Susan Hannah Allen

🤔 The #EU 🇪🇺 aspires to be a global actor 🌍 — but do other states recognize it as such?

My new study in @intlinteractions.bsky.social develops targeted #NLP / #TextAsData tools to analyze 50 years of foreign policy discourse in the annual #UN General Debate (1970–2020).

A thread (1/n)

The indirect effects of structural power: Political diffusion in the global value chain network In the past few years, scholars have focused on how states use Global Value Chains (GVCs) to weaponize economic and political interdependencies. However, the unintended political consequences stemm...

Global Value Chains, structural theory, and cool methods? This paper by Juan Acevedo-Ossa has it all! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Check out this article from our Afghanistan war symposium: Air Power International Organizations and Civilian Casualties in Afghanistan - Susan Allen, (@ladyprofessor.bsky.social) Sam Bell, Carla Martinez Machain (@carlammm.bsky.social) #OpenAccess #SpecialIssue journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

Leader visits and nuclear pursuit How can nuclear pursuits be effectively reduced? Existing research primarily focuses on traditional policy instruments such as security guarantees and coercion, despite their inherent limitations. ...

In this new paper, Youngsang Lee shows how US presidential visits can slow the pursuit of nuclear proliferation.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Over the long horizon: Party institutionalization and antidumping trade remedies International political economy scholarship has documented that non-traditional barriers to international trade have proliferated since the 1970s. Contemporary explanations attribute these trends t...

Sick of all tariffs in the news? Tyler Coleman explores non-tariff barriers in his new paper and asks what impact do domestic politics have on the use of non-tariff barriers?

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

You’re the one I want: Substitutability, policy preference divergence, and the cost of multilateral sanctions Under what conditions do sanction-sending states choose to form coalitions? Do the same determinants that affect military sanction coalition formation affect how coercive economic coalitions are fo...

Love the musical Grease and Sanctions? Well, if so this new paper by @peiyuwei.bsky.social‬ on substitutability and multilateral sanctions will be the ONE that YOU WANT www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

This is providing to be true...

Pretty sure all my co-authors should let me write bios for them. In print now: "His research interests include political methodology, economic sanctions, and Taylor Swift. In his spare time, he conducts endless unit root tests and ponders the nature of uncertainty." Guess who?

Check out cool new work by @tobiasrisse.bsky.social on rivalries and arms control!

Out now @intlinteractions.bsky.social:
In my new article, I find that rivalries with major powers tend to decrease minor powers' support for arms control. Why? See abstract below 👇 or here for the full article: doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2025.2518394

#armscontrol
#conflictsky
#polisky 🗺

To punish or to reward? The effect of sanction threats on public opinion How do individuals respond to the threat of economic sanctions? Under what conditions do the target population demand policy concessions, and when do they rally behind their beleaguered leader? We ...

How do individuals respond to the threat of economic sanctions? Using a survey experiment in Turkiye, @efetokdemir.bsky.social, Menevis Cilizoglu, Omer Zarpli explore how targeted publics respond to sanctions threats.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

@intlinteractions.bsky.social Congrats!!!

Hegemonic shocks and patterns of secession Studies of secession typically focus on domestic factors that produce independence movements, such as the role of ethnic divides or the concentration of material resources. But motivations for sece...

How do major geopolitical shocks shape state birth? A new article finds that great power shocks (like WWI, WWII, Cold War’s end) spark secessionist “bubbles”—many new bids for independence, few successes. @KyungwonSuh @RyeGriffiths & @SevaUT www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Quantifying women’s rights naming and shaming: A novel text-as-data approach This research note introduces a novel methodology for quantifying naming and shaming practices in the context of women’s rights, utilizing a corpus of 10,760 human rights reports from the US State ...

Can we measure naming and shaming? @ghashiakiyani.bsky.social @yuanzhouir.bsky.social & Charles Crabtree show us how in www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Pretty sure this week will be my max productivity for the whole summer... Not sure whether to be impressed by past self or preemptively disappointed in my future self

Is trade the enemy of environment?: Congressional voting on environmental policies after the China shock How does trade competition affect support for environmental protection? On the one hand, import shocks can dampen support for environmental protection, as international trade can lead to a race to ...

