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Kai Thaler

@kaimthaler.bsky.social

Global Studies prof at UC Santa Barbara, views own. Proud Mainer. Conflict, violence, statebuilding, protest, democracy & authoritarianism. COYS. kaithaler.com. Author of When Rebels Win https://tinyurl.com/whenrebelswin

4,173 Followers  |  2,221 Following  |  753 Posts  |  Joined: 27.07.2023
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Posts by Kai Thaler (@kaimthaler.bsky.social)

Tehran is the 24th-most populous city on Earth

08.03.2026 16:50 β€” πŸ‘ 162    πŸ” 51    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 0
Black puddles by a gate

Black puddles by a gate

Now imagine people’s lungs.

Black rain has fallen over Tehran after strikes on oil facilities, coating streets and rooftops in dark, oily water. β€œThe rain is actually apparently saturated with oil,” CNN reports.

08.03.2026 16:25 β€” πŸ‘ 352    πŸ” 167    πŸ’¬ 23    πŸ“Œ 18
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Exclusive: US investigation points to likely US responsibility in Iran school strike, sources say Military investigators believe it is likely that U.S. forces were responsible for an apparent strike on an Iranian girls' school that killed scores of children on Saturday, two U.S. officials told Reu...

Reuters Exclusive

"U.S. military investigators believe it is likely that U.S. forces were responsible for an apparent strike on an Iranian girls' school."

"The strike would rank among the worst cases of civilian casualties in decades of U.S. conflicts in the ​Middle East."

06.03.2026 02:50 β€” πŸ‘ 10011    πŸ” 5279    πŸ’¬ 629    πŸ“Œ 639

The enemy gets a vote? The enemy? You gave him a vote?

03.03.2026 03:40 β€” πŸ‘ 181    πŸ” 22    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 3
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The government of Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian described the killing of the supreme leader as a β€˜criminal attack’ that would not go β€˜unanswered’.

Follow our live blog for more updates and analysis: ft.trib.al/8j6wHWI

01.03.2026 04:31 β€” πŸ‘ 62    πŸ” 32    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2
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Remember back in the 2010s when Twitter was going to bring down regimes. Instead it just turned them all into shitposters.

28.02.2026 22:35 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1
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Exclusive: Prior to Iran attacks, CIA assessed Khamenei would be replaced by hardline IRGC elements if killed, sources say In the run-up to the U.S. and Israeli attacks on Saturday, the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency assessed that even if Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in the operation, he would likely be replaced by hardline figures from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), two sources briefed on the intelligence said.

Exclusive: Prior to Iran attacks, CIA assessed Khamenei would be replaced by hardline IRGC elements if killed, sources say reut.rs/4l9SCAs

28.02.2026 16:05 β€” πŸ‘ 1639    πŸ” 881    πŸ’¬ 68    πŸ“Œ 268

17th and winning the Europa league was child's play. Scraping through avoiding relegation and reaching the Champions League semis or final? Now that's the kind of innovation the board values!

24.02.2026 20:49 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

That would be ideal, but hard to feel too optimistic about 3 quick wind at this point unless Tudor really lights a fire under the team (and RKM pretends he’s still at Juve)

24.02.2026 19:57 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Time to play the kids in the Champions League to save our few healthy senior squad members for the relegation battle

24.02.2026 19:53 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Picture of No Option But Sabotage

Picture of No Option But Sabotage

My bookβ€”No Option But Sabotage: The Radical Environmental Movement and the Climate Crisisβ€”comes out today!

It's the result of 3+ years of research and 150+ interviews with 100+ activists and experts.

16.02.2026 13:29 β€” πŸ‘ 74    πŸ” 33    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 4

"This time, [USAID] programs that survived the initial purge precisely because they were judged to be lifesaving are slated for cancellation...the administration will soon end all of the humanitarian funding it is currently providing [to] seven African nations...

23.02.2026 01:42 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Tehran on edge as residents fear US attack Many in Iran’s capital think it is only a matter of time until war returns to their lives

Mehdi, a construction contractor, said he feels unable to get on with his life. β€œWe’re stuck between a regime that won’t give up and the US and Israel that won’t back down,” he said. β€œYou can’t live with this level of uncertainty.”

www.ft.com/content/c8f3...

22.02.2026 04:45 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

OpenAI has a lot of explaining to do, and might want to start by revealing to authorities what responses ChatGPT gave during interactions with Van Rootselaar.

21.02.2026 00:37 β€” πŸ‘ 64    πŸ” 26    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1

Well, this is a bit of a plot twist.

19.02.2026 22:07 β€” πŸ‘ 1043    πŸ” 248    πŸ’¬ 42    πŸ“Œ 43

🚨 If you're free Monday, don't miss @timep.bsky.social's next event, featuring a brilliant line-up of the region's thinkers and doers. It'll bring into conversation the 2011 protests with later forms of organizing, including the 2019 wave and more recent Gen Z protests in Morocco.

19.02.2026 19:59 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

These 3-yr drops are stunning. Absolutely stunning.

New Orleans: -55%
Baltimore: -60%
Philly: -60%
Chicago: -40%
Buffalo: -55%
Pittsburgh: -50%
Albuquerque: -40%
Newark: -40%
San Antonio: -55%
Portland: -45%

The media coverage of these staggering drops, tho, is staggering in its relative silence.

