Harry Pickard

🚨We are hiring this year and have multiple positions.

Happy to answer informal inquiries.

#EconSky

🔗 t.co/r7auFewQkD

🛥️ @fresejoris.bsky.social applies Multiple Unexpected Events during Survey Design to study how Mediterranean shipwrecks shape immigration attitudes...

➡️...and finds anti-immigration attitudes only declined in one exceptionally high-salience case www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🔍 Mechanisms: We find conflict exposure increases negative perceptions of out-groups, authoritarian attitudes, and aggressive tendencies. All these changes persist 10-25 years after service, showing the long-lasting impact of war on intergroup relations. ⏳

⚔️ Combat Experience Matters: The effects are driven by direct combat exposure (DCE). Veterans with combat experience donate show strong parochial preferences, highlighting how traumatic experiences shape social preferences.

📊 Main Results: Conflict exposure significantly reduces donations to out-group members. No significant effect on in-group donations, suggesting conflict increases parochialism mainly through out-group derogation rather than in-group favoritism. 💰

💭 Theory: War may transform social preferences in a parochial way - strengthening in-group cohesion while increasing out-group hostility. But which channel dominates - increased in-group love or out-group derogation? 🤝 Our design lets us test this directly.

🚨 New QAPEC discussion paper!

We study how exposure to armed conflict shapes prosocial behavior using a natural experiment in Turkey, where random military deployment during mandatory service lets us identify the causal effects of conflict exposure on altruistic preferences.

📄 bit.ly/4fHnVPs
🧵👇🏻

British Journal of Political Science Bove, Efthyvoulou & Pickard abstract graphic

#OpenAccess from our new issue -

Are the Effects of Terrorism Short-Lived? - cup.org/3IPUZpJ

"heightened risk perceptions and emotional reactions in the wake of deadly attacks do not dissipate in the very short run"

- Vincenzo Bove, Georgios Efthyvoulou & @harrypickard.bsky.social