Jan Ludvík

🚀 NEW: "Victory or frozen conflict? Assessing the feasibility of Ukraine’s victory-oriented strategy to conflict termination" from @nuclearjan.bsky.social.

📑👉 Open access & available here: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Cover of the "European Journal of International Security" featuring the hashtag #OpenAccess.

#OpenAccess from @ejisbisa.bsky.social -

Victory or frozen conflict? Assessing the feasibility of Ukraine’s victory-oriented strategy to conflict termination - https://cup.org/3YTFDIK

- @nuclearjan.bsky.social

#FirstView

Huge congratulations to our Ph.D. candidate Zakir Rzazade
for publishing his first peer-reviewed article! 🎉 He explores the expert-media gap in perceptions on drone usage implications on modern warfare. @ims.fsv.cuni.cz @fsv.charlesuni.cuni.cz @europeansecurity.bsky.social

New article in @ejir.bsky.social! 🚨

@smetanamichal.bsky.social @mvranka.bsky.social and @ondrejrosendorf.bsky.social argue that due to the overly complex nature of arms control practices, the public relies on simplified heuristic frames and elite cues to build their opinion.

@ims.fsv.cuni.cz

DOD reports 14 GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrators (MOPs) dropped, so close to the entire stockpile used in this operation.

Rejection is part of academia, not a sign you’re not good enough. Keep revising, learning, and submitting. Persistence matters!
#NuclearWeapons #SecurityStudies #AcademicPublishing #PhDChat #OpenAccess

PS for PhD students & junior colleagues: The first iteration of this manuscript was rejected after a second review round, followed by eight more rejections from top journals. Rejections hurt—but each provided useful feedback that strengthened the paper.

I’d be delighted to discuss further—feedback welcome!

Also to @fsv.charlesuni.cuni.cz at @charlesuni.cuni.cz
for institutional support and to colleages who commented on earlier drafts at @prcp.cuni.cz seminars, ISSS-IS Annual Conference in Gainesville, and @isanet.bsky.social Convention in San Francisco.

Huge thanks to reviewers and editors at @globalpolicy.bsky.social for a smooth process and thoughtful comments.

Key takeaway? Understanding how historical policy choices constrain today's decisions is vital for addressing contemporary nuclear risks. Strategic paths set decades ago are influencing the future more than we realize.

The U.S. aim to preserve freedom of action in regional conflicts by underming adversaries’ nuclear deterrence through advanced conventional capabilities now drives intense arms races with Russia and China—fueling instability and crisis escalation risks.

Using a path-dependence approach, I show how past U.S. decisions on missile defense and precision-guided conventional strikes have locked in policy trajectories that shape today’s strategic landscape.

I argue that the new age is not simply a renewed Cold War-like competition with more advanced technologies. Instead, the new nuclear age shows significant path dependency from post-Cold War US strategies against rogue states.

Third or “Second and a Half”? Continuity, Path Dependence, and the Third Nuclear Age The world has entered a new nuclear age. Scholars have characterized this “third nuclear age” as one of renewed competition among nuclear-armed great powers and the coming maturation of new technolog...

Experts talk about a new nuclear age but how much of it is truly new? Read more in my new article,

"Third or ‘second and a half’? Continuity, path dependence, and the third nuclear age,"

Now published online-first @globalpolicy.bsky.social

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

Physical Status of American Youth Shameful Says Hershey, Calling for Corrective Action Aid for Morale Registration of 21-Year-Old One-Third Unfit Program Urged Men Ordered on Next July 1 For Full Service

Saving this for the next time someone says today’s youth are physically and unfit for military service

This is from 1941

I think they did ok

I extremely grateful to @nuclearjan.bsky.social, Roseanne McManus, Janice Stein, @laurensukin.bsky.social, and Stephen Quackenbush for their reviews of Elements of Deterrence in a symposium in @poppublicsphere.bsky.social. It is humbling to receive kind reviews from such terrific scholars!

Want to learn about the complexity of deterrence? Read @jonrlindsay.bsky.social and Erik Gartzke's new book Elements of Deterrence. Why? Read more in @poppublicsphere.bsky.social review symposium by Janice Stein, @laurensukin.bsky.social , Stephen L. Quackenbush and me. doi.org/10.1017/S153...