along.