19.02.2026 13:00 β€” πŸ‘ 779    πŸ” 289    πŸ’¬ 25    πŸ“Œ 28
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Designation of Nicaraguan Prison Official for Involvement in Gross Violations of Human Rights - United States Department of State Today, the Department is taking action to promote accountability for the Murillo-Ortega dictatorship’s abuse of political prisoners by designating La Modelo prison Maximum-Security Director Roberto Cl...

Notable in the State Department's new sanctions announcement for a Nicaraguan prison official that the US is now referring to it as the Murillo-Ortega dictatorship, highlighting Rosario Murillo's increasingly personalized grip on power www.state.gov/releases/off...

18.02.2026 18:44 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I really enjoyed talking with Lindsay Shingler for the @ucigcc.bsky.social Talking Policy podcast about my book When Rebels Win (@cornellupress.bsky.social) and its implications for contemporary conflicts & policy responses

18.02.2026 18:08 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Hundred-year reveal: Catalonian chalet confirmed as GaudΓ­ work in centenary year Xalet del CatllarΓ s contains elements of architect’s naturalistic style, expressed in works such as Park GΓΌell and Sagrada FamΓ­lia

They found a GaudΓ­!

18.02.2026 16:29 β€” πŸ‘ 173    πŸ” 27    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 3
other cars.
No one-and particularly not Teresa-made any attempt to seek help. Even had she wanted to, whom would she call? If Argentines had learned anything in the two and a half years since the military had seized power, it was that little good came from paying attention, and even less came from attracting it. The armed men who now roved the city as agents of the dictatorship were at once secretive-driving cars without license plates and obscuring their faces with women's stock-ings-and brazen, abducting people off the street in broad daylight. It was almost as if they were daring bystanders: acknowledge you've noticed us, see what happens.
No. Better to forget what she'd witnessed. Teresa waited for her husband to pick her up, locked up the store, and left. Her employers had always treated her well, but a thought lingered β€” one that many others in Argentina had come to believe over the years: "Si se los llevan asΓ­, es por algo." If they were taken, there must be a reason.

other cars. No one-and particularly not Teresa-made any attempt to seek help. Even had she wanted to, whom would she call? If Argentines had learned anything in the two and a half years since the military had seized power, it was that little good came from paying attention, and even less came from attracting it. The armed men who now roved the city as agents of the dictatorship were at once secretive-driving cars without license plates and obscuring their faces with women's stock-ings-and brazen, abducting people off the street in broad daylight. It was almost as if they were daring bystanders: acknowledge you've noticed us, see what happens. No. Better to forget what she'd witnessed. Teresa waited for her husband to pick her up, locked up the store, and left. Her employers had always treated her well, but a thought lingered β€” one that many others in Argentina had come to believe over the years: "Si se los llevan asΓ­, es por algo." If they were taken, there must be a reason.

Argentina, 1978:

β€œThe armed men who roved the city were at once secretive β€” driving cars without license plates and obscuring their faces with women's stockings β€” and brazen, abducting people off the street in broad daylight… daring bystanders:
Acknowledge you've noticed us, see what happens.”

1/

18.02.2026 06:28 β€” πŸ‘ 370    πŸ” 173    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 5

Enclosure of public goods comes for everything eventually these days

16.02.2026 16:57 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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β€˜The goal has been to demystify’: how a colonial Nairobi library was restored and given back to the people Once a whites-only enclave, the grand McMillan Memorial library is one of three in the Kenyan capital that have been transformed for the community

β€˜The goal has been to demystify’: how a colonial Nairobi library was restored and given back to the people

16.02.2026 05:24 β€” πŸ‘ 80    πŸ” 21    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

Surge pricing for plasma

16.02.2026 04:37 β€” πŸ‘ 373    πŸ” 87    πŸ’¬ 15    πŸ“Œ 2

HRC has entered the chat in a predictably tone deaf manner bsky.app/profile/park...

15.02.2026 16:20 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This should have been a Nathan For You episode

15.02.2026 04:51 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Minneapolis: Fatal shootings may amount to extrajudicial killing, warn UN experts GENEVA - The use of lethal force by U.S. immigration enforcement in Minneapolis may amount to arbitrary deprivation of life and other gross violations of international human rights law, and could cons...

Hadn't made the connection before now that the UN standard for investigating potential extrajudicial killings is, in fact, called the Minnesota Protocol www.ohchr.org/en/press-rel...

12.02.2026 21:46 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Chile impunity fears as riot officer who blinded protester walks free Gustavo Gatica lost his sight in 2019’s nationwide unrest but, with a far-right president about to be sworn in, the man who shot the rubber bullets has gloated over his acquittal

Impunity is still the order of the day for police violence during the estallido social in 2019-20 www.theguardian.com/world/2026/f...

12.02.2026 20:37 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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UT to consolidate gender and ethnic studies programs into one new department Affected departments include those that focus on African and African Diaspora Studies, Mexican American Studies, Women and Gender Studies and American Studies.

This is a travesty. African and African Diaspora Studies at UT Austin has been one of the best programs in the country. And for historical context, this is explicitly about reversing the gains of student movements in the 60s and 70s.

www.statesman.com/news/educati...

12.02.2026 18:26 β€” πŸ‘ 481    πŸ” 196    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 14