Jay Van Bavel, PhD

Jay Van Bavel, PhD

@jayvanbavel.bsky.social

Professor of Psychology at NYU (jayvanbavel.com) | Author of The Power of Us Book (powerofus.online) | Director of NYU Center for Conflict & Cooperation | trying to write a new book about collective decisions

21,560 Followers 716 Following 1,571 Posts Joined Sep 2023
13 hours ago
Post image Post image Post image Post image

People have lost trust in institutions and are becoming more insular with is linked to increased conflict and lost productivity.

The most popular solution is to facilate trust by having leaders "promote a shared identity and culture" to remine people what unites them
www.edelman.com/sites/g/file...

11 3 1 0
1 day ago
Post image

Exposing people to creative content believed to have been created by gen-AI (vs. a human peer) increases people’s self-confidence in their own relevant creative abilities.

This effect emerges for jokes, stories, poetry, and visual art, even when it's unwarranted.
psycnet.apa.org/record/2026-...

16 3 1 2
1 day ago
Preview
Navigating ideological divides in digital spaces: How political ideology and moral rhetoric shape the promotion of causes online Social media platforms have significantly expanded the reach of social movements, allowing individuals to more easily publicly advocate for politicall…

Liberals are less willing to share messages supporting causes they personally endorse when those messages employ moral rhetoric they perceive as aligned with conservative values relative to rhetoric aligned with liberal values.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

6 3 2 1
2 days ago
Post image

Although leaders should be concerned with collective success, most organizations — from sports teams to universities to global companies — still focus on rewarding individual performance.

We explain the key incentives for collective success: www.powerofusnewsletter.com/p/entreprene...

8 3 0 0
2 days ago
Post image

Texting daily with a random human peer is more effective at reducing loneliness than texting with a highly supportive chatbot.

Next time you feel lonely reach out to a human, any human.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

122 57 6 7
3 days ago
Post image

I'm giving a talk at the Stanford Tech Impact & Policy Center on "Morality in the Anthropocene" May 19th.

Here is the link to attend in person or via zoom: fsi.stanford.edu/events/jay-v...

6 1 0 0
3 days ago

Thanks, Laura Globig deserves most of the credit (but she's not on Blue Sky :(

1 0 1 0
3 days ago
OSF

Read the full working paper: osf.io/8fhwg/

This was led by Laura Globig along with Nadya Hanaveriesa & @sydneylevine.bsky.social

1 0 0 0
3 days ago

👉 Participants were less sensitive to social norms when interacting with AI than when interacting with human partners.
👉 They were worse at predicting AI behavior.
👉 When AI was framed as intentional & goal-directed, people predicted AI behavior more accurately and the cooperation gap was reduced.

1 1 1 0
3 days ago
Post image

Why do social norms work differently when we interact with AI?

In a new paper (N = 1,108), we found that people are less sensitive to prosocial norms when interacting with AI because they are less accurate at predicting AI behavior.

Read the full working paper: osf.io/8fhwg/

15 5 2 0
4 days ago
Post image

New study. We had adults place historical figures on the left-right ideological spectrum. Folks most often place history's villains (Hitler, Stalin, etc) as extreme examples of their opponents. But they place heroes (Jesus, MLK, Lincoln) are on their own team. 1/4 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

133 53 3 9
4 days ago
Preview
E-Bikers Ride Much Farther and More Frequently Than Regular Bikers They are not 'cheating,' but are serious transportation.

What is “the E-Bike Effect?”

“Those who bought e-bikes increased their average daily bicycle use from 2.1km (1.3 miles) to 9.2km (5.7 miles), a 340% increase. The e-bike share of all their transportation increased dramatically too; from 17% to 49%.”

Fewer car trips.

Via @lloydalter.bsky.social

420 125 11 18
4 days ago
Preview
AI autocomplete doesn’t just change how you write. It changes how you think AI-powered writing tools are increasingly integrated into our e-mails and phones. Now a new study finds biased AI suggestions can sway users’ beliefs

AI-powered writing tools are increasingly integrated into our e-mails and phones. Now a new study finds biased AI suggestions can sway users’ beliefs

50 15 0 8
4 days ago
Post image

LLMs overemphasize moral concerns common in Western societies and underestimate values more prominent elsewhere. These distortions likely stem from cultural biases in training data and carry societal implications and risks

www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

19 5 2 0
4 days ago
OSF

These findings demonstrates a reliable, valid, accessible, and cost-effective approach to labeling texts for nuanced expressions of national identity, enabling new insights into its role in contemporary and historical trends.

It was led by @stefanleach.bsky.social & @alekscichocka.bsky.social

1 0 0 0
4 days ago
Post image

An analysis of US presidential addresses reveals that expressions of national identities have doubled over the last century.

Defensive national identities were 5X more prevalent in Republicans social media posts than Democrats and also frequent in speeches of populist leaders around the globe.

1 0 1 0
4 days ago
Post image

We tested four popular LLMs across 13 million words from social media, surveys, and political speeches in 25 languages. LLMs outperform both dictionary-based approaches and crowd workers—and reducing the cost by a factor of 1,000 compared to the latter.

1 0 1 0
4 days ago
Post image

National identity drives a range of actions, from civic engagement to intergroup violence.