How does a sudden increase in imports affect support for environmental policies? There is some evidence that an increase in import competition can lead to more pro-environmental votes in the US. Why? To find out more, check out new work by @rgpark.bsky.social : www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Women Suicide Terrorism: The Strategic and Tactical Logic of Civilian Killings A growing body of research indicates that women are increasingly involved in suicide attacks. These studies suggest that women, due to their seemingly innocent appearance, can more effectively targ...

Do female suicide terrorists choose different targets? www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Credit claims and the survival rates of terrorist organizations This study investigates the relationship between terrorist credit claims and government counterterrorism efforts, focusing on the impact of claims on group survival. Using data from the Extended Da...

Do terrorist groups that actively claim credit for their violence thrive? @ilaydaonder.bsky.social and Nazli Avdan and Aaron Hoffman explore this question in a new paper in II! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Introducing the tracking of terrorist organization splintering (totos) dataset What explains why some splinter groups are highly violent, capable, and durable, while others are not? Although existing scholarship provides important insights into the causes and consequences of ...

How do we know when terror splinter groups will survive? 🐕‍🦺TOTOS🐕‍🦺 and Wendland have answers! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Unpacking Urban (Dis)Continuities of Postwar Violence Which cities become arenas for violent contestation after war? A growing literature has documented how conflict-related violence often continues after the formal end of armed conflict, and also tha...

Which cities become arenas for violent contestation after war? Me and @rokon-uddin.bsky.social study this question in a newly published article in @intlinteractions.bsky.social. A key takeaway: Postwar urban violence is not just a continuation of war. doi.org/10.1080/0305... (1/5)

A Public Demand Theory of Economic Sanctions A number of theories about the effectiveness, design, and targeting of economic sanctions highlight public perceptions of economic sanctions as an important factor influencing foreign policy decisi...

Does public demand for economic sanctions exist? If so, what factors shape this demand? Check out this new paper by @claywebb.bsky.social & Cora Caton www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

How Low Can You Go? The Effects of Low Credibility False Flag Incidents on International and Domestic Approval for Interstate Wars1 What are the international and domestic effects of low credibility false flag incidents? One way in which wars occasionally start (as in the case of the 2022 Ukraine war) is with false flag inciden...

How low can you go?? Do warring countries gain anything from low credibility false flag operations? Dov Levin explores these ideas in a new article in International Interactions.

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Are Foreign Firms Good for the Environment? FDI and Protected Areas Despite the coexistence of three trends—increased economic integration, a dramatic reduction in biodiversity, and the implementation of national policies to reduce extinction risks—we know little a...

Are Foreign Firms Good for the Environment? Ana Carolina Garriga & Muzhou Zhang focus on protected areas to explore how FDI might affect biodiversity.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Corruption Among Government Security Forces and Sexual Violence Against Civilians Does corruption within the police and military increase the likelihood that government security forces will be associated with sexual violence against civilians? I conduct a cross-national analysis...

Does corruption within the police & military increase the likelihood that government security forces will be associated with sexual violence against civilians?Margaret Adelia Avera says YES! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

"Columbia will remain the college of no king."

The Importance of Money and Connections: Explaining International Status from UNGA Draft Sponsorship Networks Can money and connections buy international influence and improve a state’s international status? This paper argues that outward foreign direct investment (FDI) by a state is associated with the im...

Weidong Zhang asks Can money and connections buy international influence and improve a state’s international status? FDI helps predict sponsorship patterns in the UNGA
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Not All Stationary Bandits are the Same: Ethnicity, Insurgency Goals, and Welfare Service Provision Rebels often provide welfare services to civilians to build public support for their cause. However, are some rebels more likely to provide these than others? We argue that ethnicity and insurgency...

Are all rebels equally likely to provide public welfare services? John Ishiyama and Sung Min Sun say perhaps not... www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Understanding the Effect of Madman Leaders on Economic Sanctions How does concern with reputation affect a leader’s decision on whether to comply with an economic sanction demand? There is limited scholarship unpacking the leader’s responses to sanctions. In thi...

In this new article, Merlin Li explores how concerns about reputation influence a leader’s decision about how to respond to a economic sanction demand.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

In a world where lots of things feel bad right now, Jason Isbell’s new album is very good.

Had a great (but slightly exhausting) time at ISA! So great to see good friends, get encouragement on new research, and connect with folks through my position as editor of @intlinteractions.bsky.social . Thanks, Chicago.