Will Jennings📉🗳️

Paging @adamdrummond.bsky.social

i really don't think Hegseth realized the diplomatic consequences of that strike

Chart showing lifetime average GDP growth for Brits by year of birth. 20-year-old Brits have experienced an average of 1.4% growth, compared with 2.4% for 75-year-olds

Part of the issue is a lack of growth. A recent study showed that cohorts who experience more GDP growth in their lifetimes are more likely to trust the government and have positive perceptions of their living standards. academic.oup.com/qje/advance-... In Britain, such voters are dying out

Polling from More in Common shows that Greens and Reform win a higher share of voters who struggle to make ends meet, while Labour and the Conservatives win those who are most financially comfortable

Reform UK and the Greens are hoovering up financially insecure voters. My piece this week looks at the return of Britain's class politics (with a twist) www.economist.com/britain/2026...

Even a very superficial analysis of the demographics and political history of the seat would prompt the answer "only a very slim one, and largely down to factors beyond my control".

I think he has eaten too many already...

It would genuinely be fascinating to know whose idea Goodwin standing in Gorton & Denton was. Did he do the numbers himself and think he had a decent chance?

‘I don’t know about the Muslims,’ Nigel said to me later, ‘but I hear Zack Polanski’s very popular among the crack addicts.’ - if you're wondering about the level of electoral analysis.

The could have been the problem...

It's OK, he ends the piece by saying he is betting big...

Bit late to be asking that question!

Again, Farage, Badenoch and their fellow travellers on X are wildly out of touch with the public on Iran.

Even the majority of Reform supporters oppose their position.

I kayaked to work every day for 3 years

The ironic thing is that having suicide drones that otherwise would have hit Ukraine dropped on our own dumbfuck foreheads is still the closest thing to being an effective defender of the free world Hegseth has ever pulled off.

See for example this in the conclusion (which I assume you haven't reached let - afraid it is a long book!!)

Deluded. Labour lost about ten points during the course of the 2024 campaign. A strategic triumph it was not.

At Shabana Mahmood’s press conference and journo right behind me asked for Pakistanis to be banned 👍🏽👍🏽👍🏽👍🏽👍🏽👍🏽👍🏽

Wealthy Dubai residents race back to UAE to avoid tax bills Some risk spending too few days in the emirate and too many in the UK

Tax exiles stuck in London desperately trying to get *back* to Dubai to avoid becoming tax resident in the UK? Just great stuff. giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...

People who are not tax resident in the UK should not be allowed to donate to UK political parties.

Companies should not be allowed to donate to UK political parties.

No one should be allowed to use crypto to donate to UK political parties.

The post mortem of 2024 is a classic in only acknowledging the top line result, rather than thinking what par would have been for the starting position. Hemorrhaging votes in solid Labour areas should have been a massive warning light.

Nigel Farage heckled at a press conference. He responds: "Oh sorry darling are you having a rough morning? Did you get out on the wrong side of bed? You always get the odd screamer at these events. Go back to work. I did say go back to work, but of course she hasn't got a job has she"

I caught a trailer for this a day or so ago and that literally starts with Armstrong saying "India is a land of contrasts", and truly it is time to nuke the "middle-aged-white-man-makes-cliche-laden-travelogue" format.

Academics seeing the salary range for an Oxford Computer science position go to £3.9 billion pounds a year: “I guess I’m a bit of a computer scientist myself”

Deluded. Labour lost about ten points during the course of the 2024 campaign. A strategic triumph it was not.

So McSweeney may have gone but Starmer has learned nothing from his departure.

If your political strategy is to alienate your entire voter base and pave the way for a hard-right government, sure

Oi, it's only thanks to Bournemouth that the average age in Dorset is lower than 110 years old!

As a Westcountry man fundamentally unsurprised to see Cornwall, Devon and Dorset doing so well. I have no doubt that Dorsets numbers are being dragged down by those Bournemouth entryists who should go back to Hampshire where they belong.

How strong is county identity in England?

Cornwall: 53% have very strong attachment
Cumbria: 44%
Northumberland: 42%
Devon: 42%
Tyne and Wear: 41%
North Yorkshire: 41%
Merseyside: 38%
Dorset: 38%
West Yorkshire: 37%
South Yorkshire: 36%
Bristol: 36%
Norfolk: 36%

yougov.com/en-gb/articl...

Cherry blossom branches and buds pre the blossoming period.

For a project I’m working on — beginning a month or so ago daily (ish) photographs of a cherry tree in Bagatelle in Neuilly, which will continue though the blossoming period. We’re just at the stage now where the bright red buds are flecked with green.