Our new paper presents a novel approach using LLMs to code expressions of positive (national identification, patriotism) & defensive (nationalism, national narcissism) identities.
osf.io/preprints/ps...

14 3 1 0
5 days ago

IMO, the big tech bros have been hiding this research any way they can while taking heed from it for their own families. I know that several admit that they severely limit screen time and social media overall for their own kids.

13 4 0 0
5 days ago
Preview
Digital Media Use and Child Health and Development This study attempts to provide a meta-analytic synthesis of evidence on digital media use and health and developmental outcomes among individuals aged 0 to 18 years.

Here is an updated link: jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...

6 3 0 0
5 days ago
Post image

In this systematic review and meta-analysis of up to 153 longitudinal studies:

Social media use was associated with higher depression, behavioral problems, self-injury, and substance use, and lower self-perception and academic achievement tinyurl.com/47z3anym

46 17 4 2
5 days ago
Post image

📚Preprint📚
Gregson, Nikadon, Formanowicz, @chiarazazzarino.bsky.social, Kitchin, Kosinski, @jayvanbavel.bsky.social @alekscichocka.bsky.social
➤ osf.io/preprints/psyarxiv/9jcvr_v1

Tasked LLMs to label national identities in social media posts and political speeches (25 languages, 13M words)

🧵 1/8

8 3 1 0
6 days ago
Preview
Exclusive | National Bureau of Economic Research Cuts Ties With Larry Summers The former Treasury secretary and Harvard president is no longer affiliated with America’s leading economics organization.

www.wsj.com/us-news/educ...

158 36 1 16
6 days ago

“In the preface, he declares that all royalties will be donated to
the Scientific Integrity Fund. His motives for writing seem to be two-fold: firstly, to help
himself make sense of how he became embroiled in a scandal about honesty research, and to
describe what could have been done differently.”

2 1 1 0
6 days ago
A graphic promoting a book review. On the left is the cover of the book Inside an Academic Scandal: A Story of Fraud and Betrayal by Max H. Bazerman. The cover has large orange and black text and an abstract horizontal paint‑stroke graphic beneath the word “Scandal.” On the right, black text reads: “Jennifer Byrne reviews Inside an Academic Scandal: A Story of Fraud and Betrayal.” At the bottom right is small text that reads “Vol. 46 No. 1 (2026): February,” alongside a small circular logo with the letters “PIR.”

Jennifer Byrne (@jabyrnesci.bsky.social) reviews Max H. Bazerman’s 'Inside an Academic Scandal', a narrative of research misconduct, institutional response, and the ethical challenges surrounding fraud in academia.
journals.uvic.ca/index.php/pi...

11 8 2 0
6 days ago

Super interesting study, Victoria.

3 0 0 0
6 days ago
OSF

🧵 New preprint alert! Why do some people refuse to use AI, even when you tell them it's safe and beneficial? We argue it's not about risk perception. It's about moralization. AI has become a moral issue for many people, and that changes everything. [1/7] osf.io/preprints/ps...

15 4 3 2
6 days ago

Figure 1 presents two plots. Panel (a) displays the percentage of donors in each wealth rank that contributed to each of the six campaigns (i.e., Democratic and Republican nominees in 2012, 2016, and 2020).Footnote 17 Panel (b) displays the per capita dollars from each wealth bin, by campaign (including those who donate nothing).

As Figure 1 shows, the association between wealth and contributions is approximately exponential. The wealthiest are much more likely to contribute, and the wealth gradient is even steeper in dollars because the top 0.1% contribute very large sums. This is one of the most robust findings in the campaign finance literature, but the figure demonstrates it with considerably more precision. By measuring wealth independently of contribution size, we avoid misattributing smaller contributions to non-wealthy donors and underestimating wealthy dollars.

Most relevant to our analysis, Figure 1 compares the wealth gradients for Trump versus other candidates. In 2016, compared to other candidates, Trump’s wealth gradient is far flatter, because Trump elicited far fewer wealthy contributors and per capita dollars. For example, among the top 0.1%, Trump’s donors and per capita dollars represent about one third of Romney’s. While Trump did worse than all other candidates among nearly all wealth groups, that deficit was larger among the wealthy. In short, in 2016, wealthy donations to Trump are low compared to other presidential candidates.

In 2020, Trump’s performance among the wealthy improved considerably over 2016 (Figure 1). Consider donation rates (Panel a). Among the wealthiest 0.1%, for example, Trump roughly doubled his rate, though he still significantly lagged Biden and Romney. He did even better in per capita dollars (Panel b) than in rates. 

Open access link to paper: http://cup.org/4cfm0Az

The wealthy dominate political contributions. Our study shows the top 0.1% donate 10–15× more frequently than the bottom 90%. The gradient isn’t subtle, it’s exponential. cup.org/4cfm0Az

34 19 2 1
1 week ago
Post image

An analysis of over 14 million social media posts from accounts in Canada found that 87% of conspiratorial claims come from just 100 influencers.

This minority of users impacts politics, influencing what people view as normal and leads to self-censoring to avoid attacks from conspiracy theorists.

539 245 8 26
6 days ago
Post image

Sycophantic AI distorts reality by returning responses that are biased to reinforce existing beliefs.

"sycophantic AI distorts belief, manufacturing certainty where there should be doubt."

Unbiased sampling produces discovery rates 5X higher! arxiv.org/pdf/2602.14270

25 12 1 1